Archive for November, 2009

Pres Release (Edited) – The Gotham Awards

Monday, November 30th, 2009

gotham490.jpg
Uh… not really…
I always find it sad when the smarter awards groups push to be first like it matters.
In 5 years of giving a Best Feature award, the first two years’ winners were Oscar nominated… the last three years were not. Make of it what you will.
Anyway…
The 19th Annual Gotham Independent Film Award

Michael Fassbender – Fish Tank (& Inglourious Basterds)

Monday, November 30th, 2009

The Gotham Awards winners

Monday, November 30th, 2009

The two most interesting awards for me: Nods for the relatively low-grossing marvel Hurt Locker, and for Best Film Not Playing Near You (for which I was a juror) for Ry Russo-Young’s You Wont Miss Me, which I liked a lot at Sundance. The full list of the IFP’s indie nods below. The Independent Filmmaker Project (IFP), the nation’s oldest and largest organization of independent filmmakers, announced today the winners of the 19th Annual Gotham Independent Film Awards™ at a ceremony held at New York City’s Cipriani Wall Street. Twenty-two films received nominations in six competitive categories, including: Best Feature, Best Documentary, Breakthrough Director, Breakthrough Actor, Gothams 2009_613.jpegBest Ensemble Performance and Best Film Not Playing at a Theater Near You®. For the second year, the recipient of the Best Film Not Playing at a Theater Near You award will receive a cash award of $5,000 provided by Reiff & Associates, a full service brokerage firm specializing in Arts & Entertainment Insurance.
In addition to the competitive awards, career tributes were presented to actors Natalie Portman and Stanley Tucci, filmmaker Kathryn Bigelow and producer/executives Tim Bevan and Eric Fellner, Co-Chairman of Working Title Films.
Best Feature presented by actress Shohreh Aghdashloo.
THE HURT LOCKER Directed and produced by Kathryn Bigelow; Written and produced by Mark Boal; Produced by Nicolas Chartier and Greg Shapiro. The Best Feature Jury: actress Shohreh Aghdashloo; filmmakers Julie Taymor and William Friedkin, producer Wendy Finerman and musician/composer Stewart Copeland.
Best Documentary presented by actor Melonie Diaz and filmmaker Brett Morgen
FOOD, INC. Directed and produced by Robert Kenner; Produced by Elise Pearlstein The Best Documentary Jury: editor Sabine Hoffman and filmmakers Edet Belzberg, Albert and Allen Hughes, Brett Morgen and Julia Reichert.
Breakthrough Director Award presented by actors Rosie Perez and Anthony Mackie
ROBERT SIEGEL Writer and director, BIG FAN. T Breakthrough Director Jury: actors William H. Macy and Rosie Perez, filmmaker Marc Forster, producer Heather Rae, director of photography Matthew Libatique, and editor Christopher Tellefsen.
Breakthrough Actor Award presented by actors Ellen Burstyn and Oliver Platt
CATALINA SAAVEDRA Actress, THE MAID. The Breakthrough Actor Jury included: actors Ellen Burstyn, Melonie Diaz and Oliver Platt, and filmmakers Jesse Peretz and David O. Russell.
Best Ensemble Performance Award presented by actress and author Brooke Shields and writer/director Richard LaGravenese. JEREMY RENNER, ANTHONY MACKIE, BRIAN GERAGHTY, RALPH FIENNES, GUY PEARCE, DAVID MORSE AND EVANGELINE LILLY in THE HURT LOCKER. The Best Ensemble Performance Jury: actors Dylan Baker, America Ferrera, Brooke Shields, writer/director Richard LaGravenese, and producer Susan Stover.
Best Film Not Playing at a Theater Near You Award presented by actors Patricia Clarkson and Sam Rockwell. YOU WONT MISS ME Ry Russo-Young, director, producer and co-writer.

(more…)

Precious is Great Melodrama

Monday, November 30th, 2009

I have to start this piece by saying that I’m a young, white male.  I’ve lived in New York City since the early part of this decade.  I have no idea what it is like to be a sixteen-year-old black girl in 1987 Harlem.  I cannot comment with any authority about whether or not the story told in Precious is an accurate portrait of the reality of being an overweight African-American girl; I can only say whether or not the movie makes it feel real. In other words, I cannot relate to the story no matter how hard I try; all I can do is empathize with the main character.

Now that I’ve gotten that off my chest, I can say that I think that Precious is an effective film for what it is.  And what it is, more than anything, is melodrama.  It can be graphic and disturbing, but it is a tearjerker at its heart and it hews closely to the standard formula of many melodramas.

It’s a story about an illiterate, overweight black girl who has two children – one of whom has Down syndrome – as a result of being raped repeatedly by her father.  Her mother abuses her physically – frying pans to the head – and sexually as well, not to mention the barrage of hurtful insults that she hurls her daughter’s way. Precious spends her days getting picked on by kids at school or while walking down the street, then goes home to get berated by her mother and cook her dinner. Everything that could go wrong in the life of Precious, well, it goes wrong.

But because we are traveling in the territory of melodrama, we are given an angelic teacher named Blue Rain who wants badly to not only help Precious read, but to fix her life.  There is also a social worker who seems interested in helping Precious put her life together and a male nurse who shows up from time to time to say nice things and her classmates at her new alternative school that care about her.  What the film is doing is giving Precious a support system so that when terrible things happen to her, we know that she has various safety nets to count on.

I must say that while I felt effected by the film and thought director Lee Daniels did an admirable job making us care about the fate of Precious, I also found it to be a bit too much.  After a while, I found myself inured to Precious’ struggles and even though I desperately wanted to cry, I didn’t shed a single tear. It was too much, she was too pathetic and pitiful to be real to me.  I know some people might say, “hey, these things really happen, there are really people like this out there,” but the thing is, just because it really happens doesn’t mean it feels real.

Instead, I felt like I was being given the story of a martyr.  Precious is beaten and beaten and beaten and beaten (and beaten) and I said to myself, “Precious is Jesus.”  She is being beaten and punished for the sins of mankind.  (spoiler alert!)

By the time we find out that she’s HIV-positive on top of everything else, I was even more sure of my supposition; she’s not only being beaten, she’s dying for our sins. (spoiler end) Not to mention, her mother’s name is … Mary.

I found myself comparing the story of Precious to all of the other troubled young women in her class. Surely they all have various problems in their lives that have led to them being in this special school; one of the women even mentions a daughter and a past drug problem. There are six sad stories in that classroom, but Precious has the saddest one of them all by a mile and it is reflected in the way that all of the other students care for her and the way the teacher dotes on her and brings her home. In other words, out of all the students in Harlem, a special few make it to this school because they are troubled and struggling. And out of those students, Precious has a whole host of other problems. So, Precious is therefore the outlier rather than the norm, a rare case.

I had read a few reviews that spoke of how this film pays homage to how well the government programs can work since Precious is helped in the end by the work of welfare workers and special programs. Well, yeah, but she was suffering abuse for sixteen years despite weekly visits from a social worker, showing how easy it is for families to hide their secret demons from people. I thought that was one of the more effective points in the film, how easy it is to fool and cheat the system if you’re a monster like Precious’ mother.

But the film worked overall for me and the biggest reasons for that are the performances.  While the film often goes over the top and Lee Daniels clearly has seen Requiem for a Dream and apes it awkwardly from time to time, the performances ground it all in an emotional truth.

Mo’nique has been justly lauded as the woman to beat for Best Supporting Actress and she is truly terrifying; Joan Crawford has nothing on her. Gabourey Sidibe is unbelievably good with a permanent scowl on her face to suggest that there’s nothing in her life to be happy about, but with those wonderfully expressive eyes that seem perpetually on the verge of tears.  I don’t know how many more great roles there could be for an actress of her size – Hollywood usually prefers petite – but I hope to see her a lot more, to see her range. Sidibe and Mo’nique are truly astonishingly good and not enough praise can be given to them. Paula Patton is great as well in the “caring teacher/adult” role that we’ve seen in Ordinary People, Dangerous Minds, Dead Poets Society and many others, but she brings warmth to her role that is very comforting.  The rest of the cast, including Mariah Carey, Lenny Kravitzand Sherri Shepherd, is also good.

But I do think that there are some threads that feel shoe-horned into the film or weren’t properly explained. We find out that Paula Patton’s character is a lesbian, which is great, but why do we need to know that?  What work is that doing for the film?  It doesn’t feel organic to the character; rather it feels as if the film is trying to get another point for being progressive. Then there is the issue of Precious’ grandmother who seems to serve no purpose other than being an explanation for why Precious’ older child is never around.  Grandma is taking care of the older tot – named Mongo, which is a whole other issue – but she doesn’t want to rescue her granddaughter from the clutches of grandma’s abusive daughter?

There is a mention of how grandma is afraid of Mary, but I don’t really buy that as a proper excuse.  I just want to know why grandma isn’t a larger part of Precious’ life if she’s taking care of Precious’ kid.  And going back to naming the kid Mongo…I understand that Precious is not the smartest kid, but why would she name her kid that?  I just don’t see how that would happen, especially seeing as how Precious cares very deeply for her child.

Precious is not a perfect film by any means.  It has a lot of issues and it doesn’t hit the mark that it aims for, feeling instead like an amalgamation of a lot of stories, as well as a lot of influences. This is a story that I’m glad was told, but I guess I feel like instead of spreading out the various things that plague the impoverished in America, they put it all on one single character. It is movie manipulation at its finest, but sometimes we go to the cinema to be manipulated. Sometimes we need a good cry (even if I didn’t) and that’s what this film is trying to do. While some might look at this film and see something that is truly a stunning work of art, I see instead a very well-done melodrama.  And that is not damning it with faint praise, I truly believe it does what it sets out to do and does it well.

- Noah Forrest
November 30, 2009

Noah Forrest is a 26-year-old aspiring writer/filmmaker in New York City.

The opinions expressed in these columns are the writers and do not neccessarily reflect the opinions of Movie City News or any of its editors or other contributors.

Press Release – Avatar Stunts Live HD Event From MTV to Facebook to Mobile Phones

Monday, November 30th, 2009

MTV AND TWENTIETH CENTURY FOX HOST STAR-STUDDED LIVESTREAM EVENT IN HD WITH

O Christmas Tree

Monday, November 30th, 2009

Published under 1,000 Monkeys.

I love everything about the Christmas season, from the decorations to the Christmas music piped in to all the stores to the lights brightening up all the houses. I love planning what to get each of the kids, baking Christmas cookies, and listening non-stop to Christmas music on the radio until my kids are begging for The Hold Steady or Radiohead or Neko Case. But my favorite part of the holidays is always putting up our Christmas tree. This year, for the first time in my children’s lives, this little family ritual took place with our family fractured; mostly, I think we handled it okay.

We usually pick out our Christmas tree on Thanksgiving weekend. I was lobbying for investing in a quality artificial tree this year, but when I mentioned that idea to my children, they looked at me in horror, as if I’d suggested we roast Sophie, our beloved Jack Russell Terrier, for Christmas dinner. I argued the benefits of a fake tree: doesn’t die on you halfway through the season, no shedding needles, better (maybe) for the environment. It was all to no avail, though — their little hearts were set on a real tree that makes our house smell all Christmas-y. So their dad came over to be a part of this holiday ritual, and together we all set out to find the perfect tree: a 6-foot Grand Fir that smells like Christmas in heaven.

Our tree decorations are very simple. I don’t have a lot of “boughten” ornaments, there are no Star Wars or Hallmark or Snoopy themes involved. The theme of our tree is always “Our Family,” and the ornaments are almost all ones we’ve made ourselves: chunky, hand-painted salt-dough candy canes and bells shaped by clumsy preschool fingers in years past, hammered-tin ones made painstakingly in metalworking class last year and, most especially, the picture ornaments I’ve been making since the kids were small. Every year I order a set of prints from pictures taken throughout that year, and then I turn them into ornaments for our tree. When we pull out the box of picture ornaments every year, my kids get to walk back through their childhoods, and a spate of “do you remembers” flows as we admire the pictures and find the perfect spot on the tree for each one.

There are my mom’s two favorites: the picture of me as a newborn, dark curls still wet, and the one of me and my brother with Santa Claus when I was about eight and my brother was a baby. Then the procession of a houseful of children, growing ever older. There’s Meg, my oldest and a mother now herself, dressed as the Velveteen Rabbit for her first play when she was in eighth grade long ago in upstate New York. And here’s Neve, now almost a teenager, as a mischievous two-year-old with blond curls, grinning at the camera and Jaxon, now a growing-up-too-fast 10-year-old at age three, wearing his blue cape and Peter Pan hat, caught in mid-twirl as he played some imaginary game.

Then we have Veda, age 8, perpetually in motion since the day she was born, caught in various pictures flipping upside down, or bouncing, or leaping at the camera, and Luka, now a great big six year old boy, frozen in time tiny and new in his brother’s arms, looking up at him with the same sweet look of trust with which he still looks at his big brother now.

This year, the tree decorating was tinged with bittersweet. It was hard on the kids, and me, and perhaps even on their dad, to look at the pictures that chart the life of our family, our own little history, when what we were as a family no longer exists except in pictures. I was afraid my

kids might be sad seeing the pictures of their dad, since he no longer lives with us, and so I was thankful that he wanted to come over and share in the picking out and decorating of the tree with them this year.

It helped ease the transition for them, I think, to have all of us here together for this one little moment, and for them to be able to show their dad his pictures: “Look, Daddy! Here’s you holding a baby, which one of us is that?” and “Look Daddy, you had long hair in this one!” and “Daddy, remember when we took this picture of you wearing the Burger King crown?” It was good for them to have that time with their dad and the Christmas tree, and good for the grownups too, maybe, to remember that there were a lot of happy moments in those 14 years, that we didn’t always make each other miserable. And good for the kids, perhaps, to see their parents sharing this moment with them, and getting along with each other, and singing along with the radio, and laughing.

I love these pictures, every one of them, and treasure them more than any album. Every year the tree becomes our living family photo album through the holiday season, and every day our Christmas tree is up I admire the pictures, sifting through the memories of a life built around these kids, this family, for so many years, and I am thankful to overflowing that my life has been so blessed, so filled with people I love, whose smiles and hearts I depend on to keep my own heart light as surely as they depend on me to be their ballast in life’s passing storms.

Come Christmas morning, the tree will watch over the kids as they open their haul of presents, and stand guard tall and twinkly over Christmas dinner with the whole family, and everyone will pause to admire this or that picture on the tree, to say,

“Do you remember the kids ever being that small?” or “I remember that day!” And when we take the tree down on New Years Day, I’ll lovingly pack each ornament away in a box until next year. I’ll pack them all away carefully, these memories of mine, and then head into the new year with my children to forge new memories for next year’s ornaments.

And years from now, I hope we’ll look back on the ornaments from 2009 fondly, that we’ll all come to think of this as a time of transition to better times, rather than just a sad time. Whatever the future holds for us, I hope that it’s bright and shining and holds many happy memories-to-be for all our Christmas trees yet to be.

- Kim Voynar
November 30, 2009

Making Avatar

Monday, November 30th, 2009

Google Starts Protecting Its Rear?

Monday, November 30th, 2009

There is an interesting story in Studio Briefing, best known as the news source for IMDb, today… “We Have Been De-googled!”
I would normally link to the piece, but that would make me much more honorable than Studio Briefing, which was one of the first major content thieves in the web era. And it hasn’t changed at all.
To their credit – though I seem to recall this only happened after there was a major explosion from a false report repeated as news by Studio Briefing – they no longer seem to be focused on repeating gossip from unreliable sources at every turn. Going back from today to Nov 23, there is only one piece of iffy gossip. But the ugly part of this service is that they blatantly steal content from anyone and everyone they can, claiming it as their own without even bothering to link to the originating source, much less doing the honorable thing and doing a lick of work themselves. (Maybe “they” are just this guy Lew Irwin. The level of the work could well be done by one person with a Google fixation.)
Not only was Studio Briefing not pushed out of business early by the studios or the media they stole from, but they were legitimized by IMDb. Studio Briefing’s stolen news recaps have been run as IMDb’s primary news source for years (Along with the even more offensive WENN) and every story links to a blog build by Studio Briefings, claiming to offer the rest of the story, but more often, just getting Lew Irwin another page view.
Which brings us to today…
Lew Irwin writes…
“To draw revenue from the blog, we initially included ads from Google Adsense, and to help attract attention to it, we purchased ads ourselves from Google AdWords that appeared on related entertainment-industry websites. But a few months after we launched we received a boilerplate notification from Google that StudioBriefing.net had been “disabled” because it did not comply with Google policies. The notice was vague, failing to specify which policies we had violated. We have been trying to obtain an explanation ever since, without luck.
Not only did Google delete the Adsense advertisements appearing on the blog, but it diverted its spider from the site as well. As a result, StudioBriefing.net ceased being cited in Google search results. Then, a few weeks ago, we received word that Google had also halted running our Adword advertisements

Trailer: The Loss of a Teardrop Diamond

Monday, November 30th, 2009

The Invictus Review

Monday, November 30th, 2009

The Lovely Bones Video Review

Sunday, November 29th, 2009

Gobbling to (Ex)Success

Sunday, November 29th, 2009

It was the biggest Thanksgiving box office ever with last weekend’s leaders continuing to lead the way. Twilight: New Moon added an estimated $43.1 million to its burgeoning larder and The Blind Side was close behind with a $40.2 million tally for the three-day portion of the holiday carving.

The five-day frame generated revenues of close to $270 million that exceeded the prior record holder back in 2000 by 11%.

The session also had a couple of new national releases that did well but not bountiful biz. The family comedy Old Dogs ranked fourth with $16.8 million and the genre actioner Ninja Assassin was two notches behind with $13.2 million.

Platformers were also well in evidence with the two screen bow of the animated The Princess and the Frog croaking loud with $710,000, the apocalyptic The Road generating a heady $13,400 from 111 thruways and the bittersweet Me and Orson Welles raising Kane of $64,100 from four screens. There were also good returns of $330,000 for Bollywood freshman De Dana Dan.

Overall the weekend portion pushed to roughly $186 million that dipped 28% from last weekend record-setting frame. However it was 15% better than last year’s box office when the $31.1 million debut of Four Christmas topped the tree and second weekend’s of Bolt and Twilight fought it out with respective grosses of $26.6 million and $26.3 million.

New Moon continued to delightfully surprise as the film passed $200 million (and Twilight’s total domestic box office) in its eighth day in theaters. Pundits are frantically changing estimates for its eventual total and it now appears headed toward $325 million.

The Blind Side (along with several other family targeted movies) saw its weekend gross improve and finished the weekend with a $100 million plus cume. If New Moon is a surprise the race-themed film’s enthusiastic response lived up to its title for industry pundits.

With the first wave of awards giving just weeks away, expansions were much in evidence. Though Precious saw a slight box office decline, it remained a contender with theater averages still in the five-figure range. The prospects aren’t as bright for Fantastic Mr. Fox, which expanded to a national presence and a just OK $3,410 per engagement return.

Indies Bad Lieutenant: Port of Call New Orleans and The Messenger also added screens and each held their own. Still, the two films truly need ultimate critical validation to push to the next level in the New Year. A similar scenario applies to An Education but the surprisingly resilient Boondock Saints II continues to earn each new screen strictly on an approving fan base.
by Leonard Klady


Weekend Estimates: November 27-29, 2009

Title Distributor Gross (avg) % change Theaters Cume
Twilight: New Moon Summit 43.1 (10,660) -63% 4042 231.3
The Blind Side WB 40.2 (12,790) 18% 3140 100.3
2012 Sony 17.5 (5,090) -34% 3444 138.3
Old Dogs BV 16.8 (4,910) New 3425 24.1
A Christmas Carol BV 16.3 (5,410) 33% 3013 105.6
Ninja Assassin WB 13.2 (5,280) New 2503 21.1
Planet 51 Sony 10.2 (3,370) -17% 3035 28.5
Precious Lionsgate 7.0 (10,600) -35% 663 32.4
Fantastic Mr. Fox Fox 6.9 (3,410) New 2033 10
The Men Who Stare at Goats Overture 1.5 (1,350) -47% 1119 30.5
The Road Weinstein Co. 1.5 (13,240) New 111 1.9
The Boondock Saints II Apparition 1.2 (3,240) 102% 373 5.4
Pirate Radio Focus 1.0 (2,150) -30% 478 6.8
An Education Sony Classics 1.0 (3,330) 26% 312 5.4
Couples Retreat Uni 1.0 (1,110) -51% 862 106.7
This is It Sony .80 (1,390) -51% 576 71.8
Law Abiding Citizen Overture .77 (1,320) -52% 584 71.5
The Princess and the Frog BV .71 (35,500) New 2 1.1
The Fouth Kind Uni .61 (1,100) -63% 552 24.5
Paranormal Activity Par .51 (700) -67% 725 107.1
A Serious Man Focus .48 (2,800) 9% 173 8.2
Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) - $181.80 - - -
% Change (Last Year) - 15% - - -
% Change (Last Week) - -28% - - -
Also debuting/expanding
De Dana Dan Eros .33 (4,720) New 69 0.33
Bad Lieutenant: Port of Call New Orleans First Look .28 (4,960) 15% 57 0.69
The Messenger Oscilloscope .14 (3,290) 25% 42 0.34
Broken Embraces Sony Classics .12 (58,500) 9% 2 0.31
Red Cliff Magnolia 84,500 (4,020) 545% 21 0.13
The Private Lives of Pippa Lee Screen Media 87,300 (7,270) New 12 0.09
Me and Orson Welles FreeStyle 64,100 (16,020) New 4 0.09

Domestic Market Share: To November 19, 2009

Distributor (releases) Gross Mrkt Share
Warner Bros. (31) 1766.6 19.10%
Paramount (14) 1442.1 15.60%
Sony (22) 1339.7 14.40%
Buena Vista (20) 1052.6 11.40%
Fox (16) 965.6 10.40%
Universal (20) 844.9 9.10%
Lionsgate (13) 360.1 3.90%
Summit (11) 341.1 3.70%
Fox Searchlight (12) 262.4 2.80%
Weinstein Co. (8) 188.2 2.00%
Focus (10) 157.2 1.70%
Overture (8) 150.6 1.60%
Paramount Vantage (4) 67.6 0.70%
MGM (4) 64.7 0.70%
Miramax (7) 53.1 0.60%
Other * (296) 216.5 2.30%
* none greater than 0.4% 9273 100.00%

Top Limited Releases – January 1 – November 22, 2009

Title Distributor (releases) Gross (millions)
The Wrestler * Fox Searchlight 25,068,864
Precious: Based on the Novel “Push” … Lionsgate 21,286,129
Under the Sea 3D WB 18,760,505
Milk * Focus 17,246,974
The Hurt Locker Summit 12,671,105
Sunshine Cleaning Overture 12,062,558
Away We Go Focus 9,552,776
Du Pere en flic Alliance 9,163,026
A Serious Man Focus 7,476,004
Deep Sea 3-D WB/Imax 5,435,581
Whatever Works Sony Classics 5,306,706
Coco Before Chanel Alliance/Sony Class 5,288,153
Moon Sony Classics 5,010,163
Food, Inc. Magnolia/Alliance 4,417,124
Bright Star Apparition 4,390,226
An Education Sony Classics 4,268,905
Entre les murs (The Class) Sony Classics 3,766,810
The September Issue Roadside Attractions 3,765,677
The Boondock Saints II Apparition 3,552,730
The Brothers Bloom Summit 3,531,756
Magnificent Desolation * Imax 3,291,109
* does not include 2008 box office

Shrek Forever After

Sunday, November 29th, 2009

The further adventures of the giant green ogre, Shrek, living in the land of Far, Far Away.

Weekend Estimates by Klady – 11/29/09

Sunday, November 29th, 2009

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Twilight: New Moon is at about double the 2 weekend gross of the first film. And here is where it starts getting interesting, box-office-wise. On either side of its massive opening, Pirates added 60% of its two weekend domestic gross, which would put T:NM at about $370m in the end. Spidey 3 did about 40% more than its two weekend domestic gross, which would put T:NM at about $325m domestic. The percentage of opening weekend vs final domestic gross amongst the Top 10 openers of all time ranges from 25% to 45% (that’s Spidey 3), so who knows?
After a 15 year movie star career with just 3 $100 million domestic grossers, Sandra Bullock now has 2 in one year. Both will outgross her previous high, her first $100m grossser, Speed and its $122m gross. Both have already outgrossed any female-led film this year except for T:NM. Yes, Virginia, Sandra Bullock is the biggest female star in the world… again. Magic Meryl is a solid #2, with Julie & Julia grossing about $93m domestic and It’s Complicated likely to gross more than $60 million domestic as well… and don’t forget Mamma Mia!‘s amazing $610m worldwide gross just last year.
Some will quibble about what a Drama is… but The Blind Side is, to my eye, the first $100 million drama of the year and seems sure to outgross – domestically – The Curious Case of Benjamin Button, last year’s only $100m grossing drama.
2012 has done okay in the US, but as is often the case with Roland Emmerich, the story is overseas, where it has already grosssed over $450 million and looks like it will end up over $550m, which would make its international gross alone more than the worldwide total for The Day after Tomorrow. Emmerich’s career-best gross, ID4, is safe, but 2012 will be #2. (Insert Joke Here.)
The return to the Wild Hogs well, Old Dogs, opened to about 40% of the progenitor… or about what people thought Hogs would open to when it showed up. The bottom line for me remains that when you have two movie stars and your key marketing element is Seth Green singing to a monkey, you are in trouble.
A Christmas Carol is running about 30% ahead of where The Polar Express was at this point in its run. If that continues, you’re looking at a $200 million domestic gross. I would guess it will come up short of that, especially with Avatar coming to eat every IMAX screen that IMAX can find for it. But if it ends up in the year’s Top 10, will it still be the crushing commercial disappointment that it was portrayed as a few weeks ago?
Ninja Assassin reminds us that when a movie is treated like it deserves to be dumped by a studio, audience will smell that.
Unless it finds a way to turn the history of such things, Precious hit its box office wall this weekend. Once a film start losing box office in an under-1000 screen release, it rarely recovers in terms of weekend grosses, no matter how many screens are added.
It seems pretty clear that the template that Lionsgate was working with on the film was a combination of No Country For Old Men and a slightly accelerated Brokeback Mountain a month earlier on the release schedule. Brokeback maxed in its last positive % change in Weekend 7 with $7.4m and a $41.7m total domestic gross. The total was about double that.
No Country had a more exciting run, from Lionsgate perspective. Like Precious, the film started negative % changes in its second weekend over 200 screens. But it went on to do about 3.3x the gross it had hit that weekend. The next weekend, it dropped to a $4.1m weekend and would see only one weekend over $3 million after that… after winning Best Picture. But the film played for 14 more weeks of over $1m at the box office.
So $65 or $100 million domestic… it could go either way… or, of course, somewhere else altogether.

Everybody’s Fine, Kirk Jones

Saturday, November 28th, 2009

Trailer: Expendables

Saturday, November 28th, 2009


Whatever Works, Patricia Clarkson

Saturday, November 28th, 2009

In The Loop (2), Peter Capaldi, Armando Iannucci

Saturday, November 28th, 2009

(500) Days Of Summer, Scott Neustadter & Michael H. Weber

Saturday, November 28th, 2009

16 Weeks To Oscar

Saturday, November 28th, 2009

We are getting near the end of the early screenings of the list of titles that will seriously be considered for Best Picture. Very near the end.
The idea of guessing at what films and performances WILL win, especially in this season of relatively soft contenders in all categories (if there is one kind of obvious call, it