MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report

You Dirty Rat

The revenge actioner Snitch debuted to $12.9 million but that put it in the bridesmaid slot behind returning champ Identity Thief that topped session charts with an estimated $14 million. Thief is poised to become the first 2013’s release to hit a $100 million domestic gross. The frame’s only other incoming national release was the alien terror yarn Dark Skies that opened to $8.6 million to rank sixth overall.

In the niches Bollywood served up Kai Po Che to an excellent $540,000 at 111 venues. Other Indian imports were largely moribund. In Québec, the latest Asterix and Obelisk adventure from France was off to a good start of $284,000 at 79 locations but local production Roche papier ciseaux (Rock Paper Scissors) failed to cut it with box office of $30,200 from 23 encounters.

New exclusive entries were also disappointing with Camp’s $8,400 single screen bow displaying any sign of hope.

Weekend revenues pushed to roughly $105 million for a 27% erosion from seven days past. It was also the fifth consecutive week to see declines from 2012 with the current session 21% off last year’s pace. Twelve months ago the debuts of Act of Valor and Good Deeds were top placed with respective box office of $24.5 million and $15.6 million.

Off campus the 85th Academy Awards will air ce soir. Contenders in the marketplace certainly appear to have benefited from Oscar fever and that could prove a key factor in determining 2014’s air date in light of an absence of a February slot due to playoffs in the sporting arena.

The Academy certainly is pushing (eventually) toward a late January broadcast but may not be logistically ready for that next year with glitches to fix in its first kick at the can at electronic voting.

Personally I’m just hoping that tonight’s presentation will have a smattering of surprises … pleasant ones.

Weekend (estimates) February 22 – 24, 2013)
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Identity Thief Uni 14.0 (4,360) -41% 3222 93.6
Snitch Lionsgate 12.9 (5,150) NEW 2511 12.8
Escape from Planet Earth Weinstein Co. 11.0 (3,290) -31% 3353 35.2
Safe Haven Relativity 10.6 (3,300) -50% 3223 48.1
A Good Day to Die Hard Fox 9.8 (2,760) -60% 3555 51.6
Dark Skies Weinstein Co. 8.6 (3,720) NEW 2313 8.6
Silver Linings Playbook Weinstein Co. 6.0 (2,970) -4% 2012 107.4
Warm Bodies Lionsgate 4.8 (1,800) -46% 2644 58.2
Side Effects Open Road/eOne 3.5 (1,680) -55% 2070 25.2
Beautiful Creatures WB 3.4 (1,160) -55% 2950 16.4
Zero Dark Thirty Sony/Alliance 2.2 (1,870) -25% 1197 91.6
Argo WB 1.9 (2,400) -12% 802 129.8
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters Par 1.6 (1,130) -54% 1425 52.9
Life of Pi Fox 1.5 (2,660) -3% 572 113.4
Lincoln BV 1.5 (1,690) -10% 875 178.6
Quartet Weinstein Co. 1.2 (2,610) -9% 456 8.9
Mama Uni/eOne 1.1 (980) -58% 1163 70.2
Django Unchained Weinstein Co. 1.0 (1,500) -35% 659 158.8
Amour Sony Classics .77 (2,350) -10% 328 5.2
Wreck-It Ralph BV .63 (1,570) -21% 402 186.7
Les Miserables Uni .58 (1,250) -33% 462 146.6
Kai Po Che UTV .54 (4,860) NEW 0.54
The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey WB .53 (1,360) -47% 388 300.9
Bless Me Ultima Arenas .45 (1,720) NEW 263 0.9
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $99.65
% Change (Last Year) -21%
% Change (Last Week) -27%
Also debuting/expanding
Asterix & Obelix au service de sa majeste Alliance .28 (3,600) 79 0.28
The Gatekeepers Sony Classics .14 (7,440) 148% 19 0.39
The Berlin File CJ Entertainment .12 (5,400) -35% 23 0.37
No Sony Classics 77,800 (12,960) -14% 6 0.19
Jabardasth 7 Seas 57,300 (1,330) 43 0.06
Roche papier ciseaux Filmoption 30,200 (1,310) 23 0.03
Zila Ghaziabad Showman 24,900 (800) 31 0.02
Aadhi Bhagavan Anbu 14,400 (1,030) 14 0.01
Camp FreeStyle 8,400 (8,400) 1 0.01
Doctor Bello Black Ivory 6,800 (390) 20 0.01
11 Flowers First Run 3,800 (1,900) 2 0.01
Domestic Market Share (January 1 – February 21, 2013)
Distributor (releases) Gross Percentage
Universal (5) 247.2 18.70%
Weinstein Co. (6) 194.5 14.70%
Warner Bros. (8) 159.4 12.10%
20th Century Fox (6) 128.7 9.70%
Lionsgate (9) 126.3 9.60%
Paramount (8) 117.2 8.90%
Sony (4) 99.6 7.60%
Buena Vista (5) 66.9 5.10%
Open Road (3) 59.9 4.50%
Relativity (2) 46.2 3.50%
Film District (3) 18.9 1.40%
Alliance/eOne (6) 15.4 1.20%
Focus (3) 13.7 1.00%
Other * (50) 26.8 2.00%
1320.7 100%
* none greater than 0.45%

 

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
If I Stay 6.8 2907 NEW 6.8
Guardians of the Galaxy 4.8 3371 -31% 239.3
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.5 3864 -44% 133.3
Let's Be Cops 3.2 3140 -44% 37.4
When the Game Stands Tall 2.9 2673 NEW 2.9
Sin City: A Dame to Kil For 2.6 2894 NEW 2.6
The Giver 4.7 3003 -57% 23
The Expendables 3 1.9 3221 -68% 19.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 1.6 1944 -23% 28.8
Into the Storm 1.1 2375 -54% 35.6
Also Debuting
Mardaani 52,400 76
Love is Strange 36,500 5
The One I Love 12,800 10
To Be Takei 6,800 15
Tu dors Nicole 5,800 3
Keyed: A Deadly Game of Sex Lies Betrayal 3,800 1
Are You Here 3,000 14
Expedition to the End of the World 2,200 1
The Prince 1,850 10
The Possession of Michael King 1,800 4
Salvo 1,150 2
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
It was supposed to be a horse race (notwithstanding Belmont) but at the finish line the singular teen romance The Fault in Our Stars left the competition in the dust with an estimated $48.1 million debut. Conversely, the frame’s other major release Edge of Tomorrow proved disappointing in a distant second at $28.9 million.
Exclusive newcomers were strong, including a solo Manhattan campaign of $9,400 for Citizen Koch. Much-ballyhooed abortion-themed rom-com Obvious Child proved fertile with $84,100 at four dispensaries.
In the niches, Indian import Holiday partied fair at $373,000 while Pinoy romantic comedy Maybe This Time grossed an impressive return of $552,000 on a trifling 51 screens.
Revenues for the session exceeded $160 million and ebbed 3% from last weekend’s tally. It was 8% improved from 2013 when the debut of The Purge posted $34 million and holdovers of Fast & Furious 6 and Now You See Me duked it out for place position with respective box office of $19.6 million and $19 million.
Industry tracking pitted The Fault in Our Stars against Edge of Tomorrow with the former demonstrating a slight edge as it picked up momentum toward opening day. The adaptation of John Green’s YA novel of teens who strike sparks in a cancer support group had a prognosis of $35 million.
The tide truly turned when Fault generated $8.2 million and Edge took in $1.8 million from Thursday previews. Crystal ball-gazers upped the ante to $55 million but the picture took another surprise turn with an unexpected 31% drop from Friday to Saturday business. Strong WOM in exit polling bodes well to broaden the opening weekend crowd, a predictaly 82% of women and was 79% aged 25-years and younger.
Edge of Tomorrow appeared to suffer from the amusement park factor with the movie crowd opting to skip this particular fun ride. Tracking had pegged the pic to open at between $32 million and $34 million. Reviews were upbeat for the futuristic mayhem with a Groundhog Day twist that opened a week earlier in 27 international territories to $18.7 million.
Exit demos also indicated that the sci-fier wasn’t particularly stepping on Fault’s toes with a 61% male tilt and 73% of the audience aged 25-years and older. A studio spokesman expressed confidence for a strong second weekend hold but history and upcoming competition definitely have the picture bucking considerable odds. International prospects are already ahead of Edge of Darkness’s likely final domestic tally with a second weekend estimated at $82 million that included a $25 million bow in China, $16.6 million in South Korea and Russia with $8.6 million.
Open Road's Chef expanded effectively again, prepping $10 million domestically.
Weekend (estimates) June 6 - 8, 2014
Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
The Fault in Our Stars
Fox
48.1 (15,160)
NEW
3173
48.1
Maleficent
BV
33.6 (8,520)
-52%
3948
127.5
Edge of Tomorrow
WB
28.9 (8,280)
NEW
3490
28.9
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
14.9 (4,090)
-54%
3639
189
A Million Ways to Die in the West
Uni
7.2 (2,270)
-57%
3160
30.1
Godzilla
WB
6.0 (1.920)
-50%
3110
185.1
Neighbors
Uni
5.2 (1,940)
-36%
2674
137.8
Blended
WB
4.0 (1,370)
-51%
2928
36.5
Chef
Open Road
2.5 (1,940)
32%
1298
10.3
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
1.9 (1,290)
-46%
1481
196.3
Million Dollar Arm
BV
1.8 (1,120)
-49%
1643
31.4
Belle
Searchlight
.75 (1,580)
-40%
476
7.6
Rio 2
Fox
.72 (1,030)
-35%
702
125.6
Maybe This Time
ABS
.55 (10,820)
NEW
51
0.55
The Other Woman
Fox
.48 (980)
-65%
489
83.2
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
.43 (1,360)
-31%
317
255.9
Holiday
Big Pictures
.37 (2,590)
NEW
144
0.37
Heaven is for Real
Sony
.37 (830)
-54%
446
88.8
Words and Pictures
Roadside Attractions
.29 (2,940)
269%
98
0.54
Grand Seduction
eOne
.28 (3,020)
-13%
97
0.82
The Lego Movie
WB
.26 (960)
-5%
274
255.8
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Fox Searchlight
.24 (1,280)
-37%
185
57.8
Ida
Music Box
.21 (2,540)
-10%
84
1.3
The Immigrant
Weinstein
.19 (1,320)
-39%
145
1.4
Divergent
Lionsgate
.19 (650)
-43%
298
149
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$156.60
% Change (Last Year)
8%
% Change (Last Week)
-3%
Also debuting/expanding
Fed Up
Weinstein Co.
83,600 (950)
-49%
88
1.2
Obvious Child
A24
84,100 (21,030)
4
0.08
Cold in July
IFC
68,900 (970)
-38%
71
0.25
Night Moves
Cinedgm
48,500 (1,520)
126%
32
30,800
Lunchbox
Sony Classics
50,700 (1,100)
-9%
46
4.1
Filmistaan
UTV
35,500 (1,480)
24
0.04
WolfCop
Echolands
34,900 (4,360)
8
0.03
Ping Pong Summer
Gravitas
26,400 (1,760)
15
0.03
Supermensch: The Legend of Shep Gordon
Weinstein Co.
23,200 (5,800)
4
0.02
Only Lovers Left Alive
Sony Classics
22,800 (760)
-53%
30
1.6
Tracks
Mongrel
13,800 (2,760)
5
0.01
Citizen Koch
Variance
9,400 (9,400)
1
0.01
Trust Me
Paladin
5,100 (565)
9
0.01
Burning Blue
Film Arcade
4,600 (380)
12
0.01
The Case Against 8
Submarine
4,300 (1,430)
3
0.01
Test
Variance
2,400 (800)
3
0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014)
Distributor
Box Office
Market Share
Warner Bros. (12)
728.5
16.80%
Buena Vista (11)
677.1
15.60%
20th Century Fox (11)
615.2
14.20%
Sony (11)
577.7
13.30%
Universal (10)
540.5
12.50%
Paramount (8)
322.2
7.40%
Lionsgate (13)
285.4
6.60%
Open Road (6)
95.1
2.20%
Fox Searchlight (5)
83.7
1.90%
Weinstein Co. (12)
76.5
1.80%
Relativity (5)
75.5
1.80%
FreeStyle (6)
68.9
1.60%
Focus (6)
39.2
0.90%
eOne/Seville (14)
35.3
0.80%
Other * (142)
107.9
2.60%
4328.7
100.00%
* none greater than 0.4%
Top Domestic Grossers (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014) *
Title
Distributor
Box Office
The Lego Movie
WB
255,590,340
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
255,447,104
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
194,388,396
Godzilla
WB
179,093,006
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
174,401,266
Divergent
Lionsgate
148,811,524
Frozen *
BV
137,534,677
Ride Along
Uni
134,965,071
Neighbors
Uni
132,600,495
Lone Survivor
Uni/eOne
125,026,404
Rio 2
Fox
124,909,565
Mr. Peabody & Sherman
Fox
110,162,081
300: Rise of an Empire
WB
106,601,189
Noah
Par
100,950,258
Maleficent
BV
93,846,968
Non-Stop
Uni
91,869,306
Heaven is for Real
Sony
88,412,645
American Hustle *
Sony/eOne
82,661,672
The Other Woman
Fox
81,725,819
The Monuments Men
Sony
78,132,865
* does not include 2013 Box Office