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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Weekend Estimates (3-day) by Labored Klady

3-Day Estimates 2014-08-31 at 10.33.04 AM

7 Responses to “Weekend Estimates (3-day) by Labored Klady”

  1. Bulldog68 says:

    Dave on August 2nd: “So, another big opening of $170m+ production that is unlikely to lead to more than $250m domestic.”

    Dave on August 9th: “A summer-best Friday-to-Friday drop for Guardians of the Galaxy still leaves its 8-day total a bit behind Transformers 4, but looking like it has a good chance of topping Tr4‘s likely $245m domestic. Does that mean $260 million or $280 million or closer to this summer’s elusive $300 million? No one could know.”

    There’s no real shame in being wrong, but when you state your opinion like a fact on Aug 2nd, then that’s pushing it.

    And almost everyone after they saw the trajectory and drop offs were predicting at least $260+ but you. So I guess everyone else knew.

    As for $300m, it would have to drop like a stone not to get there. With tomorrow being a holiday, it will be $25m shy coming off of a $18m+ 4 day weekend. Do you honestly think that it doesn’t have $25m left in the tank?

    It’s not about powers of prognostication. It’s just about doing the math.

  2. EtGuild2 says:

    Some interesting international results:

    *APES is massive in China (massive even if you slice the opening in half). Looks like $700 million worldwide is in the cards! Huzzah.

    *LUCY looks headed to $400m worldwide, which would be a high for Besson as a director, producer or writer (ahead of the TAKEN movies and Fifth Element). That would also probably make it more profitable, from a purely box office perspective, than GODZILLA. And the world is ScarJo’s oyster…

    *INTO THE STORM is playing well enough overseas to get it in the black. Weird.

  3. brack says:

    I don’t think David stated as fact that GotG would not get to $250m, just that it was unlikely. Now, why he stated it so soon, I’m not sure. Maybe he was just used to so many big openings that didn’t cross that mark this summer. *shrugs*

  4. jesse says:

    Especially unsure, then, why he said it was unlikely to hit $300 million this past Friday.

    Not to dwell. Just seems like macro expertise and missing the actual details of how movies are legging out.

  5. Bulldog68 says:

    Hence my comment Brack.

  6. Bulldog68 says:

    Kinda sad that Edge of Tomorrow has just crept past $100m while T4 made it in just one weekend.

  7. brack says:

    Would’ve helped had a I read the Friday Estimates entry, lol. Yeah, not sure why David’s still holding to the under $300m domestic. Unless the film completely disappears after this weekend (something I doubt, but I guess minutely possible), it should meet and cross $300m.

The Hot Blog

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Title Gross Thtr % Chgn Cume
Venom 33 4250 NEW 33
A Star is Born 15.7 3686 NEW 15.7
Smallfoot 3.5 4131 -46% 31.3
Night School 3.5 3019 -63% 37.9
The House Wirh a Clock in its Walls 1.8 3463 -43% 49.5
A Simple Favor 1 2408 -50% 46.6
The Nun 0.75 2264 -52% 111.5
Hell Fest 0.6 2297 -70% 7.4
Crazy Rich Asians 0.6 1466 -51% 167.6
The Predator 0.25 1643 -77% 49.3
Also Debuting
The Hate U Give 0.17 36
Shine 85,600 609
Exes Baggage 75,900 62
NOTA 71,300 138
96 61,600 62
Andhadhun 55,000 54
Afsar 45,400 33
Project Gutenberg 36,000 17
Love Yatri 22,300 41
Hello, Mrs. Money 22,200 37
Studio 54 5,300 1
Loving Pablo 4,200 15
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4