MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report, December 18, 2011

Squeakel … Schmeakel

The industry adhered to Bert Lance’s admonishment that “if it ain’t broke don’t fix it” with a trio of sequels on the cusp of holiday movie going. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows led with an estimated $39.3 million followed by Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked grossing $23.3 million and Mission Impossible – Ghost Protocol in caboose position at $13.1 million.

Additionally a couple of awards contenders opened in exclusives including Oscar doc short listed dance profile Pina that tripped a light fantastic $16,200 at two venues. The screen adaptation of (Gods of) Carnage bowed at five sites with an OK $85,200.

Weekend revenues ballooned 61% from last weekend to roughly $122 million but continued to lag behind the comparable 2011 session by 12%. A year ago the frame was led by new releases Tron: Legacy and Yogi Bear with respective box office bows of $44 million and $16.4 million.

Domestic box office year to date is approaching $9.7 billion which translates into roughly 4.5% less stamina than last year. With 13 viewing days left in 2011 the prospects of making up an additional $400 million to bridge the gap are, well, impossible to be blunt.

Pundits anticipated considerably stronger openings for both Sherlock and Alvin than transpired. Sherlock, the sequel, was spit-balled at between $50 million and $55 million while the Chipmunks were predicted with a curtain raiser somewhere around $30 million and $35 million. In the rear view mirror it’s easy to say that ticket buyers continue to be more hesitant to plunking down $25 plus for a night at the flickers.

Sherlock skewed older and male with 68% of the crowd 25 years and old and 59% guys according to studio exit polls while the Alvin gang was 54% female with 53% of the audience 25 years and younger.

The weekend puzzler was the decision to platform the fourth Mission Impossible installment prior to a Dec. 21 national release. The generally best reviewed of the series had strong per screens but hardly seemed in need of a word-of-mouth campaign. Last weekend Paramount bowed The Adventures of Tintin in Quebec to great response. The character is well known in the province and wound up the top grossing film in Canada but the studio for some odd reason didn’t report grosses or send out a press release to tub thump its boffo biz. Incidentally Paramount is nonetheless the domestic market share champion two years running.

On the awards front The Descendants remains the sole contender in wide release. The likes of still in the game picture prospect The Artist and major category possibilities Shame, My Week with Marilyn and Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy remain stronger as everyone girds for the final spate of Oscar hopefuls in the coming fortnight.

Weekend (estimates) December 16 – 18, 2011
Title Distributor Gross (avg) % chng Thtrs Cume
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows WB 39.3 (10,620) NEW 3703 39.3
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chip-Wrecked Fox 23.3 (6,2560) NEW 3723 23.3
Mission Impossible – Ghost Protocol Par 13.1 (30,920) NEW 425 13.1
New Year’s Eve WB 7.5 (2,130) -43% 3505 24.9
The Sitter Fox 4.4 (1,590) -54% 2752 17.7
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Summit 4.2 (1,410) -47% 2958 266.3
Arthur Christmas Sony 3.6 (1,240) -44% 2929 38.6
Hugo Par 3.6 (1,430) -40% 2532 39.1
Young Adult Par 3.5 (3,520) 1019% 986 3.9
The Muppets BV 3.4 (1,220) -51% 2808 70.9
The Descendants Fox Searchlight 3.2 (3,610) -28% 878 28.6
The Adventures of Tintin Par 1.3 (8,990) -6% 148 3.4
Jack and Jill Sony 1.2 (640) -60% 1910 70.5
Happy Feet Two WB 1.0 (570) -73% 1780 58.8
Tower Heist Uni .88 (670) -63% 1315 75.8
Immortals Relativity .82 (680) -67% 1210 81.9
My Week with Marilyn Weinstein Co. .59 (2,420) -24% 244 6.1
Puss in Boots Par .46 (610) -72% 757 142.8
Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy Focus .45 (28,000) 44% 16 0.88
J. Edgar WB .37 (530) -69% 703 35.7
Shame Searchlight/Alliance .30 (5,970) 8% 21 1.2
The Artist Weinstein Co. .28 (16,650) -4% 17 1.3
Dolphin Tale WB .19 (680) -29% 281 71.3
A Very Harold & Kumar 3D Christmas WB .17 (850) -64% 202 34.4
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) $114.90
% Change (Last Year) -12%
% Change (Last Week) 61%
Also debuting/expanding
A Dangerous Method Sony Classics .15 (9,100) 101% 17 0.72
Carnage Sony Classics 85,210 (17,040) 5 0.09
Like Crazy Par Vantage 56,400 (560) -66% 100 3.3
Pina Mongrol 16,200 (8,100) 2 0.02
Spellbound CJ Entertainment 9,100 (9,100) 1 0.01
Cook County Hannover House 7,700 (1,540) 5 0.01
Corman’s World Anchor Bay 6,300 (3,150) 2 0.01
Addiction Incorporated Variance 5,500 (5,500) 1 0.01
Domestic Market Share (Jan. 1 – Dec. 15, 2011)
Distributor (releases) Gross Market Share
Paramount (21) 1763.8 18.40%
Warner Bros. (29) 1653.8 17.30%
Sony (28) 1207.4 12.60%
Buena Vista (16) 1179.3 12.30%
Universal (18) 1038.5 10.90%
20th Century Fox (17) 840.1 8.80%
Summit (9) 387.2 4.10%
Weinstein Co. (15) 289.3 3.00%
Relativity (8) 225.9 2.40%
Lions Gate (16) 184.9 1.90%
Fox Searchlight (13) 136.7 1.40%
Film District (4) 125.8 1.30%
Focus (8) 124.1 1.30%
Sony Classics (17) 87.3 0.90%
CBS (3) 57.5 0.60%
Other * (336) 267.8 2.80%
9569.4 100.00%
* none greater than 0.35%
Top Domestic Grossers * (Jan. 1 – Dec. 15, 2011)
Title Distributor Gross
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hollows, Part 2 WB 381,011,219
Transformers: Dark of the Moon Par 352,424,682
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Summit 262,130,081
The Hangover 2 WB 254,464,305
Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides BV 241,071,802
Fast Five Uni 209,999,424
Cars 2 BV 191,452,396
Thor Par 181,066,624
Rise of the Planet of the Apes Fox 176,711,822
Captain America: The First Avenger Par 176,679,192
The Help BV 169,273,652
Bridesmaids Uni 169,185,860
Kung Fu Panda 2 Par 165,347,740
X-Men: First Class Fox 146,408,305
Rio Fox 143,619,809
The Smurfs Sony 142,614,158
Puss in Boots Par 142,310,193
Super 8 Par 127,021,426
Rango Par 123,481,694
The King’s Speech * Weinstein Co. 121,123,415
* does not include 2010 box office

Leave a Reply

Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
THG: Mockingjay - Part 1 Lionsgate 6.6 4054 -73%
Horrible Bosses 2 WB 2.7 3400 -57%
Penguins of Madagascar Fox 2.4 3775 -77%
Interstellar Par 2.1 3028 -67%
Big Hero 6 BV 1.8 3168 -77%
Dumb and Dumber To Uni 1.2 3088 -63%
The Theory of Everything Focus 0.75 826 -61%
The Pyramid Fox 0.45 589 NEW
Gone Girl Fox 0.4 1205 -57%
St. Vincent Weinstein Co. 0.3 1432 -56%
Also Debuting
Wild Searchlight 0.16 21
Action Jackson Eros 55,200 125
Corner Gas Prairie Pants 52,500 96
Past Tense ABS 34,900 50
Serena eOne 17,800 38
Panico 5 Bravo Lionsgate 9,700 22
Dying of the Light Lionsgate 3,700 10
Miss Julie Wrekin Hill 3,250 5
She's Beautiful When She's Angry Intl Film Circuit 3,100 1
Uzumasa Limelight 11 Arts 2,500 13
Tell Orion 2,500 9
The Passionate Thief (reissue) Rialto 2,200 1
Zero Motivation Zeitgeist 1,850 1
Concerning Violence Kino 1,050 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4
The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies