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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Weekend Estimates by Klady-Man 2

Weekend Estimates 2015-07-26 at 9.29.12 AM

Not a particularly strong weekend for any of the top titles. The gross of the Top 5, new and old, is a few million better than the weakest weekend of the summer, July 4, which was led by 3rd & 4th holdovers and had the holiday on Saturday. A 57% drop for Ant-Man is nothing to crow about in its second weekend, yet was still good enough to keep a soft Pixels opening from being at the top of the chart. Southpaw and Paper Towns opened modestly. No signs of any effect of the violence in Lafayette on Trainwreck‘s second weekend.

More to come…

22 Responses to “Weekend Estimates by Klady-Man 2”

  1. brack says:

    I’m so out of the loop. Did that shooting happen at a Trainwreck showing?

  2. Tracker Backer says:

    That Southpaw number is pretty good. Still not sure why they released it in the summer, though.

  3. BoulderKid says:

    That’s a solid opening for Southpaw. “The Fighter” which had Wahlberg and Bale each of whom arguably had more heat than Gylenhael at the time of their respective releases opened to just a tick over 12m in wide release on about the same number of screens back in 2010. I’m not sure how leggy the film will be given that no one seems to be over the moon about it, but this is a win for Lionsgate’s marketing team.

  4. Tracker Backer says:

    It’s a Weinstein release, not Lionsgate. The chart is wrong.

  5. Hcat says:

    So fault in our stars minus Woodley and Dern equals 38 million less opening weekend. Sounds about accurate.

    And any word where Irrational Man lands among Woody’s recent works? That damn yahoo project will interfere with his delivering a movie next summer so I was hoping this one was worth a go (haven’t given magic in the moonlight a view yet). I know better than to hope for a classic, but I would be more than happy to have another whatever works.

  6. Hallick says:

    “So fault in our stars minus Woodley and Dern equals 38 million less opening weekend. Sounds about accurate.”

    And a “Fault in Our Stars” minus just Woodley? 38 million less opening weekend.

  7. Hcat says:

    Aww, but I Loved Dern in that role, you are correct she might not have been the thing that drove someone into buying a ticket, but my enjoyment of that film is at least a third her. And of course the remainder Woodley.

  8. jbritt says:

    In terms of Sandler movies, Pixels wasn’t horrible. It was silly but I’ve seen worse movies. He just gets extra harsh critiques because it is Sandler.

  9. Hallick says:

    “Aww, but I Loved Dern in that role, you are correct she might not have been the thing that drove someone into buying a ticket, but my enjoyment of that film is at least a third her.”

    Mine was as well, but in the heartless world of box office reckoning…

  10. storymark says:

    “And a “Fault in Our Stars” minus just Woodley? 38 million less opening weekend.”

    I wouldn’t go that far. The book was a big deal for the teen set. There was a lot of excitement for the story that had nothing to do with who was in it.

  11. Matt P. says:

    I know this has been discussed (ad nauseum) before, but there’s no way they make a second part of this Terminator “trilogy” right?

    It’s almost $70 million off the Salvation global take. It feels like this movie is insignificant enough in the culture that they could quietly walk away, call the whole thing off and no one would notice in three or four years.

  12. Hallick says:

    “I wouldn’t go that far. The book was a big deal for the teen set. There was a lot of excitement for the story that had nothing to do with who was in it.”

    True. I got too caught up in the idea that Laura Dern’s presence was moving the box office needle and didn’t realize I was agreeing with a 38 million dollar bump for Woodley’s.

  13. Hallick says:

    “It feels like this movie is insignificant enough in the culture that they could quietly walk away, call the whole thing off and no one would notice in three or four years.”

    When they go for the DTV reboot with Edward Furlong?

  14. palmtree says:

    Seems like they overestimated the strength of the John Green brand.

  15. Gus says:

    Haven’t seen Ant-Man yet so I won’t pass judgment but the saddest thing about that movie to me, by far, is that I have a hard time believing that Wright’s version of it wouldn’t live up to these numbers. If the desire was to create something to expand the MCU, then I suppose they’ve done that, but it seems to me that there was a chance to create something unique and potentially endearing that was missed. Such a drag to think about.

    I’m a huge fan of Scott Pilgrim, but even more than the film, I’m just in awe of the execution on that movie. The degree of difficulty of what he pulled off there is 100/100 as far as I’m concerned.

  16. Matt P. says:

    I had the exact opposite reaction to Pilgrim. I loved Shawn of the Dead, but felt his movies were getting progressively self-indulgent and Pilgrim was the peak of that.
    From moment one, it just didn’t connect for me. That was big accomplishment since there are so many people in and around that movie that I think are talented. Not saying he needed Marvel inference, but it felt like he needed a more confined box.

  17. martin says:

    Matt – Re: Terminator. I was wondering about that, and have to think it’s a call between Arnold and Cameron.

    As a Film/TV property, it’s dead, so Cameron needs to have other plans for it such as VR. That would keep Arnold involved/paid as a disembodied character. I can see Arnold facilitating a rights share much sooner than the 2019 reversion.

    If Robopocalypse is ever made, then the franchise value will be truly gone.

  18. Steve D. says:

    Marvel has to be happy with how the worldwide gross of Ant Man is going. Not only has it beaten all the other 3rd-tier superhero movies (including Green Lantern, Daredevil,the Ghost Riders, and the Blades), but it is now closing on the Hulk films and might have an outside shot at the Fantastic Four sequel. Assuming that is, that there are still some large international markets left to tap.

    Not bad for a film that could very easily have become another Catwoman or Elektra.

  19. amblinman says:

    “If Robopocalypse is ever made, then the franchise value will be truly gone.”

    This is maybe the last big popcorn movie I’d be interested in seeing Spielberg do. I hope it happens.

    I really do think part of what is killing attempts to revisit Terminator is that the first two movies were all Cameron and Schwarzenegger. People aren’t particularly invested in that universe. And how many times do audiences have to show HOllywood that they absolutely do not care about Arnold Schwarzenegger as an action hero anymore?

  20. Steve D. says:

    “I really do think part of what is killing attempts to revisit Terminator is that the first two movies were all Cameron and Schwarzenegger. People aren’t particularly invested in that universe. And how many times do audiences have to show HOllywood that they absolutely do not care about Arnold Schwarzenegger as an action hero anymore?”

    Time for Twins 2?

  21. amblinman says:

    I thought I read somewhere that they were indeed spinning that up. Because, you know, the visual gag still works. Right? Right.

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4