MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report

XTheory of Relativity  

From the sublime to the ridiculous, the debut of Bad Grandpa led weekend movie going with an estimated $31.8 million. The Counselor, the session’s other major national debut, got clobbered in a fourth place finish that courted a dismal $8 million.

Exclusive newcomers were also generally disappointing though the non-fiction The Square on the Egyptian Arab Spring posted $12,600 from a solo effort. Also strong was the U.S. release of Cannes winner Blue is the Warmest Color with a $105,000 box office from four screens following its bow in Québec three weeks ago. In the niches the Philippines trumped India with the rom-com She’s the One grossing $310,000 at 41 venues while new entries in Hindi, Telugu and Punjabi all sputtered at the box office.

Second weekend expansions of 12 Years a Slave and All is Lost displayed the necessary strength to keep both titles in the race while The Fifth Estate fell precariously close to final edition levels.

Overall weekend revenues topped $105 million for a slight 2% slip from the prior frame but saw its first upturn in a month with a 10% boost from 2012. A year ago the third weekend of Argo led with $12.1 million gross, with the opening of Cloud Atlas bowing with $9.6 million.

Barnum (and Johnny Knoxville) was well aware of the juncture of taste and commerce and Bad Grandpa proved the point by exceeding high-end expectations of a $30 million debut. The Jackass mixture of orchestrated real life buffoonery was just the ticket to perk up the autumnal blahs. The film skewed 56% male with a crowd that was 63% aged 25-years and older. It also launched day-and–date in 16 international territories including Germany and the UK to excellent results that added $8.1 million to the larder.

Conversely, The Counselor had the critics unsheathing their knives about the star-driven yarn of a lawyer in over his head in illegal doings. “Pretentious,” “inept” and “impenetrable” were among the kinder charges and the audience got the message with the film sinking below expectations that weren’t especially strong anyway. Studio exit polls identified an audience that was 51% female with a whopping 85% aged 25-years old and over and heading for the exit.

The early fourth quarter landscape is definitely proving to be Darwinian with the likes of Gravity (poised to surpass $200 million Monday) and Captain Phillips surviving new predators while Carrie, Escape Plan and Rush struggle to sustain in the unforgiving jungle.

Weekend (estimates) October 25 – 27, 2013
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Bad Grandpa Par 31.8 (9,520) NEW 3336 31.8
Gravity WB 20.2 (5,450) -33% 3707 199.7
Captain Phillips Sony 11.7 (3,730) -29% 3143 70
The Counselor Fox 8.0 (2,640) NEW 3044 8
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 Sony 6.1 (1,950) -47% 3111 100.6
Carrie Sony 5.8 (1,840) -64% 3157 25.9
Escape Plan Lionsgate 4.3 (1,480) -57% 2883 17.4
12 Years a Slave Fox Searchlight 2.1 (17,150) 128% 123 3.4
Enough Said Fox Searchlight 1.6 (1,880) -10% 835 13
Prisoners WB 1.1 (780) -49% 1347 59.1
Insidious: Chapter 2 FilmDistrict/eOne .87 (710) -42% 1229 82.1
Rush Uni/eOne .69 (1,020) -45% 677 25.9
Baggage Claim Fox Searchlight .57 (960) -48% 594 20.8
We’re the Millers WB .56 (710) -25% 786 148.5
The Fifth Estate BV .55 (310) -67% 1769 2.8
Runner Runner Fox .53 (550) -68% 969 18.8
I’m in Love with a Church Girl High Top .52 (1,130) -47% 458 1.7
All is Lost Roadside .51 (6,270) 443% 81 0.65
Don Jon Relativity/Remstar .48 (880) -60% 540 23.5
Despicable Me 2 Uni .38 (1,010) -22% 379 364.2
She’s the One ABS .31 (7,580) NEW 41 0.31
Lee Daniels’ The Butler Weinstein Co. .28 (640) -27% 444 114.8
Pulling Strings Lionsgate .27 (850) -56% 315 5.6
Instructions Not Included Lionsgate .26 (870) -51% 301 43.9
Planes BV .22 (700) 47% 321 89
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $97.50
% Change (Last Year) 10%
% Change (Last Week) -2%
Also debuting/expanding
The Saratov Approach Three Coin .19 (5,080) 46% 38 0.72
Blue Jasmine Sony Classics .15 (1,260) -21% 119 32.2
Blue is the Warmest Color (Adèle) Metropole/IFC .14 (9,760) 239% 14 0.32
Wadjda Sony Classics .13 (1,470) -10% 87 1.3
Muscle Shoals Magnolia 81,200 (1,730) -51% 47 0.34
Inequality for All Weinstein Co. 72,400 (860) -43% 84 0.93
Kill Your Darlings Sony Classics 39,600 (4,950) -26% 8 0.13
Mickey Virus B4U 24,100 (505) 48 0.02
Capital Cohen Media 22,500 (11,250) 2 0.02
Spinning Plates Film Arcade 18,300 (6,100) 3 0.02
Bhai ATMUS 16,400 (280) 59 0.02
Les Beaux jours Metropole 16,200 (2,310) 7 0.02
Ishq Garaari Shemaroo 13,900 (770) 18 0.01
The Square Noujaim 12,600 (12,600) 1 0.01
Her Cry: La Llorona Investigation Dark Lightning 8,100 (1,010) 8 0.01
Triptique Seville 6,700 (1,540) 5 0.01
House in the Alley Pathfinder 4,850 (600) 8 0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 – Oct. 24, 2013)
Distributor (releases) Box Office (millions) Market Share
Warner Bros. (21) 1552.6 17.80%
Universal (15) 1302.1 14.90%
Buena Vista (11) 1168.3 13.40%
Sony (18) 981.2 11.30%
20th Century Fox (14) 968.1 11.10%
Paramount (12) 728.4 8.40%
Lionsgate (23) 555 6.40%
Weinstein Co. (22) 474 5.40%
FilmDistrict (8) 198.5 2.30%
Relativity (7) 171.1 2.00%
Open Road (6) 114.8 1.30%
Focus (8) 85.4 1.00%
Sony Classics (16) 66.9 0.80%
Fox Searchlight (10) 63.6 0.70%
eOne/Seville (25) 57.9 0.60%
Other * (284) 230.1 2.60%
8718 100%
* none greater than 0.4%
Top Limited Releasese (Jan. 1 – Oct. 24, 2013)
Title Distributor Box Office
Mud Roadside Attractions 21,590,086
The Way, Way Back Fox Searchlight 21,465,403
The Impossible * Lionsgate 18,499,801
Quartet * Weinstein Co. 18,390,117
Fruitvale Station Weinstein Co. 16,092,958
Enough Said Fox Searchlight 11,466,092
Before Midnight Sony Classics 8,112,146
The Spectacular Now A24/eOne 6,823,356
The Grandmaster Weinstein Co, 6,594,959
Amour Sony Classics 6,503,477
The Bling Ring A24/eOne 5,845,732
Closed Circuit Focus 5,763,901
The Wizard of Oz: 3D/Imax Experience WB 5,509,334
Hubble 3D * Imax 5,415,653
Chennai Express UTV 5,307,960
Pulling Strings Lionsgate 5,305,673
The Company You Keep Sony Classics/eOne 5,133,027
20 Feet for Stardom Weinstein Co. 4,704,434
Hyde Park on Hudson Focus 4,486,248
Frances Ha IFC/Mongrel 4,350,634
* does not include 2012 box office

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
The Purge: Anarchy 12.9 2806 NEW 12.9
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes 10.4 3969 -62% 113.4
Planes: Fire & Rescue 6.3 3826 NEW 6.3
Sex Tape 5.6 3062 NEW 5.6
Transformers: Age of Extinction 2.7 3224 -45% 219.9
Tammy 2.3 3402 -45% 65.9
22 Jump Street 1.4 2229 -31% 177.2
How to Train Your Dragon 2 1.1 2169 -40% 157.9
Earth to Echo 1 2450 -44% 29.7
Maleficent 0.9 1541 -27% 226
Also Debuting
Persecuted 0.31 736
Wish I Was Here 0.15 68
Velaiyilla Pattathari 61,800 31
Mood Indigo 10,400 2
There's No Place Like Utopia 10,300 1
I Origins 9,500 4
A Five Star Life 4,000 1
Alive Inside 3,600 1
An American in Hollywood 2,750 4
Among Ravens 2,000 4
Video Games 1,700 6
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
It was supposed to be a horse race (notwithstanding Belmont) but at the finish line the singular teen romance The Fault in Our Stars left the competition in the dust with an estimated $48.1 million debut. Conversely, the frame’s other major release Edge of Tomorrow proved disappointing in a distant second at $28.9 million.
Exclusive newcomers were strong, including a solo Manhattan campaign of $9,400 for Citizen Koch. Much-ballyhooed abortion-themed rom-com Obvious Child proved fertile with $84,100 at four dispensaries.
In the niches, Indian import Holiday partied fair at $373,000 while Pinoy romantic comedy Maybe This Time grossed an impressive return of $552,000 on a trifling 51 screens.
Revenues for the session exceeded $160 million and ebbed 3% from last weekend’s tally. It was 8% improved from 2013 when the debut of The Purge posted $34 million and holdovers of Fast & Furious 6 and Now You See Me duked it out for place position with respective box office of $19.6 million and $19 million.
Industry tracking pitted The Fault in Our Stars against Edge of Tomorrow with the former demonstrating a slight edge as it picked up momentum toward opening day. The adaptation of John Green’s YA novel of teens who strike sparks in a cancer support group had a prognosis of $35 million.
The tide truly turned when Fault generated $8.2 million and Edge took in $1.8 million from Thursday previews. Crystal ball-gazers upped the ante to $55 million but the picture took another surprise turn with an unexpected 31% drop from Friday to Saturday business. Strong WOM in exit polling bodes well to broaden the opening weekend crowd, a predictaly 82% of women and was 79% aged 25-years and younger.
Edge of Tomorrow appeared to suffer from the amusement park factor with the movie crowd opting to skip this particular fun ride. Tracking had pegged the pic to open at between $32 million and $34 million. Reviews were upbeat for the futuristic mayhem with a Groundhog Day twist that opened a week earlier in 27 international territories to $18.7 million.
Exit demos also indicated that the sci-fier wasn’t particularly stepping on Fault’s toes with a 61% male tilt and 73% of the audience aged 25-years and older. A studio spokesman expressed confidence for a strong second weekend hold but history and upcoming competition definitely have the picture bucking considerable odds. International prospects are already ahead of Edge of Darkness’s likely final domestic tally with a second weekend estimated at $82 million that included a $25 million bow in China, $16.6 million in South Korea and Russia with $8.6 million.
Open Road's Chef expanded effectively again, prepping $10 million domestically.
Weekend (estimates) June 6 - 8, 2014
Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
The Fault in Our Stars
Fox
48.1 (15,160)
NEW
3173
48.1
Maleficent
BV
33.6 (8,520)
-52%
3948
127.5
Edge of Tomorrow
WB
28.9 (8,280)
NEW
3490
28.9
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
14.9 (4,090)
-54%
3639
189
A Million Ways to Die in the West
Uni
7.2 (2,270)
-57%
3160
30.1
Godzilla
WB
6.0 (1.920)
-50%
3110
185.1
Neighbors
Uni
5.2 (1,940)
-36%
2674
137.8
Blended
WB
4.0 (1,370)
-51%
2928
36.5
Chef
Open Road
2.5 (1,940)
32%
1298
10.3
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
1.9 (1,290)
-46%
1481
196.3
Million Dollar Arm
BV
1.8 (1,120)
-49%
1643
31.4
Belle
Searchlight
.75 (1,580)
-40%
476
7.6
Rio 2
Fox
.72 (1,030)
-35%
702
125.6
Maybe This Time
ABS
.55 (10,820)
NEW
51
0.55
The Other Woman
Fox
.48 (980)
-65%
489
83.2
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
.43 (1,360)
-31%
317
255.9
Holiday
Big Pictures
.37 (2,590)
NEW
144
0.37
Heaven is for Real
Sony
.37 (830)
-54%
446
88.8
Words and Pictures
Roadside Attractions
.29 (2,940)
269%
98
0.54
Grand Seduction
eOne
.28 (3,020)
-13%
97
0.82
The Lego Movie
WB
.26 (960)
-5%
274
255.8
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Fox Searchlight
.24 (1,280)
-37%
185
57.8
Ida
Music Box
.21 (2,540)
-10%
84
1.3
The Immigrant
Weinstein
.19 (1,320)
-39%
145
1.4
Divergent
Lionsgate
.19 (650)
-43%
298
149
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$156.60
% Change (Last Year)
8%
% Change (Last Week)
-3%
Also debuting/expanding
Fed Up
Weinstein Co.
83,600 (950)
-49%
88
1.2
Obvious Child
A24
84,100 (21,030)
4
0.08
Cold in July
IFC
68,900 (970)
-38%
71
0.25
Night Moves
Cinedgm
48,500 (1,520)
126%
32
30,800
Lunchbox
Sony Classics
50,700 (1,100)
-9%
46
4.1
Filmistaan
UTV
35,500 (1,480)
24
0.04
WolfCop
Echolands
34,900 (4,360)
8
0.03
Ping Pong Summer
Gravitas
26,400 (1,760)
15
0.03
Supermensch: The Legend of Shep Gordon
Weinstein Co.
23,200 (5,800)
4
0.02
Only Lovers Left Alive
Sony Classics
22,800 (760)
-53%
30
1.6
Tracks
Mongrel
13,800 (2,760)
5
0.01
Citizen Koch
Variance
9,400 (9,400)
1
0.01
Trust Me
Paladin
5,100 (565)
9
0.01
Burning Blue
Film Arcade
4,600 (380)
12
0.01
The Case Against 8
Submarine
4,300 (1,430)
3
0.01
Test
Variance
2,400 (800)
3
0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014)
Distributor
Box Office
Market Share
Warner Bros. (12)
728.5
16.80%
Buena Vista (11)
677.1
15.60%
20th Century Fox (11)
615.2
14.20%
Sony (11)
577.7
13.30%
Universal (10)
540.5
12.50%
Paramount (8)
322.2
7.40%
Lionsgate (13)
285.4
6.60%
Open Road (6)
95.1
2.20%
Fox Searchlight (5)
83.7
1.90%
Weinstein Co. (12)
76.5
1.80%
Relativity (5)
75.5
1.80%
FreeStyle (6)
68.9
1.60%
Focus (6)
39.2
0.90%
eOne/Seville (14)
35.3
0.80%
Other * (142)
107.9
2.60%
4328.7
100.00%
* none greater than 0.4%
Top Domestic Grossers (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014) *
Title
Distributor
Box Office
The Lego Movie
WB
255,590,340
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
255,447,104
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
194,388,396
Godzilla
WB
179,093,006
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
174,401,266
Divergent
Lionsgate
148,811,524
Frozen *
BV
137,534,677
Ride Along
Uni
134,965,071
Neighbors
Uni
132,600,495
Lone Survivor
Uni/eOne
125,026,404
Rio 2
Fox
124,909,565
Mr. Peabody & Sherman
Fox
110,162,081
300: Rise of an Empire
WB
106,601,189
Noah
Par
100,950,258
Maleficent
BV
93,846,968
Non-Stop
Uni
91,869,306
Heaven is for Real
Sony
88,412,645
American Hustle *
Sony/eOne
82,661,672
The Other Woman
Fox
81,725,819
The Monuments Men
Sony
78,132,865
* does not include 2013 Box Office