Gurus o’ Gold: 9 Days Until Voting Begins

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Spotlight
1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 13 99
2 3 The BIg Short
2 2 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 2 4 1 13 94
3 2 The Revenant
3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 4 2 3 13 77
4 4 Mad Max: Fury Road
4 4 5 4 5 4 3 4 4 4 3 3 4 13 66
5 6 Room
5 5 4 7 6 5 5 6 5 6 6 5 5 13 47
6 5 The Martian
6 7 6 5 4 6 7 5 6 5 5 6 6 13 43
7 7 Brooklyn
8 6 8 6 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 13 27
8 8 Bridge of Spies
7 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 13 15
Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Brie Larson
Room
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 65
2 2 Saoirse Ronan
Brooklyn
2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 13 51
3 Cate Blanchett
Carol
3 3 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 3 3 3 13 37
4 Charlotte Rampling
45 Years
5 5 3 4 4 5 4 4 3 3 5 4 5 13 24
5 Jennifer Lawrence
Joy
4 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 13 18
Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Leonardo DiCaprio
The Revenant
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 13 55
2 Matt Damon
The Martian
3 3 3 2 2 2 2 4 3 2 3 3 4 13 42
3 2 Bryan Cranston
Trumbo
2 2 2 3 4 3 4 2 2 5 4 2 2 13 41
4 MIchael Fassbender
Steve Jobs
4 4 5 4 5 4 3 3 4 3 2 4 3 13 30
5 Eddie Redmaybe
The Danish Girl
5 5 4 5 3 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 13 17
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Alicia Vikander
The Danish Girl
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 13 64
2 2 Rooney Mara
Carol
2 3 4 2 2 2 2 2 5 2 1 2 2 13 47
3 Kate WInslet
Steve Jobs
4 5 5 3 3 3 5 3 2 3 3 3 4 13 32
4 Jennifer Jason Leigh
The Hateful 8
3 2 2 5 4 4 3 5 4 5 4 4 3 13 30
5 Rachel McAdams
Spotlight
5 4 3 4 5 5 4 4 3 4 5 5 5 13 22
Rank Last Chart Best Supporing Actor AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Sylvester Stallone
Creed
1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 63
2 Christian Bale
The Big Short
3 2 3 5 1 3 1 3 2 2 4 3 4 13 42
3 2 Mark Rylance
Bridge of Spies
2 3 4 2 3 5 3 2 3 5 3 2 2 13 39
4 Mark Ruffalo
Spotlight
4 4 2 4 4 2 4 4 4 3 5 4 3 13 31
5 Tom Hardy
The Revenance
5 5 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 4 2 5 5 13 20
Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 George Miller
Mad Max: Fury Road
3 1 2 1 3 1 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 13 57
2 2 Alejandro Inarritu
The Revenant
1 2 1 2 1 3 3 3 2 4 2 3 2 13 49
3 Adam McKay
The Big Short
2 4 4 3 4 2 4 1 3 1 3 4 3 13 40
4 Tom McCarthy
Spotlight
4 3 3 4 2 4 2 4 4 2 4 2 4 13 36
5 Lenny Abrahamson
Room
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 13 13
Rank Last Chart Best Original Screenplay AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Spotlight
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 65
2 2 Inside Out
2 2 3 3 2 2 3 3 2 3 2 2 2 13 47
3 Straight Outta Compton
5 3 2 2 3 5 2 2 5 2 3 5 3 13 36
4 Ex Machina
3 4 5 4 4 4 4 5 3 4 5 3 4 13 26
5 Bridge of Spies
4 5 4 5 5 3 5 4 4 5 4 4 5 13 21
Rank Last Chart Best Adapted Screenplay AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 The Big Short
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 65
2 t2 Room
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 2 5 3 2 2 13 38
3 Carol
2 2 5 2 5 5 2 4 5 2 4 3 3 13 34
4 t2 The Martian
5 5 2 5 2 2 5 2 3 3 2 4 5 13 33
5 Brooklyn
4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 5 5 4 13 25
Rank Last Chart Best Cinematography AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Emmanuel Lubezki
The Revenant
1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 63
2 2 John Seale
Max Max: Fury Road
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2 2 13 51
3 3 Roger Deakins
Sicario
3 5 3 3 5 3 1 3 3 5 2 3 3 13 36
4 4 Ed Lachman
Carol
4 3 5 4 4 5 4 4 4 3 4 4 5 13 25
5 5 Robert Richardson
The Hateful Eight
5 4 4 5 3 4 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 13 20
Rank Last Chart Best Documentary AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Amy
1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 13 63
2 2 The Look of Silence
3 2 4 2 1 2 2 2 3 4 3 2 2 13 46
t3 4 What Happened, Miss Simone?
2 4 2 3 4 3 3 4 5 1 4 4 4 13 35
t3 3 Cartel Land
4 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 2 3 2 3 5 13 35
5 5 Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight For Freedon
5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 5 3 13 16

4 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: 9 Days Until Voting Begins”

  1. PJ says:

    Borehood – Linklater were also winning this near equivalent poll last year.

  2. Mark says:

    Based on these predictions there is absolutely no drama in any of the major categories. The winners are all locked in.

  3. Chris L. says:

    Strongly intuiting that Glenn Whipp meant to put DiCaprio at 1 and not 11. Making his score unanimous would up his lead over Damon considerably. (Not that any of those five performances scream Oscar, however. Weakest category by far, as many have noted.)

  4. Daniella Isaacs says:

    Mark, in the top category, SPOTLIGHT and THE BIG SHORT are virtually tied. With all the talk of the economy due to the election, the latter will only rise, so there is a real horse race for best picture at the moment. I think the director race is going to tighten up, too.