Gurus o’ Gold: A Week From Thanksgiving, aka Screener Time

gurus-nov20-top6

Rank Last Chart Best Picture AdamsEllwoodGrayHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Boyhood
1 1 1 4 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 14 136
2 2 The Imitation Game
3 2 5 1 2 3 2 3 3 3 4 4 2 2 14 115
3 3 Birdman
4 3 3 5 6 4 3 2 2 2 3 2 5 3 14 107
4 4 The Theory of Everything
6 5 2 2 5 5 4 4 4 5 6 3 3 5 14 95
5 6 Selma
7 4 10 6 3 5 10 6 4 2 5 4 4 13 73
6 8 Unbroken
2 9 3 7 1 8 9 5 9 8 10 49
7 5 Foxcatcher
5 8 4 9 10 6 5 8 8 7 7 8 12 47
8 7 Gone Girl
6 10 4 7 6 9 7 5 9 6 6 11 46
9 10 Interstellar
6 8 7 9 7 10 8 9 9 9 26
10 The Grand Budapest Hotel
9 7 8 10 8 6 7 7 22
9 Whiplash
8 10 8 10 8 6 7 10 8 21
American Sniper
7 7 6 10 4 14
Mr. Turner
9 7 10 8 10 10 6 12
Into The Woods
10 9 9 3 5
One Vote Wonders
Wild
9 1 2
Rank Last Chart Best Actor AdamsEllwoodGrayHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 2 Eddie Redmayne
The Theory of Everything
2 1 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 3 3 2 1 14 75
2 1 Michael Keaton
Birdman
4 2 2 3 4 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 3 14 68
3 3 Benedict Cumberbatch
The Imitation Game
1 3 3 2 1 3 3 3 4 4 4 2 3 4 14 58
4 David Oyelowo
Selma
3 5 4 3 5 3 3 1 5 4 2 11 39
5 4 Steve Carell
Foxcatcher
6 4 4 5 4 4 4 5 6 6 4 5 5 13 29
Bradley Cooper
American Sniper
5 6 5 6 6 6 6 8
Jake Gyllenhaal
Nightcrawler
6 5 5 3 5
5 Timothy Spall
Mr. Turner
5 6 5 3 5
Jack O'Connell
Unbroken
6 5 2 3
One Vote Wonders
Oscar Isaac
A Most Violent Year
6 1 1
Matthew McConaughey
Interstellar
6 1 1
Ralph Fiennes
The Grand Budapest Hotel
6 1 1
Kevin Costner
Black or White
6 1 1
Rank Last Chart Best Actress AdamsEllwoodGrayHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondNathanielRStoneThompsonWloszczynaWhipp Votes Total
1 1 Julianne Moore
Still Alice
1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 14 82
2 2 Reese Witherspoon
Wild
4 2 2 4 5 2 1 2 2 2 4 4 2 1 14 61
3 4 Felicity Jones
The Theory of Everything
4 3 2 3 3 4 3 3 3 5 2 3 3 13 50
4 3 Rosamund Pike
Gone Girl
5 3 4 3 2 6 3 5 4 4 2 3 6 4 14 44
t5 5 Amy Adams
Big Eyes
2 6 4 5 4 6 4 6 8 19
t5 Hilary Swank
The Homesman
3 6 6 4 5 3 5 5 8 19
Shailene Woodley
Fault in Our Stars
5 6 6 6 6 6 5 7 9
Jennifer Aniston
Cake
6 5 5 3 5
One Vote Wonders
Emily Blunt
Into The Woods
5 1 2
Marion Cotillard
One Day, Two Nights
6 1 1

November 20, 2014

Pre-Venice/Telluride/Toronto Best Picture Field
Post-Venice/Telluride/Toronto Best Picture Field
After New York…
Just Before Selma & American Sniper
Just After Selma & American Sniper

17 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: A Week From Thanksgiving, aka Screener Time”

  1. Bob Burns says:

    Karger still leaving Selma out of his picks.

  2. Dave Karger says:

    Right now Selma is my #11. It feels very strange to be so out of sync with all of my esteemed panelists! Clearly I’m missing something.

  3. curtis says:

    Karger, Selma is getting sky high raves. It’s going to make it in the top categories.

  4. benutty says:

    Went back to year’s past to see how the Gurus are usually doing by this time and it’s typical for them to be missing out on 2 eventual nominees in their pre-Thanksgiving predictions. My guess is that they’re doing worse this year than in the past because of the highly volatile climate of the race this year. I think they’re underestimating 4 films: Into the Woods, American Sniper, Whiplash and Mr. Turner right now and overestimating Gone Girl, Unbroken, Foxcatcher and especially The Theory of Everything.

    While they’re most definitely underestimating Interstellar, at least they still have it in their top 9. Not surprised they’re still counting The Grand Budapest Hotel in considering how long it took them to let go of Moonrise Kingdom.

  5. Bob Burns says:

    I’m from Birmingham and can’t imagine most Academy Members leaving King in Selma out of their top five…. especially now when voting rights are under attack.

    I do not think it will win major critics awards, but most nominees don’t.

  6. Glamourboy says:

    Has anyone seen Into The Woods yet? It seems to have fallen on these charts and I’m not sure it is because it has been seen…or just because other movies that have just finally been seen have pushed their way up the charts.

  7. Lola says:

    I pray Amy Adams doesn’t get nominated for her big Flop eyes for a THIRD YEAR in a row on her 6th nomination when she isn’t going to win anyway.

    Hilary Swank deserves it for playing a much more interesting character in a better film.

    then there’s Blunt to see.

  8. Helen says:

    Marion Cotillard should get the Oscar nomination for her wonderful performance in Two Days, One Night. And Gurus should support her.

  9. Pj says:

    LOL @ Theory of Everything at 4 and Redmayne #1.

  10. Glamourboy says:

    Question–are the gurus voting on the movies/performances they think deserve nominations…or what they believe will be nominated?

  11. xas says:

    Helen, Cotillard won’t happen this year. Not if she’s in France avoiding campaign.

  12. Glamourboy says:

    She went all the way to France to avoid campaigning? She could have just gone to Glendale.

  13. D says:

    I saw “Into the Woods” last night at a special screening (Karger, did I see you there too?). I really enjoyed it. They translated the material for the screen as well as one could imagine. How that will translate for non-fans of the show I can’t guess. Best part is the cast, with Streep and Blunt the MVPs. Blunt should definitely get a Golden Globe BA (comedy/musical) nod and may be a threat for that elusive 5th Oscar BAs slot. Streep should be pretty secure in Sup. Actress.

  14. Guest says:

    Jen Aniston deserves the 5th spot her screening of Cake is moving and her performance is Oscar worthy, brilliant and believable. A lot of industry people cried last night very touching movie

  15. Stephen Holt says:

    Eddie Redmayne is now #1! That’s wonderful!

  16. Barbara says:

    Aniston should not even be in the top 50.

  17. Eric 22 says:

    no love for Anne Dorval in Xavier Dolan`s Mommy?