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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Posted Tuesday, January 25th, 2011 - 7 Comments »

Gurus Go Regal


With 9 of the 15 Gurus voting so far, every single one is picking The King’s Speech for the win…

7 Comments »

7 Responses to “Gurus Go Regal”

  1. cadavra says:
    January 25, 2011 at 11:15 am

    What is with you people? Don’t you know Jeff Wells has decreed that SOCIAL NETWORK will be the winner? Get with the program!

  2. The Pope says:
    January 25, 2011 at 12:23 pm

    Cadavra,
    I love The Social Network but it looks like The King’s Speech has the momentum now… which makes the persistence of He-Who-Shall-Not-Be-Named all the more questionable. Like so many bloggers, he mistakes belligerence for intelligence. He kinda reminds me of a line we heard a lot a couple of years ago.

    “I’m saying that when the President does it, that means it’s not illegal.”

  3. zemblan says:
    January 25, 2011 at 1:42 pm

    ugh. franco over gosling? out-of-touch—STILL. but hawkes snuck on their, so i can’t be too unhappy.

  4. movielocke says:
    January 25, 2011 at 3:55 pm

    Since Dave is the leading person saying that True Grit is still surging, it’s clear it needs one thing to happen this week to make it possible to upset The King’s Speech.

    that one thing is for Christopher Nolan to win the DGA.

    If Nolan does that, it takes all the steam out of Social Networks sails–and right now, only Social can beat King’s Speech. Social only missed out on one nomination it was aiming for, Garfield, The King’s Speech hit every nomination it wanted and picked up a coattails sound nomination for good measure, at the moment it is impossible to beat.

    But if Nolan wins the DGA, that means that Social Network will only win a single guild award this entire awards season, WGA. It is possible Social can pick up ACE, but I think unlikely. The Fighter will take SAG and Deakens or Libatique will win the ASC. Right now Social is counting on winning the DGA to keep it alive in the big race.

    so doesn’t that strengthen King’s Speech stranglehold on winning half a dozen awards? Yes, of course. Nolan doing that would deal a death blow to Social Network’s momentum, which would also advantage True Grit. Both True Grit and King’s Speech are surging at the box office and will stand to benefit from another one of the top three stumbling, but with Social Standing firmly in the number two spot, True Grit first needs an opportunity to open up for it to have a chance at nabbing the top prize. True Grit can make a run for an upset, but it won’t be successful unless Social Network stumbles badly. Even then it’s a hail mary.

    Russell or Aronofsky winning the DGA will mean the awards season is in total disarray, Hooper winning means we may as well not even tune in to the ceremony because King’s Speech is winning double digit oscars.

    So far, of the top contenders, Kings Speech is the only one that showed strength, consider:

    King’s speech – every nomination it aimed for, plus sound
    Social Network – Missed on Garfield
    True Grit – Missed on editing
    Black Swan – Missed on Screenplay
    The Fighter – didn’t miss, but didn’t show strength by getting a costume or Wahlberg nomination
    Inception – big misses on Director and Editing

  5. cadavra says:
    January 25, 2011 at 7:00 pm

    Pope, I was being facetious. But it really is a horse race now.

    As for Nolan: I wonder if the DGA will vote for him just to stick it to the Academy a little…

  6. musealien says:
    January 26, 2011 at 1:58 am

    Wow, you just don’t understand the Oscar race at all, do you? Even after all these years. The Social Network wins, that’s what happens.

  7. cadavra says:
    January 26, 2011 at 11:15 am

    Not sure if that was directed to me or not, but I’ll answer, anyway: Yes, SOCIAL is still the front-runner, but it’s not as much of a lock as it was before.

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