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David Poland

By David Poland poland@moviecitynews.com

Friday Estimates by Klady

Is there really anything to say?
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32 Responses to “Friday Estimates by Klady”

  1. James Leer says:

    What was the last film to hold #1 at the box office for three weeks? Anybody know?
    Considering that “The Invisible” was aimed at the same demographic, I’m surprised “Disturbia” held up so well.

  2. anghus says:

    Kickin It Old School?

  3. Blackcloud says:

    Is that the most pathetic Friday ever?

  4. LYT says:

    The Condemned — best of the three WWE Films to date, with the worst debut.
    Maybe showing it to critics WAS a bad idea after all.

  5. Wrecktum says:

    “Is that the most pathetic Friday ever?”
    No. Sept 8-10, 2006 was slightly worse. The top movie that weekend was The Covenant, which deputed to a $3.1 opening Friday (matching Disturbia) on its way to an $8.8 weekend.
    The #2 movie that weekend was the debuting Hollywoodland, which probably matched The Invisible’s $2.8, Friday (Focus doesn’t provide daily actuals so there is no was to know).
    The #3 movie on Sept 8 was Invincible, in its third weekend. It’s Friday was a whopping $1.75. Now THAT’S a pathetic weekend.

  6. Cadavra says:

    CONDEMNED seems an awful lot like BATTLE ROYALE, but with grown-ups instead of kids. Has anyone seen it and can confirm?

  7. Hallick says:

    “Is there really anything to say?”
    Yeah – lineups like this top ten (with the exception of “Hot Fuzz” and maybe one other), which seem to be par for the course this year, makes me question my interest in filmgoing; and the same thing goes for most of my friends who are getting just as fed up with the nothingness that’s out there right now. I’m a film hound but I haven’t been to my local theater but once or twice in 2007 because of ennervated offerings like this.
    The funny thing is how so many people believe the summer is going to save the day when a good long look at the schedule will tell you that unless you have easy access to the “arthouse” circuit, your local multiplex is going to be clogged up with all of these long in the tooth sequels and “The Transformers” for most of the season. God help us all.

  8. Hey Cadavra, I saw it a few weeks ago and I actually thought it was a lot of fun and, as action thrillers go, rather original. Stone Cold is a charismatic guy on and off the screen who can deliver those badass one-liners with the best of them, and I expected more fans to turn out for him than this…

  9. EDouglas says:

    “CONDEMNED seems an awful lot like BATTLE ROYALE, but with grown-ups instead of kids. Has anyone seen it and can confirm?”
    Yeah, that and it sucks.

  10. William Goss says:

    Anyone catch Wind Chill, by any chance?

  11. Ugh, what a completely lame weekend.
    James, did Night at the Museum hang around for 3 weeks or not? I don’t care enough to check. Although, when was the last time a movie was #1 for three weeks yet still didn’t even have $50mil (or, I guess it’ll have just over $50mil, actually)?
    Though, I must say, this week somehow redeems American moviegoers in my eyes somewhat. After the Grindhouse debacle I was sure at least $13mil worth of people would rush to catch the latest sci-fi extravanza (*chuckle*) Next. Alas, they impress me and skip it along with everything else.
    Although I was hoping Jindabyne would make more. Considering it’s my #1 of 2006 I would’ve loved it to really catch fire but not even The Lovely Laura Linney or an Oscar-worthy perf by Deborra-Lee Furness can entice enough people to see it. Shame, really.

  12. EDouglas says:

    “Anyone catch Wind Chill, by any chance?”
    Does anyone else even know what this is? Their marketing campaign consisted solely of a poster with Emily Blunt’s name on top. I haven’t seen a single commercial, read a single interview or heard mention of this movie on anywhere other than movie-related boards.

  13. EDouglas says:

    But to answer your question seriously, I think less people will be seeing Wind Chill this weekend than saw David Arquette’s “The Tripper” last week (and that was self-distributed)

  14. Why was it released as a limited release anyway?

  15. William Goss says:

    Yeah, couldn’t Sony have stood to make, if not much, much more than .0055 if they just dumped into wide release like any other unscreened horror offering? That’s the part that puzzles me.

  16. Ju-osh says:

    I’m just happy to see Hot Fuzz still in the top ten…and topping the take of some higher profile new releases, too!

  17. jsnpritchett says:

    I’m just trying to figure out why Len Klady refers to NEXT as a “critically well received thriller” in his Weekend Report. It’s currently sitting at 31% at Rotten Tomatoes.

  18. Tofu says:

    Nikki Finke Strikes Again!
    (Same advice to director Lee Tamahori, who directed standout Mulholland Falls, after all.
    And, ya know, a little movie by the name of Die Another Day; the highest grossing Bond movie at the time, which is the actual flick that led to him directing XXX2 & Next.
    Rogue/Focus’ Hot Fuzz was 6th, taking in $4.9 mil from 1,272 playdates. With a cume of $12.6 mil, obviously Americans weren’t wowed by the humor of this foreign hit.
    Since a $7000 per theater average for the two hour R-rated flick is just so dull, and an 18% drop in the second week is just so terrible.

  19. NYCAustin says:

    Disturbia is the 3rd 2007 release to be #1 for 3 weekends in a row. There was Stomp the Yard in January and Ghost Rider in February.
    Next question – which will be the next movie to have 3 #1 weekends. The summer juggernauts will likely replace each other at #1 week after week.

  20. Rob says:

    Stomp the Yard was only #1 for two weeks.

  21. NYCAustin says:

    Yeah, sorry, my bad. It was listed 3 times at BOM, but that’s because one of it’s 2 weekends was MLK. Sorry.

  22. Jimmy the Gent says:

    I’m pretty sure Pirates could go 3 weeks. Rise of the Silver Surfer is the first real contender that could knock it off.
    Here’s a philosophical question. What is a reasonable number for The Simpsons Movie? Its audience is not kids. It doesn’t have Disney or Pixar attached to it. The show is still on the air. The show is groundbreaking, but not exactly a ratings juggernaum. I have a feeling executives might be seeing $$$ that aren’t really there.
    The same goes for the next James Cameron movie. What is a reasonable number for Avatar? Titanic may be the biggest movie ever, but the market has changed so much since 1997.

  23. I don’t think The Simpsons will be GIANT, but I figure if TMNT can make it to nearly $60mil on nostalgia alone then sure The Simpsons can get higher. Right?

  24. EDouglas says:

    I don’t think Pirates will be able to beat Ocean’s 13, Surf’s Up and Hostel Part II all opening in its third weekend. I’d say it will come in a close second though.

  25. Anyone got thoughts on the week-by-week grosses for Spidey, Shrek and Pirates?
    Is it entirely possibly that Spiderman 3 will make, in it’s first day, more than the entire top 10 was last weekend?

  26. Wrecktum says:

    “I don’t think The Simpsons will be GIANT, but I figure if TMNT can make it to nearly $60mil on nostalgia alone then sure The Simpsons can get higher. Right?”
    Last year The Simpsons was ranked 56 in the Nielsen ratings, averaging only 9.2 million viewers per week. These are the people who are willing to see these characters for free on TV. How many will be willing to plunk down money at the theatre to see the same thing? Will 20th Century Fox marketing be able to expand the current fan base of the show to drive higher ticket sales? I suspect not.
    I think you’re looking at a $50m-$70m final domestic gross.

  27. Josh Massey says:

    “I’m just trying to figure out why Len Klady refers to NEXT as a “critically well received thriller” in his Weekend Report.”
    Maybe he left out some commas. As in that Next was critically, well, received.

  28. mysteryperfecta says:

    “Is that the most pathetic Friday ever?”
    Don’t know about just Friday, but this is the 21st lowest grossing #1 ever, according to Box Office Mojo.
    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/lowest1.htm

  29. LexG says:

    Not sure if Hallick will check back in, but I’ll respond to his post above about the above slate, and in fact, the above year so far, being a disspiriting batch of movies.
    I’ll disagree. I’m not privy to junket screenings or “in the biz” or anything, just a regular paying L.A. moviegoer, and I’ve already seen 25-30 movies in a theater this year alone. Maybe it’s my own weird personal preferences, and indeed this is a very “potboiler” time of year, but I’m always more eager to see even junky, dumped star vehicles with, say, Nic Cage or Bruce Willis or Hilary Swank, directed by some capable B-tier director, than I am for kiddie comedies and superhero sequels. So maybe this is just my time of year, but I’m more excited for a Gosling/Hopkins thriller any old day of the week than most of the “big” stuff that’s on its way.
    But really, only one or two movies has caught your eye thus far in the 2007 film year as worthy of your attention on the big screen? Even casting aside the crappy stuff I’ve seen out of absurd completism, I’d think any half-dedicated moviegoer would have at least have a passing interest in not just the big guns (er, bombs) like Zodiac and Grindhouse, but also things like Verhoeven’s Black Book, The Lookout, solid B-thrillers like Disturbia, Vacandy and Smokin’ Aces, maybe Alpha Dog, The Hoax, 300, Breach, etc.
    There’s plenty of decent stuff out there, but most of it falls in that in-between category, between the arthouse world of Year of the Dog and the big-time world of 300. I realize not everyone is going to make a date to see Hills 2 or Perfect Stranger on the silver screen, but for a real film fan, you’re exaggerating just a little to say that there’s only been two movies in the first four months worthy of your time.

  30. Nicol D says:

    I guess this is the part where we all have to say how Shia LaBeouf is the highest grossing box office guarantee of the year and will be responsible for every dime Indy 4 makes even though the average person doesn’t have a clue who he is, while Nicolas Cage’s career is in the toilet and one step away from being a used car salesman, even though he just had a 100 mill grosser 2 months ago.

  31. To be honest, Ghost Rider (a comic adapation) and World Trade Center are his only recent movies to debut to over $10mil.

  32. Stella's Boy says:

    And by recent you mean nothing released prior to WTC?

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