MCN Columnists
Leonard Klady

By Leonard Klady Klady@moviecitynews.com

The Weekend Report: January 9, 2011

Season of the Grinch

Times were darn good for a man who eats grits as the season’s surprise hit True Grit edged out Little Fockers for the top slot in weekend movie sales. The films had respective three-day box office of $14.8 million and $13.7 million.

The lone newcomer of the session was the thriller Season of the Witch that slotted third with $10.4 million. It also featured the national launch (following an Oscar-qualifying run) of the hard life musical yarn 

Niche freshmen included No One Killed Jessica on the Bollywood circuit with an OK $280,000. The small but loyal Filipino audience was out in force for recent Manila Fest favorite Ang Tanging Ina Mo Last that grossed $104,000 from 11 screens.

Overall revenues generated about $112 million that repped a 30% drop from both last weekend and the first weekend of 2010. Avatar led ticket sales last year with a $50.3 million frame.

With final numbers for 2010 finally tallied, results (see charts) were marginally better than initial projections. The year finished at $10.63 billion and a slim 0.4% decline from 2009. While the majors experienced the sort of annual fluctuations that are the norm, most of the independents took it hard on the chin. Overture, Focus and The Weinstein Co. each experienced the pain of not having a single hit on the domestic front and revenues that shrunk by half or more.

The New Year has largely been dominated by adult fare with the likes of Grit, Black Swan, The Fighter and The King’s Speech showing the best resilience and generating positive word-of-mouth as award season ramps up. Conversely family targeted films are experiencing fast fades.

The mood is more glum than gloom. Industry mavens and pundits essentially don’t see a breakout success in the upcoming two to three months … but are willing to be surprised.

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Weekend Estimates – January 7-9, 2011

Title Distributor Gross (average) % change * Theaters Cume
True Grit Par 14.8 (4,740) -39% 3124 110.2
Little Fockers Uni 13.7 (3,740) -47% 3675 123.9
Season of the Witch Relativity 10.4 (3,680) NEW 2816 10.4
Tron: Legacy BV 10.1 (3,350) -46% 3013 148.2
Black Swan Fox Searchlight 8.2 (5,160) -8% 1584 61.3
Country Strong Sony 7,3 (5,150)   1424 7.5
The Fighter Par/Alliance 6.9 (2,740) -31% 2528 57.8
Yogi Bear WB 6.6 (2,020) -47% 3288 75.4
The King’s Speech Weinstein Co. 6.6 (8,650) -16% 758 33
Tangled BV 5.1 ((2,160) -48% 2383 175.8
Gulliver’s Travels Fox 4.7 (1,590) -49% 2964 34.6
Chronicles of Narnia: Dawn Treader Fox 4.7 (1,660) -54% 2814 94.6
The Tourist Sony 3.9 (1,580) -42% 2442 61.3
Harry Potter & the Deathly Hollows, Part 1* WB 2.4 (1,570) -49% 1507 287.7
How Do You Know Sony 1.9 (990) -59% 1902 28.8
Blue Valentine Weinstein Co. .73 (18,250) 277% 40 1.2
The Social Network Sony .62 (1,030 34% 603 94
Unstoppable Fox .33 (830) -37% 398 80
No One Killed Jessica UTV .28 (4,200) NEW 67 0.28
Due Date WB .26 (1,070) -39% 244 99.6
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films)   $108.65      
% Change (Last Year)   -30%      
% Change (Last Week)   -30%      
Also debuting/expanding
Somewhere Focus .13 (7,820) -4% 17 0.63
Ang Tanging Ina Mo Last ABS .10 (9,430)   11 0.1
Rabbit Hole Lions Gate .11 (3,110) -24% 35 0.63
Another Year Sony Classics 0.9 (12,900) -19% 7 0.31
The Illusionist Sony Classics 33,200 (11,070) -29% 3 0.18
The Time That Remains IFC 5,700 (5,700)   1 0.01

Top Domestic Grossers – 2010

Title Distributor Gross
Avatar * Fox 476,899,300
Toy Story 3 BV 415,071,937
Alice in Wonderland BV 334,191,110
Iron Man 2 Par 312,445,596
Twilight: Eclipse Summit 300,551,386
Inception WB 292,558,188
Harry Potter & the Deathly Hallows, Part 1 WB 280,230,127
Despicable Me Uni 251,083,040
Shrek Forever After Par 238,667,087
How to Train Your Dragon Par 218,685,707
The Karate Kid Sony 176,797,997
Clash of the Titans WB 163,214,888
Grown Ups Sony 162,171,789
Tangled BV 161,284,390
Megamind Par 143,767,792
The Last Airbender Par 131,733,601
Shutter Island Par 128,051,522
The Other Guy Sony 119,560,156
Salt  Sony 118,485,665
Tron: Legacy BV 117,540,071

 

Market Share 2010

  Distributor (releases) Gross (millions) Mkt Share % Change Rank ’09
1 Warner Bros. (31) 1920.4 18.10% -9% 1
2 Paramount (20) 1731.7 16.30% 17% 2
3 Fox (20) 1503.5 14.10% 8% 4
4 Buena Vista (17) 1456.6 13.70% 18% 5
5 Sony (27) 1275.9 12.00% -13% 3
6 Universal (19) 883.9 8.30% -1% 6
7 Summit (11) 523.5 4.90% 8% 7
8 Lions Gate (16) 519.9 4.90% 27% 8
9 Fox Searchlight (8) 130.1 1.20% -51% 9
10 Overture (8) 87.5 0.80% -45% 12
11 The Weinstein Co. (10) 80.5 0.70% -61% 10
12 Focus (8) 75.5 0.70% -53% 11
13 CBS (3) 72.8 0.70% N/A NEW
14 Sony Classics (24) 60.1 0.60% 32% 16
15 MGM (1) 50.4 0.50% -22% 14
  Other (325) 260.4 1.10% N/A  
    10632.7 100% -0.40%  

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Leonard Klady's Friday Estimates
Friday Screens % Chg Cume
Ouija 8.2 2858 NEW 8.2
John Wick 5.4 2589 NEW 5.4
Fury 4.1 3173 -54% 37.1
Gone Girl 3.5 3106 -37% 116.5
St. Vincent 2.5 2282 1247% 3.6
The Book of Life 2.4 3113 -51% 22.5
Alexander and the Terrible … Day 2 3117 -38% 40.5
The Best of Me 1.6 2936 -62% 14.5
The Judge 1.3 2610 -47% 31.3
Dracula Untold 1.2 2364 -59% 45.3
Also Debuting
Happy New Year 0.58 255
Kaththi 0.11 92
23 Blast 0.1 617
The Trial 52,780 50
Karthikeya 37,250 38
Laggies 31,800 6
Citizenfour 31,400 5
1,000 Times Good Night 6,560 23
Force Majeure 6,150 2
Pelican Dreams 3,850 2
Exists 3,650 12
Revenge of the Green Dragon 2,500 2
White Bird in a Blizzard 2,400 4
Pooja 2,400 17
Low Down 1,800 1
Love Project 1,050 5
The Heart Machine 1,050 1
3-Day Estimates Weekend % Chg Cume
No Good Dead 24.4 (11,230) NEW 24.4
Dolphin Tale 2 16.6 (4,540) NEW 16.6
Guardians of the Galaxy 7.9 (2,550) -23% 305.8
Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles 4.8 (1,630) -26% 181.1
The Drop 4.4 (5,480) NEW 4.4
Let's Be Cops 4.3 (1,570) -22% 73
If I Stay 4.0 (1,320) -28% 44.9
The November Man 2.8 (1,030) -36% 22.5
The Giver 2.5 (1,120) -26% 41.2
The Hundred-Foot Journey 2.5 (1,270) -21% 49.4