MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report

Shaken, Stirred and Rocked

Stamina. James Bond has weathered a couple of dozen excursions and experienced many pinnacles and troughs. Skyfall ranks in the former with a North American debut estimated at $88.2 million … or roughly half of all movie tickets sold during the current weekend.

The competition steered clear of going head-to-head with 007 but one granite faced figure had the fortitude to establish an alternative beachhead. Lincoln put down his standard at 11 theaters and was rewarded with a victorious $907,000. Otherwise the exclusive bows ranged from poor to fair including the non-fiction Chasing Ice with $25,600 gross at two ridges and Danish Oscar submission A Royal Affair that entered the marketplace with $34,700 from six venues.

The bottled in Bond frame spurred on weekend revenues of more than $175 million and a tidy 26% boost from last weekend’s biz. It was a slightly higher 28% improvement from 2011 when the openings of Immortals and Jack and Jill topped the charts with respective launches of $10.1 million and $9.6 million.

The 50th anni incarnation of Ian Fleming’s operative has out-lasted and withstood every other movie franchise. Its international popularity has dwarfed domestic response for most of its history and is already in its third weekend of release overseas with more than $400 million in its casino royale.

If a little slower to catch on in the U.S. it should not be forgotten that 1965’s Thunderball was a phenomenal success, becoming the seventh biggest grossing of all-time at the time of its release.

Critical response to Skyfall has been rapturous and even the skeptical have had to concede their quibbles … are qibbles. Opening exit polls were skewed decidedly toward fans with 75% of buyers aged 25-years and older. They were also male dominated at 60%. With good word-of-mouth in the mix, the film should sustain and develop a whole new generation of fans.

Lincoln also garnered critical endorsement (it goes wide next weekend) and was elected to a solid first term. Despite its obvious bent toward history lesson and civics tutorial the film is apt to have its strongest appeal with an older crowd.

Meanwhile one couldn’t carp over the decent holds for both Wreck-It Ralph and Flight and the on-going appeal of Argo. And early niche prospects of The Perks of Being a Wallflower and The Sessions should sustain through the upcoming holiday and awards seasons.

It only leaves one thing to be said: Show me the magic.

Weekend (estimates) November 9 – 11, 2012
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Skyfall Sony 88.2 (25,160) NEW 3505 88.2
Wreck-It Ralph BV 33.1 (8,820) -33% 3752 93.7
Flight Par 14.7 (7,190) -41% 2047 47.4
Argo WB 6.5 (2,360) -36% 2763 85.5
Taken 2 Fox 3.9 (1,580) -34% 2487 131.2
Cloud Atlas WB 2.5 (1,240) -53% 2023 22.7
Pitch Perfect Uni 2.5 (1,790) -19% 1391 59
Man with the Iron Fists Uni 2.5 (1,320) -69% 1872 12.7
Here Comes the Boom Sony 2.5 (1,210) -30% 2044 39
Hotel Transylvania Sony 2.3 (900) -47% 2566 140.9
Paranormal Activity 4 Par 1.9 (810) -55% 2348 52.5
Sinister Lions Gate 1.4 (930) -47% 1554 46.5
Silent Hill: Revelation Open Road/Alliance 1.2 (640) -63% 1902 16.3
The Perks of Being a Wallflower Lions Gate 1.1 (1,760) -13% 607 14.6
Lincoln BV .91 (82,450) NEW 11 0.91
Alex Cross Lions Gate .87 (800) -56% 1090 24.6
Fun Size Par .72 (550) -69% 1301 8.8
Looper Sony/Alliance .56 (1,140) -54% 491 64.6
The Sessions Fox Searchlight .54 (4,220) 15% 128 1.6
Chasing Mavericks Fox .42 (920) -66% 459 5.2
Seven Psychopaths CBS .41 (1,150) -44% 356 14.1
Brave BV .30 (1,270) -8% 239 236.1
Frankenweenie BV .25 (660) -67% 381 33.8
Trouble with the Curve WB .25 (580) 36% 421 35.3
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $167.90
% Change (Last Year) 28%
% Change (Last Week) 26%
Also debuting/expanding
A Late Quartet eOne .18 (2,940) 142% 62 0.29
The Other Son Cohen Media .12 (2,200) -21% 55 0.51
Midnight’s Children Mongrol .11 (3,210) 37% 35 0.23
Searching for Sugar Man Sony Classics .10 (1,040) -34% 94 2.5
Smashed Sony Classics 39,200 (930) 15% 42 0.25
A Royal Affair Magnolia 34,700 (4,950) 7 0.03
Chasing Ice National Geo 25,600 (12,800) 2 0.03
Dangerous Liaisons Well Go 16,300 (2,710) 6 0.02
Starlet Music Box 14,500 (2,420) 6 0.01
Citadel Cinedgm 5,700 (5,700) 1 0.01
Christmas in Compton Barnholtz 5,600 (930) 6 0.01
Columbarium Fun Film 4,900 (700) 7 0.01
Burn: One Year on the Frontline A23 2,300 (2,300) 1 0.01
Coming Up Roses Dada 2,200 (2,200) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 – Nov. 8, 2012)
Distributor (releases) Gross Market Share
Sony (24) 1476.9 16.40%
Warner Bros. (25) 1383.5 15.40%
Buena Vista (15) 1277.9 14.20%
Universal (15) 1200 13.30%
Lions Gate (18) 913.1 10.20%
20th Century Fox (17) 891.2 9.90%
Paramount (19) 685.9 7.60%
Relativity (6) 202 2.20%
Weinstein Co. (16) 144.8 1.60%
Open Road (6) 134.7 1.50%
Focus (7) 131.4 1.50%
Fox Searchlight (9) 107.5 1.20%
CBS (4) 88.9 1.00%
Summit (4) 47.1 0.50%
Sony Classics (19) 46.1 0.50%
Other * (317) 267.4 3.00%
8998.4 100.00%
* none greater than 0.4%

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
The Purge: Anarchy 12.9 2806 NEW 12.9
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes 10.4 3969 -62% 113.4
Planes: Fire & Rescue 6.3 3826 NEW 6.3
Sex Tape 5.6 3062 NEW 5.6
Transformers: Age of Extinction 2.7 3224 -45% 219.9
Tammy 2.3 3402 -45% 65.9
22 Jump Street 1.4 2229 -31% 177.2
How to Train Your Dragon 2 1.1 2169 -40% 157.9
Earth to Echo 1 2450 -44% 29.7
Maleficent 0.9 1541 -27% 226
Also Debuting
Persecuted 0.31 736
Wish I Was Here 0.15 68
Velaiyilla Pattathari 61,800 31
Mood Indigo 10,400 2
There's No Place Like Utopia 10,300 1
I Origins 9,500 4
A Five Star Life 4,000 1
Alive Inside 3,600 1
An American in Hollywood 2,750 4
Among Ravens 2,000 4
Video Games 1,700 6
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
It was supposed to be a horse race (notwithstanding Belmont) but at the finish line the singular teen romance The Fault in Our Stars left the competition in the dust with an estimated $48.1 million debut. Conversely, the frame’s other major release Edge of Tomorrow proved disappointing in a distant second at $28.9 million.
Exclusive newcomers were strong, including a solo Manhattan campaign of $9,400 for Citizen Koch. Much-ballyhooed abortion-themed rom-com Obvious Child proved fertile with $84,100 at four dispensaries.
In the niches, Indian import Holiday partied fair at $373,000 while Pinoy romantic comedy Maybe This Time grossed an impressive return of $552,000 on a trifling 51 screens.
Revenues for the session exceeded $160 million and ebbed 3% from last weekend’s tally. It was 8% improved from 2013 when the debut of The Purge posted $34 million and holdovers of Fast & Furious 6 and Now You See Me duked it out for place position with respective box office of $19.6 million and $19 million.
Industry tracking pitted The Fault in Our Stars against Edge of Tomorrow with the former demonstrating a slight edge as it picked up momentum toward opening day. The adaptation of John Green’s YA novel of teens who strike sparks in a cancer support group had a prognosis of $35 million.
The tide truly turned when Fault generated $8.2 million and Edge took in $1.8 million from Thursday previews. Crystal ball-gazers upped the ante to $55 million but the picture took another surprise turn with an unexpected 31% drop from Friday to Saturday business. Strong WOM in exit polling bodes well to broaden the opening weekend crowd, a predictaly 82% of women and was 79% aged 25-years and younger.
Edge of Tomorrow appeared to suffer from the amusement park factor with the movie crowd opting to skip this particular fun ride. Tracking had pegged the pic to open at between $32 million and $34 million. Reviews were upbeat for the futuristic mayhem with a Groundhog Day twist that opened a week earlier in 27 international territories to $18.7 million.
Exit demos also indicated that the sci-fier wasn’t particularly stepping on Fault’s toes with a 61% male tilt and 73% of the audience aged 25-years and older. A studio spokesman expressed confidence for a strong second weekend hold but history and upcoming competition definitely have the picture bucking considerable odds. International prospects are already ahead of Edge of Darkness’s likely final domestic tally with a second weekend estimated at $82 million that included a $25 million bow in China, $16.6 million in South Korea and Russia with $8.6 million.
Open Road's Chef expanded effectively again, prepping $10 million domestically.
Weekend (estimates) June 6 - 8, 2014
Title
Distributor
Gross (average)
% change *
Theaters
Cume
The Fault in Our Stars
Fox
48.1 (15,160)
NEW
3173
48.1
Maleficent
BV
33.6 (8,520)
-52%
3948
127.5
Edge of Tomorrow
WB
28.9 (8,280)
NEW
3490
28.9
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
14.9 (4,090)
-54%
3639
189
A Million Ways to Die in the West
Uni
7.2 (2,270)
-57%
3160
30.1
Godzilla
WB
6.0 (1.920)
-50%
3110
185.1
Neighbors
Uni
5.2 (1,940)
-36%
2674
137.8
Blended
WB
4.0 (1,370)
-51%
2928
36.5
Chef
Open Road
2.5 (1,940)
32%
1298
10.3
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
1.9 (1,290)
-46%
1481
196.3
Million Dollar Arm
BV
1.8 (1,120)
-49%
1643
31.4
Belle
Searchlight
.75 (1,580)
-40%
476
7.6
Rio 2
Fox
.72 (1,030)
-35%
702
125.6
Maybe This Time
ABS
.55 (10,820)
NEW
51
0.55
The Other Woman
Fox
.48 (980)
-65%
489
83.2
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
.43 (1,360)
-31%
317
255.9
Holiday
Big Pictures
.37 (2,590)
NEW
144
0.37
Heaven is for Real
Sony
.37 (830)
-54%
446
88.8
Words and Pictures
Roadside Attractions
.29 (2,940)
269%
98
0.54
Grand Seduction
eOne
.28 (3,020)
-13%
97
0.82
The Lego Movie
WB
.26 (960)
-5%
274
255.8
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Fox Searchlight
.24 (1,280)
-37%
185
57.8
Ida
Music Box
.21 (2,540)
-10%
84
1.3
The Immigrant
Weinstein
.19 (1,320)
-39%
145
1.4
Divergent
Lionsgate
.19 (650)
-43%
298
149
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)
$156.60
% Change (Last Year)
8%
% Change (Last Week)
-3%
Also debuting/expanding
Fed Up
Weinstein Co.
83,600 (950)
-49%
88
1.2
Obvious Child
A24
84,100 (21,030)
4
0.08
Cold in July
IFC
68,900 (970)
-38%
71
0.25
Night Moves
Cinedgm
48,500 (1,520)
126%
32
30,800
Lunchbox
Sony Classics
50,700 (1,100)
-9%
46
4.1
Filmistaan
UTV
35,500 (1,480)
24
0.04
WolfCop
Echolands
34,900 (4,360)
8
0.03
Ping Pong Summer
Gravitas
26,400 (1,760)
15
0.03
Supermensch: The Legend of Shep Gordon
Weinstein Co.
23,200 (5,800)
4
0.02
Only Lovers Left Alive
Sony Classics
22,800 (760)
-53%
30
1.6
Tracks
Mongrel
13,800 (2,760)
5
0.01
Citizen Koch
Variance
9,400 (9,400)
1
0.01
Trust Me
Paladin
5,100 (565)
9
0.01
Burning Blue
Film Arcade
4,600 (380)
12
0.01
The Case Against 8
Submarine
4,300 (1,430)
3
0.01
Test
Variance
2,400 (800)
3
0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014)
Distributor
Box Office
Market Share
Warner Bros. (12)
728.5
16.80%
Buena Vista (11)
677.1
15.60%
20th Century Fox (11)
615.2
14.20%
Sony (11)
577.7
13.30%
Universal (10)
540.5
12.50%
Paramount (8)
322.2
7.40%
Lionsgate (13)
285.4
6.60%
Open Road (6)
95.1
2.20%
Fox Searchlight (5)
83.7
1.90%
Weinstein Co. (12)
76.5
1.80%
Relativity (5)
75.5
1.80%
FreeStyle (6)
68.9
1.60%
Focus (6)
39.2
0.90%
eOne/Seville (14)
35.3
0.80%
Other * (142)
107.9
2.60%
4328.7
100.00%
* none greater than 0.4%
Top Domestic Grossers (Jan. 1 - June 5, 2014) *
Title
Distributor
Box Office
The Lego Movie
WB
255,590,340
Captain America: The Winter Soldier
BV
255,447,104
The Amazing Spider-Man 2
Sony
194,388,396
Godzilla
WB
179,093,006
X-Men: Days of Future Past
Fox
174,401,266
Divergent
Lionsgate
148,811,524
Frozen *
BV
137,534,677
Ride Along
Uni
134,965,071
Neighbors
Uni
132,600,495
Lone Survivor
Uni/eOne
125,026,404
Rio 2
Fox
124,909,565
Mr. Peabody & Sherman
Fox
110,162,081
300: Rise of an Empire
WB
106,601,189
Noah
Par
100,950,258
Maleficent
BV
93,846,968
Non-Stop
Uni
91,869,306
Heaven is for Real
Sony
88,412,645
American Hustle *
Sony/eOne
82,661,672
The Other Woman
Fox
81,725,819
The Monuments Men
Sony
78,132,865
* does not include 2013 Box Office