Gurus o’ Gold: 1st Ranking Of Oscar Nominees In All Categories (Pt 1 of 2)

Gurus o’ Gold: 1st Ranking Of Oscar Nominees In All Categories (Pt 2 of 2)


Rank Last Chart Best Picture BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 The Artist
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 90
2 3 Hugo
2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 10 79
3 2 The Descendants
5 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 10 68
4 5 Midnight In Paris
4 5 4 5 5 3 4 4 4 5 10 57
5 4 The Help
6 7 6 4 4 6 5 5 6 4 10 47
6 6 Moneyball
8 4 9 6 6 5 7 6 5 6 10 38
7 9 The Tree Of Life
3 6 5 8 7 8 9 9 8 7 10 30
8 7 War Horse
7 8 7 7 8 7 6 7 7 9 10 27
9 Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
9 9 8 9 9 9 8 8 9 8 10 14

Rank Last Chart Best Director BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Michel Hazanavicius
The Artist
3 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 1 10 44
2 2 Martin Scorsese
Hugo
2 1 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 2 10 44
3 3 Alexander Payne
The Descendants
4 3 4 3 3 5 3 3 3 3 10 26
4 4 Woody Allen
Midnight in Paris
5 4 5 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 10 19
5 7 Terrence Malick
The Tree of Life
1 5 3 5 5 4 5 5 5 5 10 17
Rank Last Chart Best Actress BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Viola Davis
The Help
1 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 10 46
2 2 Meryl Streep
The Iron Lady
2 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 10 42
3 3 Michelle Williams
My Weekend with Marilyn
3 3 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 3 10 32
4 4 Glenn Close
Albert Nobbs
4 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 10 18
5 7 Rooney Mara
The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
5 5 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 12
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actress BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Octavia Spencer
The Help
2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 48
2 2 Berenice Bejo
The Artist
3 4 5 3 2 2 3 2 3 2 10 31
3 3 Jessica Chastain
The Help
1 2 4 4 3 5 2 3 2 4 10 30
4 5 Melissa McCarthy
Bridesmaids
4 3 1 2 4 3 4 4 5 3 10 27
5 6 Janet McTeer
Albert Nobbs
5 5 3 5 5 4 5 5 4 5 10 14
Rank Last Chart Best Actor BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 George Clooney
The Descendants
2 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 10 48
2 2 Jean Dujardin
The Artist
1 4 4 3 2 1 3 2 2 2 10 36
3 3 Brad Pitt
Moneyball
3 2 2 2 3 4 2 3 3 3 10 33
4 6 Gary Oldman
Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy
5 3 5 4 4 3 4 4 5 4 10 19
5 7 Demian Bechir
A Better Life
4 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 10 14
Rank Last Chart Best Supporting Actor BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Christopher Plummer
Beginners
1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 50
2 3 Kenneth Branagh
My Week With Marilyn
3 3 4 2 2 2 4 3 4 2 10 31
3 6 Max von Sydow
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close
2 4 2 5 3 4 3 2 3 4 10 28
4 5 Nick Nolte
Warrior
4 2 3 4 4 3 2 4 5 5 10 24
5 4 Jonah Hill
Moneyball
5 5 5 3 5 5 5 5 2 3 10 17
Rank Last Chart Best Original Screenplay BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 Midnight in Paris
Woody Allen
1 1 1 5 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 46
2 2 The Artist
Michel Hazanavicius
2 3 4 3 2 3 2 2 2 2 10 35
3 7 A Separation
Asghar Farhadi
5 2 2 1 4 2 4 4 3 3 10 30
4 3 Bridesmaids
Annie Mumalo & Kristin Wiig
3 5 5 2 3 4 3 3 4 4 10 24
5 8 Margin Call
JC Chandor
4 4 3 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 15
Rank Last Chart Best Adapted Screenplay BreznicanEllwoodHammondHarrisHowellKargerOlsenPolandPondStoneTapleyThompsonVanAirsdaleWloszczyna Votes Total
1 1 The Descendants
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon and Jim Rash
1 1 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 10 45
2 2 Moneyball
Aaron Sorkin and Steve Zaillian
3 4 1 2 2 3 2 2 1 1 10 39
3 3 Hugo
John Logan
2 3 3 1 4 2 3 3 3 3 10 33
4 4 Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
Bridget O'Connor and Peter Straughan
5 2 5 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 10 21
5 The Ides of March
George Clooney & Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon
4 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 12

19 Responses to “Gurus o’ Gold: 1st Ranking Of Oscar Nominees In All Categories (Pt 1 of 2)”

  1. Tuck Pendelton says:

    I agree with all of these.

    Adapted Screenplay could have something come out of nowhere. For some reason I think TTSS might come might take it. But this is based on absolutely nothing…so why am I wasting the internet’s time?

  2. Patryk says:

    Most of this will likely change after SAG: Pitt/Streep/Plummer/Chastain

  3. Steven Kaye says:

    Actually, Midnight in Paris is tied with The Descendants in 2nd place.

    Sigh. You people really stretch the definition of “guru” to breaking point.

  4. movielocke says:

    To me, the question is, which categories will Hugo win? I don’t see a slam dunk in any of the 11 categories it is nominated in, I could see a GONY esque shut out or a smattering of crafts appreciation, but it certainly isn’t sweeping. How strange would it be if the only award it won were Best Director?

  5. cadavra says:

    I can’t see it not winning Art Direction at the very least. Possibly Costumes and Cinematography as well.

  6. movielocke says:

    Costumes always goes to the prettiest/biggest dresses, Hugo doesn’t have anything to compare to Jane Eyre or Anonymous and it doesn’t have a chance in hell of winning.

    Cinematography almost always goes to the prettiest nominee, we have a wrench this year with the Artist. War Horse would normally win this easily, but Artist could easily eek out a win, working against the Artist is that it’s more in the MGM 30s studio style of high key lighting, and while their are several expressively lit scenes, it definitely isn’t the dynamic modernist style of black and white seen in White Ribbon, Good Night and Good Luck, Man Who Wasn’t There, Schindler’s List etc. It’s ironic that a classically lit black and white film is competing against a classically lit color film (and that it’s the color film’s anti-modernist stylistics that has infuriated closed minded snobs). Does Hugo have a chance here? I don’t think so, it doesn’t have the WOW factor of War Horse or the novelty factor of Artist. If it wins it coasts in on Scorsese’s reputation.

    Art Direction I’ll grant you it is probably the front runner, but there’s a decent argument to be made for at least four of those nominees. Midnight in Paris is definitely out, but it isn’t an easy category to call.

    Editing is perhaps Hugo’s best shot (other than director) at winning. This is because Thelma is an icon at this point, on the other hand, a lot of people feel that the film’s structure and pace (particularly when it starts lurching into the past in the second half) is the film’s biggest weekness, so… War Horse would be the prohibitive favorite here if it had been nominated. As it is Hugo just has to beat out Dragon Tattoo and Artist. Again Artist is such a wrench in the works due to being such a novelty item.

    Looking at the categories overall this is the most fascinating year in memory, other than Score and Makeup, none of the craft categories are completely decided. Usually these categories are relatively easy to call, but virtually all of the categories are competitive this year.

  7. christoph says:

    Meryl Streep deserves the oscar, only her, and rooney mara don’t deserve the nomination

  8. Logan says:

    @christoph: Yes and Yes, agreed. But Streep will not win.

  9. “Costumes always goes to the prettiest/biggest dresses, Hugo doesn’t have anything to compare to Jane Eyre or Anonymous and it doesn’t have a chance in hell of winning.”

    Wrong. It’s packed with a variety of costumes, particularly in the flashback sequences showing Melies’s productions. It has a damn GOOD chance of winning.

  10. movielocke says:

    I never said that Hugo didn’t have a variety of costumes, I said it didn’t have big/pretty dresses. Big/Pretty dresses always win.

    I’d prefer Hugo win, but it probably will not.

  11. I don’t think the big pretty dresses are so prevalent this year. Who knows who remembers Jane Eyre. Anonymous I could see winning. But I’ll hand it to the film with 11 nominations and an argument to win in the category for now.

  12. Alex says:

    @Logan: Why can’t Streep win?

  13. Sam says:

    If Best Costume Design goes to something like Jane Eyre, a film with relatively few other nominations, it would hardly be unusual. Disregarding Alice In Wonderland last year, which certainly did get a number of other nominations, the last few winners were:

    2009 – The Young Victoria
    2008 – The Duchess
    2007 – Elizabeth: The Golden Age
    2006 – Marie Antoinette

    That said, those were all queen movies, or nearly, and there are none of those in play this year.

  14. Carlos Aponte says:

    Is this possible that Streep it’s not going to win?

    That reminds me of Bette Davis in the 30’s after winning her second Oscar for “Jezebel” she never won another. “Dark Victory” ’39, “The Letter” ’40, “The Little Foxes” ’41, “Now Voyager” “42, “All About Eve” ’50, “What Ever Happened to Baby Jane” ’62 she deserved a third Oscar for any of those performances.

    I think Streep it’s way past due for a third Academy Award, I think she will win.
    If she doesn’t win for this performance she will not win an award ever and there will be a resentment for that.

  15. AWT says:

    Only winner I disagree with is Davis over Streep. I think finally the stars have aligned for Streep here. She may have been in a crappy movie, but her performance rose above that in a way not many actors working today are capable of. I suppose the SAG will tell the real story, but I just feel Streep will take it.

  16. TLA says:

    Viola Davis over Meryl Streep? Was Davis acting or just being herself? Seemed like the same character from Doubt.

  17. cadavra says:

    Davis’ problem is that she’s not really a lead. Co-star, perhaps, but the only bona fide lead in that picture is Stone. But she (Davis) is still young and her time will come. Christ, Glenn Close (Streep’s contemporary) has been at it for three decades and is still waiting for her first statuette.

  18. Danella Isaacs says:

    Just after last year’s show, one started hearing “Streep is WAY overdue for another Oscar. Next time she’s up she HAS to win.” It reminded me of when people–beginning with Julia Roberts–started saying “Denzel Washington is WAY overdue for a Best Actor Oscar.” The next year he got his for a very NON-Oscar type of role. It had just been decided, it seemed. I have a feeling that will happen this year for Streep.

  19. Janice says:

    I think this year is a lock for Davis, Dujardin, Plummer, and Spencer. I think the voters have “had it” with the Clooney and Streep overexposure and hype. And so what if Viola’s wasn’t a “leading role”–the part was big enough.

    Brando won for The Godfather and his part was a third of Pacino’s (who was placed in supporting actor category).