There are issues that face journalists and editors every day. Some are expected. Some are surprises.
Every summer, for instance, the issue of the cost of mega-movies comes up. Invariably, studios spin those numbers down. As a journalist, you hear all kinds of things and then have to parse it all, get enough sources to feel sure
Archive for April, 2009
Hard Summer Questions, Part 1
Tuesday, April 28th, 2009"I Don't Need Another Flu Shot… I Had A Flu Shot Last Year."
Tuesday, April 28th, 2009Uh, no…
Monday, April 27th, 2009
It’s fanmade trailer posted to YouTube on October 19, 2007… which you wouldn’t know if you just looked at the embed on The Wrap website. Internet 101, guys.
Oy.
Of course, compared to Bill Wyman catching one of Nikki Finke’s infamously self-serving overwrites… I guess dumb is better than malicious.
Short Cuts
Monday, April 27th, 2009![]() |
There’s a lot of stuff percolating in the movie world these days, as well as a number of thoughts that have been percolating in my noggin. So, what follows is a series of scattershot thoughts and theories that I’ve been collecting over the past few days:
I know that Obsessed was the number one movie at the box office this past weekend, but I haven’t met a single person who has actually seen it. I’ve asked practically everybody I’ve seen and either nobody is admitting it or nobody has seen it and its number one box office showing is an elaborate hoax perpetrated on me because now I have to see it.
My buddy Jack and I watched The Room for the first time. I say “first time” because I will watch that movie any chance I get from this day forward. I know I’m kind of late to the cult party on this one, but I urge everyone to see this movie, there isn’t a chance you will regret it. The experience of watching the film was so surreal and hilarious that I swear it shifted my perspective on the universe. When I walked around afterwards, everything seemed stranger; the movie had some kind of psychedelic effect on me.Tommy Wiseau is officially our generation’s Ed Wood. For the uninitiated, here’s a taste of what you can expect.
17 Again is not a bad movie, per se, it’s just a profoundly unoriginal one. But the one thing that is abundantly clear from watching it is this: Zac Efron is a star. As much as I might wish he were an untalented little twerp, he’s not and he’s got charisma oozing out of every pore of his chiseled face.
The two things I found most troubling about the film were: 1) outside of her husband Judd Apatow, no director has figured out how to use Leslie Mann. For years I thought she was uninteresting as a performer based on her roles in The Cable Guy and Big Daddy, but Apatow has proven that she’s far too nuanced to be stuck in the “girlfriend” roles and that’s exactly the kind of role she plays in 17 Again. 2) Burr Steers, what happened my man? After his debut film Igby Goes Down, I was convinced that Steers was going to be one of the most interesting filmmakers out there. Igby was such a fresh, exciting, Salinger-esque picture that I was certain everyone involved would go on to great things. It’s disappointing to see that the lead actor Kieran Culkin has been mostly absent from the screen while Steers is stuck directing a picture like this. Please, studio execs, throw some money at Steers, tell him to write a great script and let him do his thing.
Robert Rodriguez is helping to make a new entry in the Predator franchise. I think this would have sounded like the coolest thing ever if I were fifteen. That’s not to say it won’t be an entertaining film or an exciting film, just one that probably would have worked better for me ten years ago. I think that’s the trouble for a lot of film critics – and I am certainly not one of those – when they see films; for a critic to see a film like, say, Wolverine, are they going to be looking at it with the eyes of someone who is genuinely excited by the prospect of that film? Probably not. Most critics will dismiss it and I’ll probably dismiss it because when you see enough films, you usually become a bit more snobbish in your tastes – I know I definitely have. I think the difficult in being a critic is to see a film that is clearly not aimed at you and to try and see it through the eyes of an audience member who would be intrigued by that kind of film. I don’t think I would have liked 17 Again even if I were younger.
I finally caught up with Notorious. No, not the Hitchcock film, the one about Biggie Smalls. I think there’s definitely a good film to be made about the East Coast/West Coast rap wars of the mid-90’s, but this certainly isn’t it. There’s about three times in the film where characters say the following line: “We were gonna change the world, man, with our music.” And then later on a character says, something to the effect of “Nah man, the world changed us.” How lines like this get written, make it through the soul-deadening re-write process, spoken aloud by actors take after take, edited into the film without one person saying, “you know what, that sounds a little trite,” is mind-boggling to me.
The film that I am most excited for this year, hands-down, is Lukas Moodysson’s Mammothwith Michelle Williams and Gael Garcia Bernal. It opened in Sweden in January and I was this close to emptying my bank account to fly to Stockholm for a night just so I could see this new film. And I think anyone who has seen Moodysson’s first three films – Fucking Amal,Together, and Lilya-4-Ever – must feel the same way. He has imbued each of his films with empathy for disparate characters, understanding that sometimes good people do bad things. This guy is clearly one of the most intelligent and talented filmmakers on the planet and it is astounding that this film (which earned fairly good notices in the trades) hasn’t gotten U.S. distribution yet. Please, someone buy this film and let me see it yesterday.
I didn’t see The Informers this past weekend, but the one thing that’s been great about its release is that there are tons of great interviews with Bret Easton Ellis. The man usually just disappears for a couple of years and then he pops up to release a masterpiece and then goes away again. I was so happy to learn that the much-anticipated sequel to his first novel Less Than Zero will be coming out next year with the title Imperial Bedrooms. And it’s been a treat to hear him riff on some of the adaptations of his work, which is already cinematic on the page, yet usually loses something in the translation (I excuse American Psycho which was a hilarious film that ups the satire of the unfilmable novel).
As for The Informers, I’m surprised to hear all the bad reviews because the script (by Ellis and Nicholas Jarecki) was absolutely brilliant – and definitely did have vampires in it. Apparently that script was butchered in the translation to the screen, so despite Ellis’ name all over it, I don’t think this is what he intended. At least Rules of Attraction got it right.
I love reading about the Cannes Film Festival. One day when I’m rich enough, I will treat myself to a yearly trip to the south of France for the duration of the festival. I always enjoy reading about which films are premiering there and which films are in competition. While I’ve resigned myself to being disappointed by the Academy’s picks for Best Picture, the winners of the Palme D’or at Cannes are usually almost always worthwhile films. Recent winners includeThe Class, 4 Months 3 Weeks and 2 Days, Elephant and L’enfant and older winners include gems like Taxi Driver, Apocalypse Now and The Conversation; in other words, the films that win the Palme D’or are films that would never win Best Picture at the Oscars and I love the festival for that.
This year’s crop includes new films from Tarantino, Resnais, Campion, Almodovar, Noe, Ang Lee and Ken Loach in addition to countless others – including Coppola’s new film Tetro in the Directors Fortnight sidebar. Something about the international flavor of the films in competition appeals to me and I anticipate hearing about each and every one of these films.
One last thing.
I think seeing Bill Hader’s brilliant impression of Jame Gumb on a recent SNL made me question a lot of things about The Silence of the Lambs. First off, Jodie Foster is plain old not good in that film. Her accent is awful and she over-emotes constantly. Secondly, Ted Levine’s performance as Jame Gumb has turned out to be the most memorable thing about that film (“Is she a great big fat person?”). Thirdly, that film is really not that great and it pains me to say that because I always held it in high esteem. In fact, it plays better as an unintentional comedy than as a thriller.
Let’s look at the facts: first off, the scene in which Hannibal Lecter steals someone’s face to get out of prison, how the hell does he manage to splay a man Christ-like in his prison cell? I know he’s a genius, but he’s a fifty-something year-old doctor, not the Incredible Hulk so I don’t know how he got the strength to lift a man that high up in the air.
While we’re at it, who names their kid Hannibal? I imagine Thomas Harris trying to come up with names that rhyme with cannibal (“hmm, let’s see, Shmanibal, Danibal, oh I know…Hannibal!”). I don’t get how Lecter manages to overpower people at all throughout the series of films. He’s riding in the ambulance – and again, he’s a flabby 50-something guy – and he winds killing everyone in there; why doesn’t somebody just punch him in the face? And how does he leave the country, wouldn’t he be the most wanted escaped convict ever? Nobody thinks to send his picture to the authorities at airports? Does the hat and sunglasses really conceal his identity?
And Miggs, oh boy Multiple Miggs. He’s just a precious creature that Hannibal somehow gets to swallow his own tongue. You read that right, Hannibal is apparently not only a genius but a telepath who can convince a person through a concrete wall that they should swallow their own tongue, something that I don’t even think is physically possible.
If you haven’t seen the movie in a while, don’t. Don’t ruin it by seeing it again. But if you have the misfortune of watching it again, I guarantee you will think that Bugsy or JFK was robbed at the Oscars that year.
- Noah Forrest
April 27, 2009
Noah Forrest is a 26-year-old aspiring writer/filmmaker in New York City.
The opinions expressed in these columns are the writers and do not neccessarily reflect the opinions of Movie City News or any of its editors or other contributors.
A Pig of A Poll
Monday, April 27th, 2009
Results after the jump…
Who Should Buy Whom? – Episode One
Monday, April 27th, 2009On the sad, but inevitable occasion of the official end of Conde Nast
Yes Madam, Sir Kiran Bedi
Sunday, April 26th, 2009
Play Stalk Man Woman
Sunday, April 26th, 2009Audiences opted for the perverse office politics of Obsessed with the film bowing to an estimated $28.8 million. The frame’s other national debuts included the hard kicking actioner Fighting with $11.3 million in third position and, close behind, the potent drama The Soloist with $9.7 million. Also new was the eco-documentary Earth that bowed on Wednesday and scored an opening weekend tally of $8.6 million.
The Informers – the premier outing for Senator Films – fizzled with $292,000 at 482 venues. Among the better limited release freshmen were the pugilistic portrait Tyson with $75,300 at 11 arenas, the documentary Nursery University with $9,600 from a single screen and Italian political thriller Il Divo grossing $13,200 at two exposures.
Overall business expanded slightly from a week earlier and saw another sizeable boost from last year’s record.
Obsessed, a latter day Fatal Attraction, was tracking ahead of the pack though estimates pegged its opening at between $23 million and $25 million. Exit polls pegged the audience at 58% female and split 50/50 at the over/under 25-year-old divide. The title was a real asset and the prospect of bad behavior and just desserts spurred along opening weekend business.
Fighting drew in young males to its yarn of underground brawling and the plus 25s gravitated toward the real life saga of a homeless, emotionally troubled musician in The Soloist. Both films performed pretty much as expected though the generally positive response to the Robert Downey Jr.-Jamie Foxx drama bodes well for that picture’s stamina.
Earth also skewed older. It’s been in release internationally since late 2007 with boffo returns in Germany, France and Japan and an overall foreign tally of more than $76 million.
Weekend business generated slightly better than $115 million for a 4% hike from the prior frame’s revenues. It was a potent 30% improved from 2008 when debuts of Baby Mama and Harold and Kumar Escape from Guantanamo Bay led with respective box offices of $17.4 million and $14.9 million. Domestic box office to date is running 15% ahead of 2008′s pace.
The announcement that Germany’s Senator Films was entering the U.S. distribution market last year didn’t provide many details about a slate or gestalt. The company had a history of co-financing American movies but that hardly guaranteed a flow of A-list product. Its initial offering, The Informers, mirrors a disconnect associated with past European initiatives such as Penta but that’s hardly sufficient to write an obit. Far more telling for its future is how it will weather the current tight money market and create a slate in these recessionary times.
Weekend Finals
| Title | Distrib | Weekend | % Change | Theaters | Cume | Wks | ||
| 1 | New | Obsessed | Sony | 28,612,730 | - | 2514 | 28,612,730 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | 17 Again | WB | 11,518,495 | -51% | 3255 | 39,823,333 | 2 |
| 3 | New | Fighting | Uni | 11,024,370 | - | 2309 | 11,024,370 | 1 |
| 4 | New | The Soloist | Par | 9,716,458 | - | 2024 | 9,716,458 | 1 |
| 5 | New | Earth | BV | 8,825,760 | - | 1804 | 14,472,792 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | Monsters vs. Aliens | Par | 8,520,826 | -36% | 3358 | 174,813,830 | 5 |
| 7 | 2 | State of Play | Uni | 6,848,885 | -51% | 2807 | 25,081,890 | 2 |
| 8 | 3 | Hannah Montana: The Movie | BV | 6,437,141 | -52% | 3231 | 65,655,057 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | Fast & Furious | Uni | 6,204,940 | -47% | 3566 | 145,367,040 | 4 |
| 10 | 6 | Crank: High Voltage | Lions Gate | 2,618,379 | -62% | 2223 | 11,735,952 | 2 |
| 11 | 9 | I Love You, Man | Par | 1,952,921 | -41% | 1563 | 67,809,860 | 6 |
| 12 | 8 | Knowing | Summit | 1,943,154 | -46% | 1860 | 76,780,504 | 6 |
| 13 | 7 | Observe and Report | WB | 1,746,102 | -58% | 2010 | 22,171,543 | 3 |
| 14 | 10 | The Haunting in Connecticut | Lions Gate | 1,497,120 | -52% | 1675 | 54,207,345 | 5 |
| 15 | 14 | Sunshine Cleaning | Overture | 587,176 | -40% | 638 | 9,769,146 | 7 |
| 16 | 12 | Adventureland | Miramax | 532,270 | -60% | 581 | 15,124,996 | 4 |
| 17 | 13 | Duplicity | Uni | 442,255 | -60% | 610 | 39,870,305 | 6 |
| 18 | 15 | Race to Witch Mountain | BV | 405,716 | -45% | 591 | 64,373,915 | 7 |
| 19 | 17 | Paul Blart: Mall Cop | Sony | 357,883 | -24% | 342 | 145,151,723 | 15 |
| 20 | 16 | Taken | Fox | 355,149 | -39% | 450 | 142,607,741 | 13 |
| 21 | New | The Informers | Senator | 306,600 | - | 482 | 306,600 | 1 |
| 22 | 11 | Dragonball Evolution | Fox | 300,000 | -83% | 500 | 8,723,546 | 3 |
| 23 | 29 | Gran Torino | WB | 288,315 | 118% | 348 | 147,092,477 | 20 |
| 24 | 24 | Under the Sea 3D | WB | 270,406 | 0% | 43 | 6,330,109 | 11 |
| 25 | 21 | Sin Nombre | Focus | 206,935 | -20% | 83 | 1,496,373 | 6 |
| 26 | 22 | Hotel for Dogs | Par | 190,466 | -24% | 276 | 72,594,587 | 15 |
| 27 | 18 | The Last House on the Left | Uni | 155,720 | -46% | 229 | 32,474,735 | 7 |
| 28 | 25 | He’s Just Not That Into You | WB | 133,347 | -36% | 232 | 93,625,873 | 12 |
| 29 | 26 | Watchmen | WB | 125,198 | -37% | 145 | 107,061,353 | 8 |
| 30 | 45 | Is Anybody There? | Story Island | 116,479 | 1525 | 54 | 178,676 | 2 |
| 31 | RE | La Sonnambula | Fathom | 107,197 | - | 66 | 1,265,196 | 5 |
| 32 | 43 | Confessions of a Shopaholic | BV | 101,246 | 101% | 176 | 43,997,966 | 11 |
| 33 | 56 | Fired Up | Sony | 100,961 | 263% | 61 | 17,419,445 | 10 |
| 34 | 20 | 12 Rounds | Fox | 100,484 | -62% | 223 | 11,492,383 | 5 |
| 35 | 30 | Sugar | Sony Classics | 91,739 | -11% | 51 | 454,772 | 4 |
| 36 | New | Tyson | Sony Classics | 85,046 | - | 11 | 85,046 | 1 |
| 37 | 27 | Coraline | Focus | 80,815 | -48% | 141 | 74,928,014 | 12 |
| 38 | 33 | Valentino: The Last Emperor | Truly Indie | 72,741 | -12% | 27 | 571,977 | 6 |
| 39 | 28 | Slumdog Millionaire | Fox Searchlight | 71,403 | -50% | 131 | 141,171,367 | 24 |
| 40 | 23 | American Violet | IDP | 66,510 | -73% | 58 | 372,053 | 2 |
| 41 | 32 | Push | Summit | 63,373 | -28% | 93 | 31,730,682 | 12 |
| 42 | New | Mini Punjab | Movie Box | 60,520 | - | 11 | 60,520 | 1 |
| 43 | 46 | Paris 36 | Sony Classics | 58,735 | 28% | 36 | 280,129 | 4 |
| 44 | 52 | Anvil! The Story of Anvil | Abramarama/FWL | 48,160 | 36% | 13 | 168,379 | 3 |
| 45 | 35 | Every Little Step | Sony Classics | 47,407 | -31% | 8 | 151,200 | 2 |
| 46 | 34 | Two Lovers | Magnolia | 44,864 | -43% | 56 | 2,937,226 | 11 |
| 47 | 37 | Gomorrah | IFC/E1 | 42,948 | -35% | 50 | 1,616,264 | 11 |
| 48 | 49 | Lymelife | Screen Media | 41,505 | -1% | 25 | 139,731 | 3 |
| 49 | 81 | Defiance | Par Vantage | 40,672 | 276% | 102 | 28,622,873 | 17 |
| 50 | 39 | The International | Sony | 37,962 | -38% | 66 | 25,823,425 | 11 |
| 51 | 60 | Fly Me to the Moon | Summit | 37,074 | 54% | 8 | 13,592,311 | 37 |
| 52 | 44 | Shall We Kiss? | Music Box | 36,511 | -26% | 28 | 325,089 | 5 |
| 53 | 51 | Magnificent Desolation | Imax | 36,011 | -8% | 6 | 28,472,272 | 188 |
| 54 | 31 | Medea Goes to Jail | Lions Gate | 35,228 | -64% | 99 | 90,543,564 | 10 |
| 55 | 36 | Entre les murs (The Class) | Sony Classics | 33,650 | -49% | 64 | 3,642,327 | 15 |
| 56 | 41 | Tera Mera Ki Rishta | Eros | 31,067 | -47% | 17 | 262,245 | 3 |
| 57 | 47 | Goodbye Solo | Roadside Attract. | 27,304 | -36% | 15 | 268,583 | 5 |
| 58 | 38 | Bedtime Stories | BV | 27,052 | -58% | 75 | 12,028,694 | 17 |
| 59 | 48 | The Great Buck Howard | Magnolia | 23,668 | -44% | 44 | 647,374 | 6 |
| 60 | 66 | Dolphins and Whales 3D | 3D Entertainment | 22,394 | 8% | 8 | 5,939,990 | 63 |
| 61 | 50 | Space Station 3D | Imax | 21,832 | -13% | 5 | 78,522,271 | 367 |
| 62 | 42 | The Reader | Weinstein Co. | 20,822 | -62% | 55 | 34,157,651 | 20 |
| 63 | New | Le Crime est notre affaire | Metropole | 20,121 | - | 8 | 20,121 | 1 |
| 64 | 54 | Everlasting Moments | IFC | 20,096 | -35% | 24 | 453,943 | 8 |
| 65 | 40 | Curious Case of Benjamin Button | Par | 19,530 | -67% | 39 | 127,528,856 | 18 |
| 66 | 58 | Sea Monsters: A Prehistoric Adventure | NatGeo | 18,977 | -28% | 11 | 21,360,502 | 82 |
| 67 | 62 | The Cross | Gener8Xion | 17,900 | -24% | 35 | 675,000 | 5 |
| Source: EDI/MCN | ||||||||
Estimates – April 24-26, 2009
| Title | Distributor | Gross (average) | % change * | Theaters | Cume |
| Obsessed | Sony | 28.8 (11,470) | - | 2514 | 28.8 |
| 17 Again | WB | 11.6 (3,560) | -51% | 3255 | 39.9 |
| Fighting | Uni | 11.3 (4,908) | - | 2309 | - |
| The Soloist | Par | 9.7 (4,780) | - | 2024 | 9.7 |
| Earth | BV | 8.6 (4,770) | - | 1804 | 14.3 |
| Monsters vs. Aliens | Par | 8.6 (2,430) | -35% | 3538 | 174.9 |
| State of Play | Uni | 6.8 (2,440) | -51% | 2807 | 25.1 |
| Hannah Montana: The Movie | BV | 6.4 (1,970) | -52% | 3231 | 65.6 |
| Fast & Furious | Uni | 5.9 (1,660) | -50% | 3566 | 145.1 |
| Crank: High Voltage | Lions Gate | 2.5 (1,130) | -64% | 2223 | 11.6 |
| I Love You Man | Par | 1.9 (1,240) | -42% | 1563 | 67.8 |
| Knowing | Summit | 1.9 (1,010) | -47% | 1860 | 76.7 |
| Observe and Report | WB | 1.7 (840) | -60% | 2010 | 22.1 |
| The Haunting in Connecticut | Lions Gate | 1.5 (880) | -53% | 1675 | 54.2 |
| Sunshine Cleaning | Overture | .58 (910) | -41% | 638 | 9.8 |
| Adventureland | Miramax | .52 (900) | -61% | 581 | 15.1 |
| Duplicity | Uni | .45 (740) | -69% | 610 | 39.9 |
| The Informers | Senator | .29 (610) | - | 482 | 0.3 |
| Race to Witch Mountain | BV | .35 (590) | -53% | 591 | 64.3 |
| Taken | Fox | .33 (730) | -43% | 450 | 142.6 |
| Weekend Total ($500,000+ Films) | $108.30 | - | - | - | |
| % Change (Last Year) | - | 30% | - | - | - |
| % Change (Last Week) | - | 4% | - | - | - |
| Also debuting/expanding | |||||
| Sin Nombre | Focus | .20 (2,450) | -21% | 83 | 1.5 |
| Is Anybody There? | Story Island | .11 (2,010) | 134% | 54 | 0.17 |
| Tyson | Sony Classics | 75,300 (6,840) | - | 11 | 0.08 |
| American Violet | IDP | 63,300 (1,110) | -74% | 57 | 0.37 |
| April Showers | Pure Motive | 13,400 (790) | - | 15 | 0.01 |
| Il Divo | Music Box | 13,200 (6,600) | - | 2 | 0.01 |
| Nursery University | Variance | 9,600 (9,600) | - | 1 | 0.01 |
| The Mutant Chronicles | Magnet | 4,800 (2,400) | - | 2 | 0.01 |
| Treeless Mountain | Oscilloscope | 4,700 (2,350) | - | 2 | 0.01 |
Domestic Market Share – January 1 – April 23, 2009
| Distributor (releases) | Gross (millio | Mrkt Share |
| Warner Bros. (17) | 526.5 | 17.50% |
| Paramount (7) | 412.9 | 13.80% |
| Fox (8) | 316.7 | 10.50% |
| Sony (9) | 311.2 | 10.40% |
| Universal (9) | 305.1 | 10.20% |
| Buena Vista (10) | 259.7 | 8.60% |
| Lions Gate (7) | 228.3 | 7.60% |
| Fox Searchlight (5) | 185.6 | 6.20% |
| Summit (4) | 128.4 | 4.30% |
| Focus (3) | 93.4 | 3.10% |
| Paramount Vantage (2) | 51.2 | 1.70% |
| MGM (3) | 42.3 | 1.40% |
| Miramax (4) | 37.2 | 1.20% |
| Weinstein Co. (6) | 34.4 | 1.10% |
| Overture (3) | 24.2 | 0.80% |
| Other * (98) | 46.6 | 1.60% |
| * none greater than 0.4% | 3003.7 | 100.00% |
Ebertfest Dispatch: The Wrap
Sunday, April 26th, 2009The last full day of Ebertfest started off early with an 11AM screening of The Fall, directed by Tarsem. Tarsem also directed The Cell, which played here at last year’s fest. I’d never seen The Fall, and I’m glad that I caught it here on the huge screen at the Virginia Theater, because this is a film that begs to be seen in a theater.
The Fall tells a story of a friendship of sorts between an injured stuntman and a young girl who are in the same hospital together in the 1920s. The stuntman, Roy (Lee Pace) passes time by telling an epic fairy tale of sorts to the girl, Alexandria (young Romanian actress Catinca Untaru, who was just seven when the film was made); Roy provides the story, while Alexandria imagines the visuals in her vivid imagination, creating the characters from the people she knows at the hospital. The rub is that the crippled Roy is telling Alexandria the story as a means to persuade her to steal morphine pills from the dispensary for him so he can commit suicide.
Weekend Estimates by Klady – April 26
Sunday, April 26th, 2009
The opening of Obsessed brings up another interesting anomaly of the niche era of studio distribution. Of the 7 films with a higher opening gross and the one just below it – within a million dollars on opening – 4 have hit $100 million… but only one of those (Blart!) didn’t open much bigger than the other 6 titles we’re talking about. (Fast, Monsters, and Watchmen all opened over $55m… the next biggest opening is $41m for Medea Redux.)
So – sorry this is getting too numbery – the sample we’re looking at comes down to 5 films. Blart is the outlier with better than 4.5x opening. Medea in Jail is the second best multiple… at about 2.25x opening. The other two are the Friday The 13th re-do and Hannah Montana 1-D. Friday is already out of theaters and did just over 2x its strong opening. Hannah has another $10m – $15m left in the tank… which looks to make it around 2.5x opening.
Go back just 4 years to 2005 and you see the openers in that $28m – $40m range:

As you can see… nothing happening now is all that different than what was happening then… except that the Young Teen and Pre-Teen Girl money has shifted from horror to Hannah, The Jonases, and HSM.
And so the question of the weekend is, what niches are Obsessed working with? Is it an “Urban” hit or a Teen Girl thriller? Both niches are likely to lead to a low multiple. Did they find anyone outside of these “love it and leave it” niches? I don’t know. But the question of what next weekend’s drop and ultimately, it’s domestic total – will be is not so much about “is it good?” but about who the audience for the film is. My guess is a $65m domestic total… which is a great day for Screen Gems, though you must know they are trying to figure out how to make Obsessed 2 work following this natural one-off.
Fighting, The Soloist, and Earth are all in a similar opening boat, though there is a very good chance that the best opener of the trio, Fighting, will be the lowest domestic grosser. Why? Again, niche. Fighting will have some holdover, but 2.5x opening is the best it can expect. The Soloist defines An Adult Picture… so if they can keep screens in Boca, the over 60s will find the film and it could go as much as 3.5x opening, though it will take time. And Earth is a kids play from Disney and we’ll see how they support it. There’s nothing much new for the younger kids until Night At The Museum 2. Are parents going to indulge their 8-year-olds’ demands to see Wolverine… or will they be at Earth, looking at real wolverines?
Does Size Matter… In The Summer Movie Season?
Saturday, April 25th, 2009Let me make it clear from the beginning
Frost/Nixon
Saturday, April 25th, 2009![]() |
Most reminiscent of (and more satisfying than) Good Night and Good Luck, Ron Howard’s 2008 docudrama, Frost/Nixon, from Universal, is about a television news personality who rises to the occasion and achieves a journalistic milestone when tasked with interviewing an emotionally enfortressed politician. Yes, the imitative but psychologically thorough performances by the two stars- Michael Sheen as David Frost and Frank Langella asRichard Nixon – are admirable, and the step-by-step process in which Frost bungles his way up to and through most of the interview until he realizes he has to get his act together, and does, is entertaining in the same way that those sports movies about teams that unexpectedly win title games are entertaining, but what is most satisfying about the film is that it gets all of the small details right, so that you wholly believe that the atmosphere of each scene is what it was like in real life. The film is primarily made of conversations, and so viewers with a predilection for action movies are not going to be interested in it, and even the dramatic excitement of Sheen’s character finally rising to the occasion is at best a modest thrill, but the 123-minute film is the kind of valid history lesson that you can only get from the movies, a clearly well-researched and carefully executed re-creation of a significant event that lets you get a genuine feel for what the times were like and how the people represented by the characters and the cast actually lived, maneuvered and felt about the events they were involved with, a dimension that a documentary or shared memories of the event itself cannot come close to duplicating.
The picture is presented in letterboxed format only, with an aspect ratio of about 2.35:1 and an accommodation for enhanced 16:9 playback. The color transfer is fine. The 5.1-channel Dolby Digital sound is not showy, but it has a functional dimensionality. There are alternate French and Spanish audio tracks in 5.1 Dolby and optional English, French and Spanish subtitles. What DVDs can do better than movies is to provide a greater context for the primary program, and the special features on Frost/Nixon are excellent in this regard. Firstly, there are 22 minutes of deleted scenes that would unquestionably have slowed down the drama too much, but are for the most part marvelous, giving Langella, in particular, more chances to work his magic on the screen. The original, complete interviews are available elsewhere on DVD, but there is a tantalizing 7-minute piece about them that includes a few excerpts presented in comparison to the film’s renditions of the same exchanges. There is also a thorough 23-minute production featurette and a surprisingly touching 6-minute piece about the Nixon presidential library. Finally, Howard supplies an informative commentary track. Howard tends to approach his commentaries the way he approaches many of his films. He is so overly prepared that even when he is clearly improvising, imitating someone else’s laugh or other noises, it still sounds scripted. But the content of his talk is worth it. Not only does he describe the history of the production, he conveys the drama of its challenges and successes. He also explains the logic behind big choices and small choices, and conveys vivid pictures of the many personalities involved with the film, not only those behind the screen and in front of the screen, but those represented by the screen.
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Summer of Love
Saturday, April 25th, 2009Why has the idea of doing my Summer Preview: 20 Weeks of Summer been like anticipating a trip to a dentist this year?
I guess it’s because so much of this upcoming summer is so not for me.
I mean, I am actually looking forward to Transformers 2. Not being irritated by it would be great, but should this really be the film I am excited about?
Terminator: Salvation? I hope so… but God, does McG’s name on it scare me.
I think Angels & Demons will be a lot better than the first of that series, but how excited can I get?
Up is certainly going to be very good, but Nemo, The Rat & The Wall will be hard to beat.
I would love to love The Girlfriend Experience, but everything about the movie screams ambivalence.
Land of The Lost and Year One? Surprise me please!
I am pretty sure I will get on board The Taking of Pelham 123. That could make a nice mid-summer adult pleasure.
The great two week span for me is likely to be Public Enemies and Bruno. It’s a big ball move for Mann to be doing period with handheld digital and Cohen will surely be just balls out.
God, I hope that Julie & Julia is actually great… and come on, Quentin… hit one out again… it’s been a long time!
I don’t know… another Harry Potter movie kind of defines it all for me… should be good… but hard to get excited for it…
Where’s the surprise going to come from?
Werner rephrases
Saturday, April 25th, 2009Sometimes Mr. Herzog rephrases a thought and it comes out all the better in front of an inventive writer like Will Self: “With his
astonishing work rate, I asked him how he felt about the films he had completed. ‘They are like burglars in the night who all of a sudden raid your home—you’ve got to get them out! Or rather, you open the door to let one guest in, and suddenly 85 people are swarming all over you.’ When the unwanted guests burst in, I asked him, did he know if they were feature films or documentaries or, indeed, operas—which he has been known to direct—or books—which he has been known to write (he has a new one out, about Fitzcarraldo, this summer)? ‘Only when I wrestle with them, and I feel their skin and sniff their scent, do I make a distinction.’”
Bea Arthur, 86
Saturday, April 25th, 2009She was one of those rare things… a self-contained icon.
There are few people who are the dictionary definition of a type. A “Bea Arthur-type” is not easy to find. Very tall… very droll… very deep voiced for a woman… very tough… but capable of being quite vulnerable.
Her strength was also her limitation. But she will remain indelible.
We Are All The Kirk
Saturday, April 25th, 2009ADD, Sunday 11:39a – Funny… just saw a Trek ad on ESPN… all about Kirk as The Man. Seems that the marketing team sees the need to lean heavy on that notion, even if the film is not so singular in focus.
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The most interesting element of JJ Abrams’ Star Trek, for me, is the Generation Why? mindset that everyone is equal, no one is actually special… or everyone is.
Kirk is at the center of the film, but in many ways, it is much more Spock’s story. All of the well-known supporting crew – aside from McCoy and Scott – have skills and smarts that mean they really could fill in for anyone else on the Enterprise. There is no ying and yang because everyone is so in touch with both sides of themselves.
Even the bad guys in the film are motivated – wrongheadedly, we find out – by an honorable rage not unlike the rage that made Americans willing to attack Iraq… and not with the seeming Machiavellian, secret motives that motivated Cheney/Bush.
It fascinates me, in part, because the folks who made this film are also responsible for Fringe, a TV show that establishes character distinctions of strength, weakness, and motive with complete alacrity within minutes of meeting any character.
I will write more about the film in time… but for me, this is the biggest thematic difference between this film and the Roddenberry vision, which was so much about seeking equality for all… the new Star Trek starts from that point, conceptually… which begs the question… what are they Trekking for?
This may turn out to be the populist turn that makes this film work for bigger, younger audiences. I honestly have no idea… as I don’t know what makes teens feel good about themselves these days. But the concept intrigues me.
Friday Estimates by Klady – Draft Day
Saturday, April 25th, 2009
1992… The Hand That Rocks The Cradle surprises people with a good opening ($7.7m) and long legs ($88m domestic total) with a similar story… Rebecca de Mornay, Annabella Sciorra, and Matt McCoy never quite recover, career-wise..
Later that same year… Single White Female opens to $10.2 million and ends up with $48 million… Jennifer Jason Leigh has a nice run of roles afterwards while Bridget Fonda hits a career wall.
The opening of Obsessed looks to land somewhere between Taken and He’s Just Not That Into You. Nice number. Not shocking… except to those who think they should have seen it coming… and not very important.
Dito Montiel’s shot at The Next Level will do… okay.
The Soloist has a better shot at legs than either of the other films, it seems. A movie for adults takes some time to build.
Earth, ironically, is not being put in perspective by many as a TV project now being shown on a big screen. Good number for that. But Disney has certainly got to be considering what the potential of DisneyNature is, for future, and how they will build an audience for future releases that are fresher, but still about nature.
Ebertfest Dispatch: Life/Art
Saturday, April 25th, 2009I kicked off a busy second day here at Ebertfest with the panel I was on here, “Film Criticism and the Internet,” moderated by film historian David Bordwell and packed with panelists, including Michael Phillips (Chicago Tribune), Peter Sobczynski (efilmcritic.com), Richard Roeper (Chicago Sun-Times), Lisa Rosman (US Weekly/Flavorpill), Hank Sartin (Time Out Chicago), Erik Childress (efilmcritic.com), Steve Prokopy (AICN), Dean Richards (WGN) and Nell Minnow (The Movie Mom). Considering the scope of opinions and strong personalities on board, things went pretty smoothly, aside from a near-throwdown between Richards and Childress over whether there are, in fact, junket and quote “whores,” which Childress writes about on efilmcritic in a feature called “Critic Watch.”
Roger Friedman Goes Back To Work
Friday, April 24th, 2009First, he celebrates…
And then, he blogs…
Soon to come… a quote-alicious rave of Inglourious Basterds and some ads to go with it…
Box Office Hell – 2/24/09
Friday, April 24th, 2009














