MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report

Domestic box office hit $10 billion and the week after Thanksgiving—traditionally one of the lowest grossing weekends of the year—posted the best-ever revenues for the period in recorded history. However, that was hardly the result of new blood.

The top grossing movies were all holdovers. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 2 held top spot for the third consecutive frame with an estimated $17.2 million. It was followed again by Skyfall with $16.9 million and Lincoln with $13.5 million.

It’s been decades since a major release has opened in early December as movie goers cannot be deterred from flood the malls for early holiday shopping. So it’s not surprising that new national releases were targeted to genrephiles. The freshmen class ranked further down the list with the offbeat hitman saga Killing Me Softly slotting seventh with $7 million and the grisly shocker The Connection just out of the top 10 with $3.1 million.

The results in the niches were markedly better. On the Indian circuit the Hindi Talaash bowed to a potent $1.6 million at 171 venues and the Telugu Krishnam Vande Jagadgurum was also strong with a $244,000 tally from 31 screens. Good results were due the Pinoy 24/7 in Love with $130,000 at 25 theaters but Quebec’s Esimesac proved disappointing with a $146,000 gross at 65 sites.

Imports also fared well in the exclusive openings. The Chinese Back to 1942 ringing up $103,000 from 20 engagements; Mexico’s Hecho en Mexico attracted $71,400 from a dozen playdates; and Korea’s A Werewolf Boy’s initial quartet generated $26,600.

Weekend revenues fell slightly shy of $120 million for a not unexpected post-turkey 45% decline. However, it was a significant 46% improvement from 2011 when the $27.8 million second weekend box office of Rise of the Planet of the Apes edged out the $26 million opening of The Help. Going into the home stretch box office revenues are 6% improved year-to-year at this moment.

The waning days of 2012 will be stuffed with a slew of award contenders vying to take the spotlight away from the likes of Argo, Lincoln and Silver Linings Playbook. Additionally the late year entries suggest strong appeal across the quadrants with an eclectic mix that includes Les Miserables, Django Unchained and Guilt Trip. Light the Yule log and bring on the egg nog.

Weekend (estimates) November 30 – December 2, 2012
Title Distributor Gross (average) % change * Theaters Cume
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 2 Lionsgate 17.2 (4,290) -61% 4008 254.4
Skyfall Sony 16.9 (4,890) -52% 3463 246
Lincoln BV 13.5 (6,700) -47% 2018 83.7
Rise of the Guardians Par 13.4 (3,660) -44% 3672 48.8
Life of Pi Fox 12.1 (4,130) -46% 2928 48.5
Wreck-It Ralph BV 7.1 (2,170) -57% 3259 158.3
Killing Them Softly Weinstein Co. 7.0 (2,900) NEW 2424 7
Red Dawn Film District 6.6 (2,410) -54% 2725 31.4
Flight Par 4.5 (1,720) -46% 2638 81.5
Silver Linings Playbook Weinstein Co. 3.3 (8,840) -25% 371 10.9
The Collection LD Entertainment 3.1 (2,200) NEW 1403 3.1
Anna Karenina Focus 2.2 (5,750) 147% 384 4.1
Argo WB 2.0 (1,930) -48% 1043 101
Talaash Big Pictures 1.6 (9,240) NEW 171 1.6
Taken 2 Fox .46 (930) -52% 496 137.2
Pitch Perfect Uni .41 (1,010) -43% 403 63.1
Hitchcock Fox Searchlight .40 (7,960) 38% 50 0.78
The Sessions Fox Searchlight .32 (1,430) -55% 226 4.6
Krishnam Vande Jagadgurum 7 Seas .24 (7,870) NEW 31 0.24
Here Comes the Boom Sony .23 (670) -54% 344 42.4
Cloud Atlas WB .22 (1,150) -47% 194 26.2
The Perks of Being a Wallflower Lions Gate .20 (1,070) -49% 189 16.6
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $110.50
% Change (Last Year) 45%
% Change (Last Week) -46%
Also debuting/expanding
Esimesac Alliance .15 (2,250) 65 0.15
24/7 in Love ABS .13 (5,200) 25 0.13
Back to 1942 China Lion .10 (5,160) 20 0.1
Chasing Ice National Geo 88,200 (1,110) -2% 40 0.36
A Late Quartet eOne 84,300 (1,140) -37% 74 0.87
Hecho en Mexico LionsGate 71,400 (5,950) 12 0.07
The Other Son Cohen Media 58,700 (1,400) -26% 42 0.88
A Royal Affair Magnolia 55,900 (1,400) -39% 40 0.37
The Central Park Five IFC 31,500 (5,250) 3% 6 0.07
A Werewolf Boy CJ Entertainment 26,600 (6,650) 4 0.03
Therese Desqueyroux Metropole 26,500 (1,660) 16 0.03
Rust and Bone Sony Classics 23,700 (11,850) -13% 2 0.06
Beware of Mr. Baker SnagFilms 11,800 (5,900) 2 0.01
Dragon Weinstein Co. 10,200 (730) 14 0.01
Silent Night Anchor Bay 9,600 (870) 11 0.01
King Kelly GoDigital 6,100 (6,100) 1 0.01
California Solo Strand 4,400 (4,400) 1 0.01
Young and Wild IFC 3,700 (1,850) 2 0.01
Universal Soldier: Day of Reckoning Magnolia 2,900 (970) 3 0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 – Nov. 28, 2012)
Distributor (releases) Gross Market Share
Sony (24) 1713.4 17.40%
Buena Vista (16) 1441.3 14.60%
Warner Bros. (26) 1411.2 14.30%
Universal (15) 1211.4 12.30%
Lions Gate (19) 1157.9 11.70%
20th Century Fox (18) 937.4 9.50%
Paramount (20) 770.9 7.80%
Relativity (6) 202.3 2.10%
Weinstein Co. (17) 153 1.50%
Open Road (6) 137.1 1.40%
Focus (8) 133.8 1.40%
Fox Searchlight (10) 111 1.10%
CBS (4) 89.9 0.90%
Summit (4) 47.1 0.50%
Sony Classics (19) 46.5 0.50%
Other * (328) 302.8 3.00%
9867 100.00%
* none greater than 0.4%
Top Domestic Grossers (Jan. 1 – Nov. 28, 2012)
Title Distributor Box Office
The Avengers BV 623,444,910
The Dark Knight Rises WB 448,052,931
The Hunger Games Lions Gate 408,043,896
The Amazing Spider-Man Sony 262,083,357
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn – Part 2 Lions Gate 237,182,504
Brave BV 236,974,220
Skyfall Sony 229,029,189
Ted Uni 218,795,265
Madagascar 3: Europe’s Most Wanted Par 216,509,794
Dr. Seuss’ The Lorax Uni 214,571,106
Men in Black III Sony 179,199,159
Ice Age: Continental Drift Fox 160,832,229
Snow White and the Huntsman Uni 155,326,249
Wreck-It Ralph BV 151,236,263
Hotel Transylvania Sony 143,555,525
21 Jump Street Sony 138,591,227
Taken 2 Fox 136,695,579
Prometheus Fox 126,477,084
Safe House Uni 126,367,263
The Vow Sony 125,074,813

2 Responses to “The Weekend Report”

  1. Daniella Isaacs says:

    Once again, someone talks about the big films of the year still to come “an eclectic mix that includes Les Miserables, Django Unchained and Guilt Trip” and doesn’t say a word about “The Hobbit”. Do I smell a bomb (or at least a vastly underperforming film)? What would the precursor for that be? It seems like I vaguely remember a “long awaited” sequel/prequel, or reboot finally coming out only to have everyone go “meh,” but I can’t remember what it was.

  2. Samka says:

    Just saw a screening of The Guilt Trip today. This will be a big hit. Sweet and funny and perfect for the holidays. Streisand gives a terrific performance.

Leave a Reply

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Guardians of the Galaxy 3.8 3462 -21% 262.1
As Above/So Below 3.2 2640 NEW 3.2
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 2.7 3543 -41% 153.3
If I Stay 2.6 3003 -62% 23.1
The November Man 2.2 2776 NEW 3.9
Let's Be Cops 2 3010 -39% 51.1
When the Game Stands Tall 1.4 2673 -52% 12.1
The Giver 1.3 2805 -37% 27.6
The Hundred-Foot Journey 1.1 1918 -30% 35.9
The Expendables 3 0.85 2564 -55% 30.5
Also Debuting
Cantinflas 0.81 382
Ghostbusters - 30th Anniversary 0.49 784
Rabhasa 0.1 86
Double Di Trouble 38,300 33
Life of Crime 30,600 35
Kundo: Age of Rampant 28,900 26
Swearnet 28,300 88
Raja Natwarlal 22,100 74
Peruchazhi 14,100 13
The Congress 7,560 13
The Last of Robin Hood 7,100 2
Starred Up 2,900 2
Temporary Family 2,800 5
Through a Lens Darkly 2,750 1
Road to Ninja: Naruto the Movie 2,700 7
Last Weekend 1,350 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
It was supposed to be a horse race (notwithstanding Belmont) but at the finish line the singular teen romance The Fault in Our Stars left the competition in the dust with an estimated $48.1 million debut. Conversely, the frame’s other major release Edge of Tomorrow proved disappointing in a distant second at $28.9 million.
Exclusive newcomers were strong, including a solo Manhattan campaign of $9,400 for Citizen Koch. Much-ballyhooed abortion-themed rom-com Obvious Child proved fertile with $84,100 at four dispensaries.
In the niches, Indian import Holiday partied fair at $373,000 while Pinoy romantic comedy Maybe This Time grossed an impressive return of $552,000 on a trifling 51 screens.
Revenues for the session exceeded $160 million and ebbed 3% from last weekend’s tally. It was 8% improved from 2013 when the debut of The Purge posted $34 million and holdovers of Fast & Furious 6 and Now You See Me duked it out for place position with respective box office of $19.6 million and $19 million.
Industry tracking pitted The Fault in Our Stars against Edge of Tomorrow with the former demonstrating a slight edge as it picked up momentum toward opening day. The adaptation of John Green’s YA novel of teens who strike sparks in a cancer support group had a prognosis of $35 million.
The tide truly turned when Fault generated $8.2 million and Edge took in $1.8 million from Thursday previews. Crystal ball-gazers upped the ante to $55 million but the picture took another surprise turn with an unexpected 31% drop from Friday to Saturday business. Strong WOM in exit polling bodes well to broaden the opening weekend crowd, a predictaly 82% of women and was 79% aged 25-years and younger.
Edge of Tomorrow appeared to suffer from the amusement park factor with the movie crowd opting to skip this particular fun ride. Tracking had pegged the pic to open at between $32 million and $34 million. Reviews were upbeat for the futuristic mayhem with a Groundhog Day twist that opened a week earlier in 27 international territories to $18.7 million.
Exit demos also indicated that the sci-fier wasn’t particularly stepping on Fault’s toes with a 61% male tilt and 73% of the audience aged 25-years and older. A studio spokesman expressed confidence for a strong second weekend hold but history and upcoming competition definitely have the picture bucking considerable odds. International prospects are already ahead of Edge of Darkness’s likely final domestic tally with a second weekend estimated at $82 million that included a $25 million bow in China, $16.6 million in South Korea and Russia with $8.6 million.
Open Road's Chef expanded effectively again, prepping $10 million domestically.
Weekend (estimates) June 6 - 8, 2014
Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
The Fault in Our Stars
Fox
48.1 (15,160)
NEW
3173
48.1
Maleficent
BV
33.6 (8,520)
-52%
3948
127.5
Edge of Tomorrow
WB
28.9 (8,280)
NEW
3490
28.9
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
14.9 (4,090)
-54%
3639
189
A Million Ways to Die in the West
Uni
7.2 (2,270)
-57%
3160
30.1
Godzilla
WB
6.0 (1.920)
-50%
3110
185.1
Neighbors
Uni
5.2 (1,940)
-36%
2674
137.8
Blended
WB
4.0 (1,370)
-51%
2928
36.5
Chef
Open Road
2.5 (1,940)
32%
1298
10.3
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
1.9 (1,290)
-46%
1481
196.3
Million Dollar Arm
BV
1.8 (1,120)
-49%
1643
31.4
Belle
Searchlight
.75 (1,580)
-40%
476
7.6
Rio 2
Fox
.72 (1,030)
-35%
702
125.6
Maybe This Time
ABS
.55 (10,820)
NEW
51
0.55
The Other Woman
Fox
.48 (980)
-65%
489
83.2
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
.43 (1,360)
-31%
317
255.9
Holiday
Big Pictures
.37 (2,590)
NEW
144
0.37
Heaven is for Real
Sony
.37 (830)
-54%
446
88.8
Words and Pictures
Roadside Attractions
.29 (2,940)
269%
98
0.54
Grand Seduction
eOne
.28 (3,020)
-13%
97
0.82
The Lego Movie
WB
.26 (960)
-5%
274
255.8
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Fox Searchlight
.24 (1,280)
-37%
185
57.8
Ida
Music Box
.21 (2,540)
-10%
84
1.3
The Immigrant
Weinstein
.19 (1,320)
-39%
145
1.4
Divergent
Lionsgate
.19 (650)
-43%
298
149
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$156.60
% Change (Last Year)
8%
% Change (Last Week)
-3%
Also debuting/expanding
Fed Up
Weinstein Co.
83,600 (950)
-49%
88
1.2
Obvious Child
A24
84,100 (21,030)
4
0.08
Cold in July
IFC
68,900 (970)
-38%
71
0.25
Night Moves
Cinedgm
48,500 (1,520)
126%
32
30,800
Lunchbox
Sony Classics
50,700 (1,100)
-9%
46
4.1
Filmistaan
UTV
35,500 (1,480)
24
0.04
WolfCop
Echolands
34,900 (4,360)
8
0.03
Ping Pong Summer
Gravitas
26,400 (1,760)
15
0.03
Supermensch: The Legend of Shep Gordon
Weinstein Co.
23,200 (5,800)
4
0.02
Only Lovers Left Alive
Sony Classics
22,800 (760)
-53%
30
1.6
Tracks
Mongrel
13,800 (2,760)
5
0.01
Citizen Koch
Variance
9,400 (9,400)
1
0.01
Trust Me
Paladin
5,100 (565)
9
0.01
Burning Blue
Film Arcade
4,600 (380)
12
0.01
The Case Against 8
Submarine
4,300 (1,430)
3
0.01
Test
Variance
2,400 (800)
3
0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014)
Distributor
Box Office
Market Share
Warner Bros. (12)
728.5
16.80%
Buena Vista (11)
677.1
15.60%
20th Century Fox (11)
615.2
14.20%
Sony (11)
577.7
13.30%
Universal (10)
540.5
12.50%
Paramount (8)
322.2
7.40%
Lionsgate (13)
285.4
6.60%
Open Road (6)
95.1
2.20%
Fox Searchlight (5)
83.7
1.90%
Weinstein Co. (12)
76.5
1.80%
Relativity (5)
75.5
1.80%
FreeStyle (6)
68.9
1.60%
Focus (6)
39.2
0.90%
eOne/Seville (14)
35.3
0.80%
Other * (142)
107.9
2.60%
4328.7
100.00%
* none greater than 0.4%
Top Domestic Grossers (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014) *
Title
Distributor
Box Office
The Lego Movie
WB
255,590,340
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
255,447,104
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
194,388,396
Godzilla
WB
179,093,006
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
174,401,266
Divergent
Lionsgate
148,811,524
Frozen *
BV
137,534,677
Ride Along
Uni
134,965,071
Neighbors
Uni
132,600,495
Lone Survivor
Uni/eOne
125,026,404
Rio 2
Fox
124,909,565
Mr. Peabody & Sherman
Fox
110,162,081
300: Rise of an Empire
WB
106,601,189
Noah
Par
100,950,258
Maleficent
BV
93,846,968
Non-Stop
Uni
91,869,306
Heaven is for Real
Sony
88,412,645
American Hustle *
Sony/eOne
82,661,672
The Other Woman
Fox
81,725,819
The Monuments Men
Sony
78,132,865
* does not include 2013 Box Office