Gurus o’ Gold: 2 Days Before Voting Begins

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
t1 1 Spotlight
1 3 3 1 1 2 3 3 1 1 3 11 77
t1 2 The BIg Short
3 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 3 3 1 11 77
3 3 The Revenant
2 2 1 3 4 1 2 2 2 2 2 11 76
4 Mad Max: Fury Road
4 3 2 11
One Vote Wonders
5 Room
5 1 4
Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Brie Larson
Room
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 55
2 2 Saoirse Ronan
Brooklyn
2 2 2 8
Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Leonardo DiCaprio
The Revenant
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 55
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Alicia Vikander
The Danish Girl
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 11 54
2 2 Rooney Mara
Carol
4 2 2 2 2 1 2 7 27
3 Kate WInslet
Steve Jobs
2 2 3 2 4 15
4 Jennifer Jason Leigh
The Hateful 8
5 3 2 4
One Vote Wonders
5 Rachel McAdams
Spotlight
3 1 3
Rank Last Chart Best Supporing Actor AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Sylvester Stallone
Creed
1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 11 51
2 Christian Bale
The Big Short
1 1 1 3 4 18
3 Mark Rylance
Bridge of Spies
2 3 3 2 4 14
4 Mark Ruffalo
Spotlight
3 2 3 3 10
One Vote Wonders
5 Tom Hardy
The Revenance
1 1 5
Rank Last Chart Best Director AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 2 Alejandro Inarritu
The Revenant
2 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 11 50
2 1 George Miller
Mad Max: Fury Road
1 2 1 1 2 2 3 1 2 3 10 42
3 3 Adam McKay
The Big Short
4 3 3 3 2 3 2 7 22
4 Tom McCarthy
Spotlight
3 2 4 3 9
One Vote Wonders
5 Lenny Abrahamson
Room
5 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Original Screenplay AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Spotlight
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 55
3 Straight Outta Compton
2 2 2 2 4 16
2 Inside Out
3 2 2 7
Rank Last Chart Best Adapted Screenplay AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 The Big Short
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 55
2 Room
2 2 3 2 4 15
3 Carol
3 2 2 3 11
One Vote Wonders
5 Brooklyn
4 1 2
Rank Last Chart Best Foreign Language AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Son Of Saul
Hungary
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 11 54
2 2 Mustang
France
2 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 9 37
5 Embrace of the Serpent
Columbia
5 3 3 3 7
4 Theeb
Jordan
3 4 2 5
One Vote Wonders
3 A War
Denmark
5 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Documentary AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Amy
1 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 11 53
2 t3 Cartel Land
2 3 3 3 2 3 2 2 8 28
3 2 The Look of Silence
2 1 2 2 2 4 6 23
t3 What Happened, Miss Simone?
3 1 2 8
One Vote Wonders
5 Winter on Fire: Ukraine's Fight For Freedon
5 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Animated Feature AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Inside Out
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 0
Rank Last Chart Best Cinematography AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Emmanuel Lubezki
The Revenant
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 55
2 2 John Seale
Max Max: Fury Road
2 2 2 3 2 2 2 7 27
3 3 Roger Deakins
Sicario
3 2 2 3 3 5 6 18
One Vote Wonders
5 Robert Richardson
The Hateful Eight
3 1 3
4 Ed Lachman
Carol
4 1 2
Rank Last Chart Best Costume Design AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Sandy Powell
Carol
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 9 44
2 2 Sandy Powell
Cinderella
2 1 3 1 1 5 22
3 4 Paco Delgado
The Danish Girl
3 2 3 3 2 3 6 20
3 Jenny Beaven
Max Max: Fury Road
5 2 2 2 2 5 17
One Vote Wonders
5 Jacqueline West
The Revenant
4 1 2
Rank Last Chart Best Editing AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Margeret Sixel
Mad Max: Fury Road
1 1 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 10 46
2 2 Hank Corwin
The Big Short
3 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 9 40
3 Stephen Mirrione
The Revenant
2 2 5 3 3 5 15
5 Tom McArdle
Spotlight
4 4 2 4
One Vote Wonders
4 Maryann Brandon & Mary Jo Markey
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3 1 3
Rank Last Chart Best Make-Up AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Mad Max: Fury Road
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 11 32
2 2 The Revenant
2 2 2 2 2 2 1 7 15
One Vote Wonders
3 The 100 Year Old Man...
2 1 2
Rank Last Chart Best Production Design AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Mad Max: Fury Road
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 11 55
2 3 The Revenant
2 2 2 5 2 3 2 2 8 28
4 Bridge of Spies
3 2 3 3 10
2 The Martian
2 2 2 8
5 The Danish Girl
4 3 4 3 7
Rank Last Chart Best Score AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Ennio Morricone
The Hateful Eight
1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 48
2 2 John Williams
Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3 1 2 2 2 2 4 2 8 30
3 3 Carter Burwell
Carol
2 3 1 3 2 2 6 23
5 Bridge of Spies
Thomas Newman
3 3 2 6
One Vote Wonders
4 Johann Johannsson
Sicario
2 1 4
Rank Last Chart Best Original Song AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 The Hunting Ground
Til It Happens To You
1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 11 52
3 Youth
Simple Song #3
2 2 2 2 4 16
2 Spectre
Writing On The Wall
3 1 3 2 4 15
4 Fifty Shades of Grey
Earned it
2 1 1 3 14
One Vote Wonders
5 Racing Extinction
Manta Ray
2 1 4
Rank Last Chart Best Visual Effects AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 2 Mad Max: Fury Road
1 2 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 10 46
2 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3 1 1 3 2 1 1 2 8 34
3 The Revenant
2 2 1 3 2 5 20
4 The Martian
4 4 2 4
Rank Last Chart Best Documentary Short AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 Claude Landmann: Specters of the Shoah
2 2 2 1 3 2 3 2 8 31
2 Body Team 12
1 1 2 1 1 3 6 27
Chau, beyond the Lines
1 3 1 5 4 14
Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
1 1 4 4 4 14
Last Day of Freedom
2 5 1 3 10
Rank Last Chart Best Animated Short AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 Sanjay’s Super Team
1 2 2 1 1 3 2 1 1 9 40
2 World of Tomorrow
2 3 1 2 2 2 2 1 2 9 37
Bear Story
1 3 1 3 4 5 18
One Vote Wonders
Prologue
1 1 5
We Can’t Live Without Cosmos
5 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Live Action Short AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 Shok
2 1 3 1 1 1 6 27
2 Ave Maria
1 3 3 5 2 1 2 7 25
Everything Will Be Okay
1 1 2 4 4 16
Day One
2 2 2 3 12
Stutterer
2 1 3 3 12
Rank Last Chart Best Sound Mixing AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Mad Max: Fury Road
2 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 11 52
2 2 The Revenant
1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 1 10 41
4 Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3 1 2 3 4 15
One Vote Wonders
3 The Martian
4 1 2
Rank Last Chart Best Sound Editing AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Mad Max: Fury Road
1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 11 53
2 2 The Revenant
2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 10 41
4 Star Wars: The Force Awakens
3 1 3 3 3 5 17
One Vote Wonders
3 The Martian
4 1 2
Rank Last Chart Best Sound Editing AdamsEllwoodFeinbergHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total

5 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: 2 Days Before Voting Begins”

  1. Bob Burns says:

    why does it take so long for the Academy to decide? The craft guilds do it in half the time and have to vote on TV/Online – twice as much work.

    Other than supporting the trades and the oscar industry online, there’s no good reason this should take so long…. these picks,as competent as they truly are, look like yesterday’s news.

    But, on the other hand, that pic from the luncheon will be (in)famous for decades.

  2. Jerry says:

    Interesting that what I thought was the worst of the doc shorts is expected to win.

  3. Karl says:

    Interesting to see the narratives that might fit some of these prognostications.

    Innaritu joining Ford and Mankiewicz in two consecutive wins, over Miller’s first nomination in a pseudo-career achievement win.

    Lubezki being the first threepeat (first two-fer actually nominated a third consecutive year, by the way) over Seale’s visual feast or even a long-overdue career achievement for Deakins.

    The fades of Mara and Rylance after what seemed like strong buzz in earlier phases.

    Wonder how much of these possible “narratives” seem to fit decent enough at this stage and how much seem false/irrelevant.

  4. pat says:

    How are Damon, Fassbender, and Cranston not “potential upsets”? If any of them beat Leo, isn’t that the very definition of the word “upset”?

    Why not just say that you don’t predict anything unpredictable?

  5. Daniella Isaacs says:

    There used to always be at least one surprise (what? Kevin Kine for “Fish Called Wanda?”), but lately not even that on Oscar night. Oh well, I guess the top prize is still something of a question mark.