Updated on 10/11/10, 3p… adding Guru #15, Emanuel Levy and a few adjustments to others…
Posted in Awards Update, Awards Watch, Gurus o' Gold, MCN Originals, Movie City News | 15 Comments »
I’m surprised to see The Town drop off so much in the Gurus estimations. I’m also surprised there are people still trying to keep the Shutter Island torch alive.
Interesting that no one even bothers with a guess at who will be nominated in For Colored Girls, but the film will get at least one if not two nominations when it drops and critical consensus swirls around one or two standouts. I like that DP is clever enough to put it in his predictions, I think it’s a film that will rise and gain momentum over the season.
I also think Armie Hammer has the possibility of sweeping in and pulling off a Wahlberg-in-Departed nomination, beating out expected nominations for Garfield and Timberlake (Nicholson and Damon). The role has the same audience-slaying vibe that Wahlberg’s did.
Barely any Michael Douglas love anywhere – I think you’re all wrong here.
I think Stone is right on to have Ed Harris so high. By all accounts, The Way Back has a fantastic collection of performances and Weir ALWAYS does well with the Academy. Nearly every film in his catalog has received acting nominations from the AMPAS and/or the HFPA. I could definitely see support rising for Harris as an actor who is ‘due’ this year with a fantastic career and 4 nominations with 0 wins.
movielocke: Kimberly Elise and Thandie Newton.
Wow, all five Best Actress leaders are from art-house pics. That’s gotta smart.
I am betting that Manville goes supporting.
I like the 10 for BP. Very similar to what I have, though I put The Way Back over Hereafter. I also think The Kids Are All Right is in for now, but in trouble for the long run.
And what about Juliette Lewis by supporting actress in “Conviction”? She has had strong reviews.So far had claimed her performance to be one of the film’s standouts.Highest of praises about her performance.
I for one am glad that Shutter Island is proving to be so memorable an experience that it is still fighting back its genre stigma. It’s mentioned on several handicapping sites as a contender for its below the line achievements and its lead performance. Leo’s performance was stunning and chilling. He is long overdue for an Oscar. I’m not saying he should win but that performance is one of the best I’ve seen in years.
Also crossing my fingers for Marion in Inception. Her performance held that picture together and gave it a haunting core that no one could shake. It was tragic, creepy, touching and villianous. How can you deny a performance like this? Especially considering the supporting actress category is so thin this year.
Surprised by the lack of votes for Anne Hathaway. When the trailler for Love and Other Drgus came out, everybody was saying she was a sure thing!
Annette Benning was better in Mother and Child. Naomi Watts deserves best supporting actress consideration for that film as well.
Agree wholeheartedly with Jennifer Lawrence.
Liked the King’s Speech and the performances but to me Geoffrey Rush is the most deserving of the group of potential nominees.
don’t undurestimate the dvd release of inception in december, the WB will do an aggressive campain because The Town does not seem an oscar nomine for best picture.For sure , Never let me go and hereafter will not be in the top 10.
By the way… Michelle Williams’ performance in Shutter Island was one of the best supporting performances of the year and I hope she’s singled out and remembered too.
I think Michael Douglas will gain Sandra Bullock-like momentum for Supporting Actor for his performance in Wall Street 2. Come January/February, he will get a huge push from the media in order to win (Stage 4 cancer combined with the fact that no actor has won twice playing the same character in 2 separate films).
I’m here by accident. I started reading and I should tell you that your blog is great. You are writing so many interesting things. I disagree with many of them, but it’s ok. I will probably visit your blog more often. I would like to use your words on my own blog. Is it posiible? – Kate
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