Gurus o’ Gold: The First Returns Are In!!!


Rank Last Chart Best Picture (Unranked) BreznicanEllwoodFeinbergHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonWhippWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Argo
Warner Bros
3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 1 1 3 2 1 14 129
2 2 Silver Linings Playbook
The Weinstein Company
4 2 4 2 4 1 4 1 1 3 5 2 1 3 14 117
3 5 Lincoln
DreamWorks/Disney
2 4 3 4 5 4 1 5 2 2 2 4 3 4 14 109
4 3 Les Miserables
Universal
5 3 2 3 6 3 3 6 5 6 4 5 8 2 14 93
5 4 Life of Pi
20th Century Fox
1 5 9 5 3 5 5 10 6 4 3 1 6 13 80
6 6 Zero Dark Thirty
Sony Pictures
7 5 6 6 7 3 3 5 9 9 9 8 12 55
7 7 The Master
The Weinstein Company
9 10 6 10 7 7 8 9 7 4 5 11 39
8 9 Amour
Sony Classics
2 10 4 6 6 6 6 32
9 8 Beasts of the Southern Wild
Fox Searchlight
8 9 7 8 7 8 9 7 26
10 Flight
Paramount
6 8 6 7 8 5 20
10 Moonrise Kingdom
8 10 10 10 7 7 6 14
The Impossible
6 7 10 7 4 14
Django Unchained
8 7 9 10 10 5 11
Anna Karenina
9 9 10 8 10 5 9
Skyfall
9 5 2 8
The Sessions
10 8 9 3 6
The Dark Knight Rises
9 10 2 3
One Vote Wonders
The Hobbit
7 1 4
The Intouchables
8 1 3
Hitchcock
8 1 3




Rank Last Chart Best Actress BreznicanEllwoodFeinbergHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonWhippWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Jennifer Lawrence
Silver Linings Playbook
2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 14 82
2 2 Marion Cotillard
Rust and Bone
4 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 4 2 6 4 2 13 54
3 3 Quvenzhané Wallis
Beasts of the Southern Wild
6 5 3 2 6 2 3 3 2 2 4 11 39
4 Helen Mirren
Hitchcock
5 4 4 2 4 5 4 5 3 5 10 29
5 Jessica Chastain
Zero Dark Thirty
3 3 6 3 5 2 6 6 3 9 26
Naomi Watts
The Impossible
1 5 4 4 5 6 3 7 21
4 Emmanuelle Riva
Amour
6 6 4 3 5 6 6 4 5 5 10 20
5 Keira Knightley
Anna Karenina
6 5 5 3 4 3 4 6 8 20
Melanie Lynskey
Hello I Must Be Going
0 0
Mary Elizabeth Winstead
Smashed
0 0
One Vote Wonders
Maggie Smith
Quartet
5 1 2
Meryl Streep
Hope Springs
6 1 1




Rank Last Chart Best Actor BreznicanEllwoodFeinbergHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonWhippWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Daniel Day-Lewis
Lincoln
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 2 1 1 14 81
2 2 Joaquin Phoenix
The Master
3 4 2 4 3 4 3 4 2 2 2 3 2 2 14 58
3 t4 Denzel Washington
Flight
6 2 3 2 2 5 2 2 3 3 5 5 3 3 14 52
4 3 John Hawkes
The Sessions
2 3 4 5 6 2 6 1 4 4 3 1 4 4 14 49
5 t4 Bradley Cooper
Silver Linings Playbook
5 5 1 3 5 3 4 6 5 4 4 5 12 34
Anthony Hopkins
Hitchcock
6 5 6 5 5 6 6 6 6 9 12
Hugh Jackman
Les Miserables
4 6 5 6 5 5 9
One Vote Wonders
Jean-Louis Trintignant
Amour
4 1 3
Richard Gere
Arbitrage
6 1 1
Jake Gyllenhaal
End of Watch
6 1 1




Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actor BreznicanEllwoodFeinbergHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonWhippWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Philip Seymour Hoffman
The Master
3 4 2 4 2 1 4 1 1 2 1 1 3 1 14 68
2 5 Tommy Lee Jones
Lincoln
1 3 3 1 3 3 2 3 1 3 2 2 3 13 61
3 3 Alan Arkin
Argo
2 1 4 3 1 4 2 4 5 2 3 4 2 13 54
4 2 Robert De Niro
Silver Linings Playbook
4 5 2 3 2 1 2 3 4 1 4 11 46
5 4 Leonardo DiCaprio
Django Unchained
2 1 5 5 5 5 4 6 5 9 25
Matthew McConaughey
Magic Mike
5 6 5 6 5 5 8
Russell Crowe
Les Miserables
6 6 6 6 5 6 6 7
Javier Bardem
Skyfall
6 4 4 3 7
Ewan McGragor
The Impossible
6 6 5 3 4
Dwight Henry
Beasts of the Southern Wild
4 6 2 4
One Vote Wonders
William H Macy
The Sessions
3 1 4
John Goodman
Argo
5 1 2
Irfan Khan
Life of Pi
5 1 2
James Gandolfini
Not Fade Away
6 1 1
Bryan Cranston
Argo
6 1 1




Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress BreznicanEllwoodFeinbergHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonWhippWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Helen Hunt
The Sessions
3 5 3 3 6 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 14 66
2 3 Anne Hathaway
Les Miserables
1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 3 2 4 4 6 2 14 62
3 5 Sally Field
Lincoln
2 4 4 2 4 4 2 2 4 1 2 2 3 3 14 59
4 2 Amy Adams
The Master
4 3 2 4 1 3 4 3 1 4 3 3 2 5 14 56
5 4 Maggie Smith
The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
5 2 5 6 6 5 5 5 6 5 4 4 12 26
Judi Dench
Skyfall
3 6 2 5
Jackie Weaver
Silver Linings Playbook
5 6 2 3
Kelly Reilly
Flight
5 6 2 3
Pauline Collins
Quartet
6 5 2 3
One Vote Wonders
Shirley MacLaine
Bernie
5 1 2
Samantha Barks
Les Miserables
5 1 2
Kerry Washington
Django Unchained
5 1 2
Lorraine Toussaint
Middle of Nowhere
6 1 1
Ann Dowd
Compliance
6 1 1
Halle Berry
Cloud Atlas
5 1 1
Nicole Kidman
The Paperboy
6 1 1
Annette Bening
Imogene
5 1 1
Helena Bonham Carter
Les Miserables
6 1 1




Rank Last Chart Best Director BreznicanEllwoodFeinbergHammondHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonWhippWloszczyna Votes Total
1 Ben Affleck
Argo
3 1 1 1 2 1 1 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 14 76
2 Steven Spielberg
Lincoln
1 2 3 3 4 5 2 3 2 2 2 4 4 3 14 58
3 David O. Russell
Silver Linings Playbook
5 3 4 2 6 2 6 2 1 3 6 3 2 4 14 49
4 Ang Lee
Life of Pi
2 4 5 3 4 3 5 6 3 2 6 11 34
5 Tom Hooper
Les Miserables
4 5 2 4 3 4 5 4 2 9 30
Kathryn BIgelow
Zero Dark Forty
6 6 1 4 4 5 6 16
Michael Haneke
Amour
1 5 5 6 5 5 13
Paul Thomas Anderson
The Master
6 5 5 6 3 5 6 12
Robert Zemeckis
Flight
6 5 2 3
One Vote Wonders
Juan Antonio Bayona
The Impossible
6 1 1
Wes Anderson
Moonrise Kingdom
6 1 1
Christopher Nolan
The Dark Knight Rises
6 1 1

12 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: The First Returns Are In!!!”

  1. larry keating says:

    Helen Hunt winning a second Oscar before Anne Hathaway has won her first? I don’t think so.

    And Leonardo DiCaprio is going to move up the list once “Django” comes out.

  2. Stephen Holt says:

    I agree with the above poster. And Helen Hunt is not universally liked like Ann Hathaway is and Hunt HAS an Oscar already!

    I like that Mirren is placing now in Bactress but y’know the Actor’s Branch is not responding well to nine-year-old Q.Wallis who is STILL not in SAG. They don’t like this. They don’t like this AT ALL or so I’m hearing.

    And interesting to see that Emmanuelle Riva has vanished. As I foretold. They aren’t digging “Amour” either. Too close to reality for the AMPAS demographic ,older than water.

  3. YancySkancy says:

    That should be Samantha Barks, not Banks.

  4. Jerry says:

    I was hoping that Life Of PI would be a box office failure so I would never have to see it but the damn early nominations have screwed things up.

  5. David Airstrike says:

    Am I the only one who thinks it’s tragic not to have Christopher Walken anywhere on the list for Best Supporting Actor for The Late Quartet. He stole the movie, he killed it, and btw it’s Christopher F$&*#@G Walken! Am I missing something? This doesn’t make any sense whatsoever.

  6. Sam says:

    It’s worth pointing out that the chart doesn’t suggest that Hunt is more likely to WIN an Oscar than Hathaway, just that she’s more likely to be nominated for one.

    It’s a small difference, but sometimes that happens. Sometimes I think, well, it’ll be a stretch for this whatever to get nominated, but if it does, it ought to have a good chance at a win.

    That may be the case here. Hunt is kind of an obvious one to nominate, given that she’s the female lead in a two-actor film and has a very challenging and nuanced role. Hathaway, by contrast, might have a tougher time, as votes for that film might be split between its larger cast. It’s also more of an unknown quantity at this point, given that the film has not yet been widely seen (I think?). I still think she’ll be nominated, but you can make the case that she won’t.

    But once the nominations are in, I don’t see Hunt snagging the win, whereas Hathaway will probably be an attractive target for votes if she turns up on the short list.

    I agree that it’s more likely Hathaway’s year than Hunt’s.

  7. John says:

    Does the Gurus know that ALWAYS since 1936 the categories of supporting actor and actress has had at least 1 newcomer? It’s silly to have 18 returning nominees between the 4 categories!!!!

    Samantha Barks is happening, Ewan McGregor is happening, Hugh Jackman is happening, maybe Matthew McConaughey, Richard Gere can also happen (BFCA good score and a Globe nomination assured).

  8. Felipe says:

    Marion Cotillard gives the best female performance of this year and she deserved her second oscar nomination and oscar winning

  9. Michael says:

    I believe Nicole Kidman deserves a higher spot.

  10. Kholby says:

    Nicole Kidman deserves that 5th spot for sure. In a just world Nicole would win, but that’s not happening; however, at the very least she deserves a nomination.

  11. Chris Monelli says:

    Feinberg, not Feinstein.

  12. movielocke says:

    Picture, I hope we get 9ish again, or ten, the new variable rule is dumb, 10 nominees is superb:

    1. Lincoln
    2. Argo
    3. Les Miserables
    4. Silver Linings Playbook
    5. Django Unchained
    6. The Hobbit
    7. Life of Pi
    8. Flight
    9. Zero Dark Thirty
    10. Amour
    r/u Beasts of the Southern Wild, Anna Karenina, This is 40

    Director, only confident that these top two will survive the remaining season to the nomination, very competitive this year 3-5 could all fall out:
    1. Spielberg
    2. Hooper
    3. Russell
    4. Affleck
    5. Haneke
    6. Bigelow
    r/u Jackson, Tarentino, Lee, Zemeckis, Apatow

    Actor, this is the most competitive I remember the category being, top two are set, but the next three could change wildly (as wildly as former frontrunner Phoenix nearly being out of the race at this point):

    1. Daniel Day Lewis
    2. Denzel Washington
    3. Hugh Jackman
    4. Bradley Cooper
    5. Jean Louis Trintignant
    6. Joaquin Phoenix
    r/u John Hawkes, Jamie Foxx, poor-man’s-Toby-Jones, Tom Holland, Paul Rudd

    Actress, so wide open it is fascinating, Lawrence is winning and a free-for-all on the nominations:

    1. Jennifer Lawrence
    2. Quvenzhané Wallis
    3. Emmanuelle Riva
    4. Kiera Knightley
    5. Helen Mirren
    6. Marion Cotillard
    r/u Naomi Watts, Jessica Chastain, Leslie Mann

    Best Supporting Actor, just a crazy category with Django, 0D30, Hobbit and Les Mis yet to drop only TLJ is assured:

    1. Tommy Lee Jones
    2. Alan Arkin
    3. Russell Crowe
    4. Robert DeNiro
    5. Leonardo Dicaprio
    6. Richard Armitage
    r/u Christoph Waltz, Dwight Henry, Philip Seymour Hoffman, Jude Law, Javiar Bardem, Matthew McConaughey, Ewan McGregor

    Supporting Actress, the Les Mis girls, will they tie Tom Jones or surpass it?:

    1. Anne Hathaway
    2. Sally Field
    3. Amy Adams
    4. Helen Hunt
    5. Samantha Barks
    6. Kerry Washington
    r/u Maggie Smith, Amanda Seyfried, Frances McDormand, Kelly Reilly, Helena Bonham Carter, Barbera Streisand

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