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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Friday Estimates by Kladys 1, 7 & 14

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Appropriate that Split multiplied the #2 Friday grosser. Universal delivered one of those half-dozen-a-year campaigns that is ubiquitous. Festivals. Great outdoor. Couldn’t use an OTT without McAvoy’s mug showing up. Probably tight on straight TV buys, using publicity to make it up. And massive results. Perhaps last summer’s second Purge sequel was the inspiration. The result, so far, is identical. Very impressive.

xXx: The Return of Xander Cage continues the string of flops in the “why exactly are they making a sequel to a movie that wasn’t really a hit?” genre. Vin Diesel is a massive star… in one franchise and one franchise only. We have learned this three times. Until he finds another gear that people like, he is Chris Tucker. Deal with it.

Hidden Figures has a nice hold. La La Land has its first normal drop. No doubt, they are looking to Oscar noms on Tuesday to stem the slow bleed next weekend.

The Founder flounders… because they didn’t really try. “They” is not TWC staff, but the bosses, who treated the film like a bastard child and that tone leaked into everything thy did to sell (or not sell) the film.

No 10k per-screen titles at the arthouses.

12 Responses to “Friday Estimates by Kladys 1, 7 & 14”

  1. Stella's Boy says:

    So a couple low-budget Blumhouse thrillers revitalize Shyamalan’s career. Will he be back in the big leagues now?

  2. Dr Wally Rises says:

    Hope so. Night’s run of duds from about Lady in the Water onwards has led to his earlier efforts becoming somewhat neglected nowadays. People seem to have forgotten the ecstatic praise heaped upon The Sixth Sense back in 99 and now seem to just remember it for it’s last minute twist (when actually the scene immediately prior in the car serves as the true emotional climax of the film). If you’ve not seen it in a while then give it another go – it really does hold up well.

  3. Stella's Boy says:

    I hope Split is better than The Visit, which I absolutely hated. I was cheering against both of those kids after about 10 minutes.

  4. John E. says:

    Wondering how 20th Century Women did in expansion…

  5. Sideshow Bill says:

    I FINALLY caught up with Moonlight last night. Problem with living in a smallish town. Forgive me. And I still have others to see. I know it’s been discussed a ton already but I was pretty amazed by it, and surprised about how involved I was by the end, most thanks to amazing performances. The final couple of scenes…the scenes leading up to that final moment…I have yet to better acting this year. Trevante Rhodes was amazing.

    Beautiful film.

  6. Movieman says:

    Wally- Agree re: “Sixth Sense.” I watched it again recently in anticipation of “Split,” and was a little stunned at how good it truly is. Finally understood why everyone loves it.
    My ’99 viewing of the film was ruined by Todd McCarthy’s wink-wink, nudge-nudge Variety review (learned my lesson: now I only glean reviews of movies I haven’t seen). I kept waiting for my theory–that Bruce was dead–to be contradicted. Which, obviously, it never was. Was never able to truly get into it because of that unwanted distraction.
    Yes, the true emotional climax is the car scene between Haley Joel Osment and Toni Collette (in fact, I said precisely the same thing to a friend while discussing the film last week).
    Osment is really kind of amazing: truly one of the all-time great kid movie performances. (He should have won the Oscar.) And Collette richly deserved her nomination.
    Also loved the scenic/atmospheric mileage Shyamalan got out of Philly. (Best cinematic use of the city since the original “Rocky.”)
    My only (minor) criticism was Bruce who maybe tries a little too hard.
    Kept thinking that someone like Tom Hanks would have been more effective.

  7. Bob Burns says:

    the Hidden Figues and LLL cumes are wrong. LLL is about $83M and HF $73M. HF will almost ctch up with LLL, though, this weekend. Its drop was only 20%.

  8. Bitplaya says:

    Chris Tucker comparison isn’t fair. Tucker never tried to do another franchise. He took the money and ran. I wish more people did that. Why work more than you need to? I thin the second Pitch Black movie was pretty good and it did okay given how little it cost.

    Also I don’t mind Vin trying these things. The market is starved for action. If this thing was halfway decent it could be fun. Apparently it’s just barely halfway decent.

  9. TrackerBacker says:

    Bitplaya, do you mean the 3rd Pitch Black movie? The 2nd one was Chronicles of Riddick. It cost over $100M, and grossed under $120M worldwide.

  10. Dr Wally Rises says:

    Look at the drop on Patriots Day, that one isn’t even going to get to $50 million. I really believed that PD could do Lone Survivor business but it’s not even going to come close to Deepwater Horizon or even Battleship. That’s gotta hurt.

  11. Pete B. says:

    The Chronicles of Riddick did fairly well in DVD sales I believe. That’s a movie I have a soft spot for as they threw everything including the kitchen sink into making a mythology. I think it was just too densely packed for the average viewer.

    Dame Judi Dench had the great line:
    “In normal times, evil would be fought with good. But in times like these, well, it should be fought by another kind of evil.”
    That could have been the theme of the 2016 election.

  12. Bitplaya says:

    TrackerBacker I meant the third one. It’s actually Pitch Black for a second time. This time with dogs.

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“Last night’s Oscar bizarreness was not just bizarre but bizarre in a way that is typical of this entirely bizarre time. The rhythm of the yes-they-won-oh-my-God-no-they-didn’t event, with La La Land replaced by Moonlight as Best Picture, was weirdly like that of… Election Night. First, a more or less expected, if “safe,” result was on its way—though Hillary Clinton never got all the way to the stage, so to speak, the result did seem safely in hand at 7pm., according to the polling—and the expected and safe people were ready to deliver their touching but obviously polished pieces. Then the sudden confusion and visible near-panic of people running around in the backgroun, with the same slightly horrified spirit that one felt on Election Night as shocking results began emerging from exurban counties in Florida. Then, yes—can this be happening?—the revised and unexpected result.

“In this case, obviously, the result was positive to all but the poor La La Land producers, with their earnest and spouse-approved speeches already delivered. Moonlight was no Donald Trump of cinema, and obviously a popular favorite. But the rhythm of the night was disconcertingly the same, and the sheer improbability of the happenstance scarily alike. Nothing like this has remotely happened before. This wasn’t just a minor kerfuffle. This was a major malfunction. Trump cannot be President. People don’t say “Grab ’em by the pussy” and get elected President. Can’t happen. In the same way, while there have been Oscar controversies before—tie votes and rejected trophies—never before has there been an occasion when the entirely wrong movie was given the award, the speeches delivered, and then another movie put in its place. That doesn’t happen. Ever.

“And so both of these bizarre events put one in mind of a simple but arresting thesis: that we are living in the Matrix, and something has gone wrong with the controllers. This idea was, I’m told, put forward first and most forcibly by the NYU philosopher David Chalmers: what is happening lately, he says, is proof that we are living in a computer simulation and that something has recently gone haywire within it. The people or machines or aliens who are supposed to be running our lives are having some kind of breakdown. There’s a glitch, and we are in it. There may be not merely a glitch in the Matrix. There may be a Loki, a prankster, suddenly running it.”
~ Adam Gopnik

“I think they were focused so hard on politics that they didn’t get the act together at the end,” President Trump said. “It was a little sad. It took away from the glamour of the Oscars. It didn’t feel like a very glamorous evening. I’ve been to the Oscars. There was something very special missing, and then to end that way was sad.”
~ Trump Offers Breitbart Exclusive On His Thinking About Oscar